SuperligaFull time

Predictions graded

Lyngby1Odense BK1

HT 0–0Sun 30 Aug 2026, 12:00 Predictions graded

Predictions7–370%

Edges3–260%

PossPossession 45%–55%ShotsShots 18–18On targetOn target 1–8CornersCorners 4–6

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 25 Aug 2026, 16:53 · Europe/Bucharest

The draw is the standout bet at odds of 3.60, offering a small positive edge (32% model vs 28% implied).

Avoid Double Chance, Over 2.5 goals, BTTS Yes, and Over 0.5 first-half goals — all are heavily overpriced relative to our model. Small sample sizes and dated H2H data add uncertainty, so treat the draw as a lean rather than a strong play.

Context

Lyngby sit 11th in the Superliga with two points from five matches, two points below the relegation playoff line.
They have drawn their two home games and lost all three away matches, conceding ten goals overall. This poor start means they need points from this home fixture to avoid falling further behind. However, their home draws against Midtjylland and Aarhus show they can compete at their own ground.
- Lyngby's last five Superliga results: L, D, L, D, L.
- They have 2 points from 5 matches, with 6 goals scored and 10 conceded.
- Home record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses in 2 matches.
Odense are 7th in the Superliga with four points from five matches, sitting just above the relegation playoff zone.
They have won only once, drawn once, and lost three times, scoring four goals and conceding six. Away from home they have not won in three attempts, drawing once and losing twice. This match gives them a chance to move clear of the bottom, but their away struggles could keep Lyngby in the game.
- Odense's last five Superliga results: D, L, L, W, L.
- They have 4 points from 5 matches, with 4 goals scored and 6 conceded.
- Away record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses in 3 matches.
The most recent meeting between these teams was in May 2024, when Lyngby won 2-1 away at Odense.
In the last five Superliga encounters, Odense have won twice and drawn three times, with Lyngby's only victory coming in that May 2024 match. The most recent result at Lyngby's home was a 0-0 draw in April 2024. This history suggests Odense have often been competitive in this fixture, but the sample is small and from previous seasons.
- Last five H2H: Odense 1-2 Lyngby (May 2024), Lyngby 0-0 Odense (Apr 2024), Lyngby 2-2 Odense (Nov 2023), Odense 1-2 Lyngby (Oct 2023), Lyngby 0-4 Odense (May 2023).
- Odense have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in those five matches.
Lyngby's midweek cup tie went to extra time, with a rotated selection limiting the fatigue relevance to the players used in that tie.
The 120-minute cup win over FA 2000 on 26 August may affect the energy of the cup starters three days before this match. Rotation reduces a blanket fatigue assumption, so the impact depends on which players were used and whether they are selected again.
- Lyngby’s official report says the FA 2000 tie required 120 minutes before a 1-0 win.
- The official DBU match sheet records Lyngby’s cup lineup and substitutions.
ConfirmedSources checked 29 Aug 2026, 10:55 · Europe/BucharestLyngby Boldklub — cup advancement after extra timelyngby-boldklub.dk · 26 Aug 2026DBU — FA 2000 v Lyngby official match sheetwww.dbu.dk · 26 Aug 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Lean

Lyngby or Draw

1.36fair 1.61

BetBugs 62% · Market 73.5%

0.0ppshort

Lyngby's home resilience and Odense's away struggles make Lyngby or Draw the most likely double chance outcome, but the odds are too short to offer value.

Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Slight lean

Over 2.5

1.57fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 63.7%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have been involved in relatively high-scoring games in their respective splits, and recent H2H meetings have frequently exceeded 2.5 goals.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams are struggling and have shown a tendency to draw in relevant splits, with H2H also featuring two draws in the last four meetings.
- Lyngby home record this season: 0W-2D-0L (2 draws in 2 home matches)
- Odense away record this season: 0W-1D-2L (1 draw in 3 away matches)
- H2H last 4 meetings: 2 draws, 2 Lyngby wins (both away)
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance32%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Lyngby's home resilience and Odense's away struggles, combined with H2H dominance, make Lyngby or Draw the most likely double chance outcome.
- Lyngby unbeaten at home this season (2 draws)
- Odense winless away this season (0W-1D-2L)
- Lyngby unbeaten in last 4 H2H meetings (2W-2D)
BetBugs · Double ChancewonLyngby or DrawEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have frequently been level at half time in their respective splits, and H2H history supports a drawn first half.
- Lyngby first half results at home: 1 draw, 1 loss
- Odense first half results away: 2 draws, 1 loss
- H2H last 4 meetings: 2 draws at half time
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While both teams have drawn at half time in some matches, the full-time draw probability is moderate, making Draw/Draw a low-probability but plausible outcome.
- Lyngby home matches: 1 draw at half time, 0 draws at full time
- Odense away matches: 2 draws at half time, 1 draw at full time
- H2H last 4 meetings: 2 draws at full time, 2 draws at half time
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/DrawEstimated chance18%

Goals2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have been involved in relatively high-scoring games in their respective splits, and recent H2H meetings have frequently exceeded 2.5 goals.
- Lyngby home matches average 3.0 total goals (3 scored, 3 conceded in 2 games)
- Odense away matches average 2.0 total goals (2 scored, 4 conceded in 3 games)
- H2H last 4 meetings: 3 of 4 had over 2.5 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown ability to score in their respective home/away splits, and H2H history indicates a high likelihood of both teams finding the net.
- Lyngby scored in all 2 home matches this season
- Odense scored in 2 of 3 away matches this season
- H2H last 4 meetings: both teams scored in 3 of 4
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown a tendency to score in the first half in their respective splits, and H2H meetings often feature early goals.
- Lyngby first half goals at home: 0.5 per game (1 goal in 2 home matches)
- Odense first half goals away: 0.67 per game (2 goals in 3 away matches)
- H2H last 4 meetings: first half goals in 3 of 4
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined second half scoring rate in home/away splits is close to the 1.5 line, making this a borderline call with moderate probability.
- Lyngby second half goals at home: 1.0 per game (2 goals in 2 home matches)
- Odense second half goals away: 0.67 per game (2 goals in 3 away matches)
- Combined second half average in relevant splits: 1.67 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined corner averages from home and away splits are right at the 9.5 line, suggesting a slight lean towards over based on Lyngby's home corner production.
- Lyngby average corners per home match: 6.0 (12 corners in 2 home matches)
- Odense average corners per away match: 4.0 (12 corners in 3 away matches)
- Combined average corners in relevant splits: 10.0
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown a tendency to accumulate yellow cards, especially Odense away from home, pushing the combined average above the 3.5 line.
- Lyngby average yellow cards per home match: 2.0 (4 cards in 2 home matches)
- Odense average yellow cards per away match: 2.67 (8 cards in 3 away matches)
- Combined average yellow cards in relevant splits: 4.67
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 3.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 74% leaves no cushion vs our 62% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

2W · 2D · 1W

W1-2OdensevLyngbyMay 10, 2024SUP

D0-0LyngbyvOdenseApr 5, 2024SUP

D2-2LyngbyvOdenseNov 4, 2023SUP

W1-2OdensevLyngbyOct 2, 2023SUP

L0-4LyngbyvOdenseMay 21, 2023SUP

Odense BK: 2 clean sheets2.8 goals/game avg

League Table

Superliga 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
11	Lyngby Relegation Playoffs	5	0	2	3	6-10	2	LDLDL
7	Odense BK Relegation Playoffs	5	1	1	3	4-6	4	DLLWL

2pt gap between teamsLyngby in relegation zoneOdense BK in relegation zone

Recent Form

Lyngby

L1-2AC HorsensAug 23SUP

D1-1FC MidtjyllandAug 16SUP

L0-2Randers FCAug 9SUP

D2-2AarhusAug 1SUP

L2-3FC CopenhagenJul 26SUP

W1-0HillerødJul 18FRI

W3-0Osters IFJul 10FRI

W6-3B 93Jul 4FRI

L1-2EsbjergMay 311.

L0-2AC HorsensMay 251.

W3-1Kolding IFMay 151.

W2-0HvidovreMay 91.

L1-2HillerødMay 31.

W5-0EsbjergApr 241.

W3-1HillerødApr 211.

Odense BK

D2-2AarhusAug 23SUP

L1-2AC HorsensAug 16SUP

L0-1SilkeborgAug 10SUP

W1-0SonderjyskeAug 3SUP

L0-1ViborgJul 24SUP

L1-4FC MidtjyllandJul 17FRI

L0-4BrondbyJul 11FRI

W2-0HillerødJul 4FRI

W2-1Kolding IFJun 29FRI

L0-1VejleMay 17SUP

D2-2Randers FCMay 11SUP

L2-3SilkeborgMay 3SUP

W2-0FC FredericiaApr 26SUP

L1-2FC CopenhagenApr 22SUP

W3-1Randers FCApr 19SUP

Squad & Injuries

Lyngby

26 available

Attackers5

Midfielders9

Defenders8

Goalkeeper4

Odense BK

26 available

Attackers5

Midfielders11

Defenders7

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Lyngby or Draw

Over 2.5

Yes

Over 0.5

Result3 of 4 landed

Goals2 of 4 landed

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

@ 1.36

Over 2.5

Yes

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Lyngby

Odense BK

Squad & Injuries

Lyngby

Odense BK