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Predictions graded

FC Nordsjaelland1Silkeborg IF0

HT 0–0Sun 16 Aug 2026, 12:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–650%

Edges2–433%

PossPossession 55%–45%ShotsShots 20–4On targetOn target 7–0CornersCorners 8–1

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 12 Aug 2026, 02:05 · Europe/Bucharest

Expect an open, high-scoring match with plenty of corner kicks.

The best value lies in over 9.5 total corners (+13% edge) and home corners over 5.5 (+10% edge), while the home win and double chance markets are overpriced and should be avoided.

Context

Last 5 home matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss (including friendlies).
- Only 1 clean sheet in those 5 home games.
- Recent home league win was 1-0 vs Randers, a narrow result.
Only away Superliga match this season: 1-1 at Randers.
- Last 5 away matches in all competitions: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses (including friendlies).
- Conceded in 4 of those 5 away games.
Last 5 H2H results: 5-0, 4-2, 1-1, 4-1, 4-1.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5.
- Home team won 4 of the last 5, but margins varied widely.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 2.5

1.36fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 73.5%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have high-scoring recent averages and H2H history strongly favors goals, but the odds are already heavily skewed toward Over 2.5.

Both Teams To ScorelostUncertainty band: Lean

Yes

1.57fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 63.7%

0.0ppshort

Both sides consistently find the net and have defensive lapses, but the odds offer no margin over our estimate.

2 Nd Half Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Lean

Over 1.5

1.57fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 63.7%

0.0ppshort

Matches tend to open up after the break, and H2H history shows a strong pattern of second-half goals, but odds are fair.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Home advantage and a dominant recent H2H home win give Nordsjaelland a slight edge, but Silkeborg's ability to score makes this a low-confidence call.
- FC Nordsjaelland home record this season: 1-0-0 (1.0 goals scored, 0.0 conceded).
- Silkeborg away record this season: 0-1-0 (1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded).
- FC Nordsjaelland won 5-0 in the most recent home H2H.
- FC Nordsjaelland's last 5 matches: W-W-D-L-W (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss).
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonFC NordsjaellandEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Nordsjaelland's strong home form and Silkeborg's modest away record make a home win or draw highly probable.
- FC Nordsjaelland unbeaten in last 2 Superliga matches (1 win, 1 draw).
- Silkeborg away form: 1 draw in 1 away league match this season.
- H2H at Nordsjaelland: 2 wins, 1 draw in last 3 home meetings.
- Nordsjaelland lost only 1 of last 5 home matches across all competitions.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonFC Nordsjaelland or DrawEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
First halves are often competitive with no clear dominance; a draw at the break is a plausible outcome given the balanced early-game stats.
- FC Nordsjaelland led at half-time in 27% of recent matches, trailed in 33%.
- Silkeborg led at half-time in 33%, trailed in 40%.
- H2H last 5: half-time results: 1-0, 2-1, 0-0, 2-0, 1-0 — 3 home leads, 1 draw, 1 away lead.
- Nordsjaelland's last home match: 0-0 at half-time.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A tight first half followed by a home breakthrough is a plausible scenario given Nordsjaelland's ability to finish strong, though specific evidence is thin.
- FC Nordsjaelland drew at half-time in 40% of recent matches (6 of 15).
- FC Nordsjaelland won 6 of last 15 overall, with 3 wins after a drawn first half.
- Silkeborg drew at half-time in 27% of recent matches.
- H2H: one instance of draw/FCN win in last 5 (1-1 at HT, 5-0 FT).
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonDraw / FC NordsjaellandEstimated chance25%

Goals0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high-scoring recent averages and H2H history strongly favors goals, driven by attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities.
- FC Nordsjaelland's last 15 matches averaged 3.0 total goals (1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded).
- Silkeborg IF's last 15 matches averaged 3.8 total goals (2.1 scored, 1.7 conceded).
- H2H last 5 meetings: 5-0, 4-2, 1-1, 4-1, 4-1 — four of five had over 2.5 goals.
- Silkeborg's away Superliga match this season ended 1-1, but overall league form shows 3 goals in 3 games.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides consistently find the net and have defensive lapses, making BTTS likely given the H2H pattern and current form.
- FC Nordsjaelland scored in 12 of last 15 matches; Silkeborg scored in 11 of last 15.
- Silkeborg conceded in 12 of last 15; Nordsjaelland conceded in 10 of last 15.
- H2H: both teams scored in 3 of last 5 meetings.
- Silkeborg's away Superliga match this season saw both teams score (1-1).
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score early, and H2H first halves have been lively, suggesting a decent chance of multiple first-half goals.
- FC Nordsjaelland first-half goals: 0.8 per match; first-half conceded: 0.7.
- Silkeborg first-half goals: 1.1 per match; first-half conceded: 0.9.
- H2H last 5: first-half goals totals: 1, 3, 1, 2, 2 — average 1.8.
- Silkeborg's last 5 matches: first-half goals in 4 of 5 (1, 3, 2, 0, 2).
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Matches tend to open up after the break, and H2H history shows a strong pattern of second-half goals, supporting over 1.5.
- FC Nordsjaelland second-half goals: 1.0 per match (1.8 total - 0.8 first half).
- Silkeborg second-half goals: 1.0 per match (2.1 total - 1.1 first half).
- H2H last 5: second-half goals: 4, 3, 1, 3, 3 — average 2.8.
- Both teams concede more in second halves: Nordsjaelland 0.5, Silkeborg 0.8.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance60%

Match stats2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a high number of corners, and H2H fixtures consistently exceed 9.5, making this a strong over candidate.
- FC Nordsjaelland average 7.0 corners per match; Silkeborg average 4.8.
- Combined average corners: 11.8 per match.
- H2H last 5 meetings where data available: 12, 11, 9, 7, 9 corners — average 9.6.
- Nordsjaelland's home matches average 9.0 corners (based on limited data).
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Nordsjaelland's attacking style yields high corner counts, especially at home, and Silkeborg's defense concedes corners regularly.
- FC Nordsjaelland average 7.0 corners per match overall.
- In home matches with data, Nordsjaelland earned 11, 2, 13, 9, 2 corners — average 7.4.
- Silkeborg concede 4.8 corners per match on average.
- H2H: Nordsjaelland earned 9, 7, 13, 2, 9 corners in last 5 — average 8.0.
BetBugs · Home CornerswonFC Nordsjaelland over 5.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Nordsjaelland's high shot volume drives totals up, but Silkeborg's lower output and missing data in several matches reduce confidence.
- FC Nordsjaelland average 17.6 shots per match; Silkeborg average 11.1.
- Combined average shots: 28.7 per match.
- In matches with shot data, Nordsjaelland's games averaged 28.4 total shots.
- Silkeborg's away match vs Randers had 20 total shots (12+8).
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderlostOver 25.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
H2H meetings often produce more cards than team averages suggest, but overall low card rates make this a borderline call.
- FC Nordsjaelland average 1.1 yellow cards per match; Silkeborg average 1.1.
- Combined average cards: 2.2 per match, but H2H last 5: 4, 4, 3, 2, 4 cards — average 3.4.
- Referee data unavailable; no injury/suspension impact on discipline.
- Early-season fixture may see fewer cards, but H2H tends to be competitive.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 3.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 52.4% leaves no cushion vs our 65% estimate for Over 2.5; the 3.5 line is a trap for a match that may land on exactly 3 goals.

Head-to-Head

2W · 1D · 2W

W5-0FC NordsjaellandvSilkeborgDec 7, 2025SUP

L4-2SilkeborgvFC NordsjaellandAug 10, 2025SUP

D1-1FC NordsjaellandvSilkeborgOct 20, 2024SUP

L4-1SilkeborgvFC NordsjaellandAug 18, 2024SUP

W4-1FC NordsjaellandvSilkeborgMay 12, 2024SUP

4.6 goals/game avg

League Table

Superliga 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
5	FC Nordsjaelland Play-offs	2	1	1	0	2-1	4	WD
7	Silkeborg IF Relegation Playoffs	3	1	1	1	3-4	4	WLD

Silkeborg IF in relegation zone

Recent Form