Lausanne-Sport0Servette FC1

HT 0–0Sun 13 Sept 2026, 14:30 Predictions graded

Predictions2–918%

Edges1–517%

PossPossession 59%–41%ShotsShots 18–10On targetOn target 4–4CornersCorners 12–2

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 9 Sep 2026, 01:21 · Europe/Bucharest

Back the draw at 3.60 (model edge +6pts) and Lausanne or draw at 1.73 (+4pts).

Avoid Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, as the market overprices scoring in this derby.

Context

Servette are 12th in the Super League with four points from six matches, two points behind 10th-placed Lausanne.
They have lost both away games this season, conceding three goals and scoring once. A defeat here would leave them further adrift in the relegation play-off zone, while a win could lift them above Lausanne. Their away record is a small sample, but it shows they have not yet found a way to take points on the road.
- Servette are 12th with 4 points from 6 matches.
- Away record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses, 1 goal scored, 3 conceded.
Lausanne-Sport midfielder O. Custodio is suspended for this fixture after receiving his fourth yellow card of the season.
His confirmed absence removes a central-midfield option from Lausanne's matchday selection. The team must adjust its central-midfield setup without Custodio, which could affect their ability to control the middle of the pitch against Servette.
- The Swiss Football League confirmed that Custodio received his fourth yellow card of the season.
- The league said Custodio must miss Super League matchday eight.
ConfirmedSources checked 9 Sep 2026, 01:19 · Europe/BucharestSwiss Football League: one-match suspensionssfl.ch · 7 Sep 2026
Lausanne are 10th with six points from seven matches, only two points above bottom side Servette.
Their home record is 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with five goals scored and six conceded. That means they have dropped points in every home game so far. Facing a struggling Servette side gives them a chance to change that, but their home form has not been strong enough to assume they will.
- Lausanne home record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in 3 matches.
- They have scored 5 and conceded 6 at home.
Servette's recent league form is LLDWL, with only one win in their last five.
They lost 2-0 at home to St. Gallen on 6 September and 1-0 away to Lugano on 3 September. In both games they failed to score, which points to a current attacking problem. Lausanne will hope to exploit that, but Servette's overall shot numbers suggest they can still create chances.
- Lost 2-0 at home to St. Gallen on 2026-09-06.
- Lost 1-0 away to Lugano on 2026-09-03.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams are in poor form and have struggled for wins, with Lausanne's home draws and Servette's away losses suggesting a closely contested match likely to end level.
- Lausanne home record this season: 0W-2D-1L, with 5 goals scored and 6 conceded in 3 home matches.
- Servette away record this season: 0W-0D-2L, with 1 goal scored and 3 conceded in 2 away matches.
- Last 5 H2H: 2 draws, 2 Servette wins, 1 Lausanne win; two of the last three meetings ended level.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance34%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Lausanne's home resilience and Servette's poor away form make the home side or draw the most likely double chance outcome.
- Lausanne have avoided defeat in 2 of 3 home league matches this season.
- Servette have lost both away league matches this season.
- Lausanne have not lost at home to Servette in the last two meetings at their ground (1 draw, 1 win).
BetBugs · Double ChancelostLausanne-Sport or DrawEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high half-time draw rates, and H2H history supports a level first half.
- Lausanne have led at half-time in 47% of matches, trailed in 13%, and drawn in 40%.
- Servette have led at half-time in 29% of matches, trailed in 21%, and drawn in 50%.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 3 matches were level at half-time.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at both half-time and full-time is plausible given the teams' tendencies to share points, though not highly likely.
- Lausanne have drawn 3 of 7 league matches this season.
- Servette have drawn 1 of 6 league matches this season.
- Last H2H meeting at Lausanne ended 3-3 draw.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/DrawEstimated chance18%

Goals0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
High-scoring H2H history and Lausanne's leaky home defense support over 2.5 goals.
- Lausanne home matches average 3.67 total goals per game this season (5 scored, 6 conceded in 3 games).
- Servette away matches average 2.0 total goals per game this season (1 scored, 3 conceded in 2 games).
- Last 5 H2H meetings produced 3, 6, 1, 4, and 6 goals respectively, averaging 4.0 goals per game.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown ability to score, and the H2H record indicates frequent goals at both ends.
- Lausanne have scored in all 3 home league matches this season (5 goals total).
- Servette have scored in 1 of 2 away league matches this season.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 H2H meetings.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score in the first half, and H2H history shows early goals are common.
- Lausanne average 0.7 first-half goals per match overall this season.
- Servette average 0.9 first-half goals per match overall this season.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, at least one first-half goal was scored in 4 matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined second-half scoring rate is borderline, but the attacking intent of both teams could push the total over 1.5.
- Lausanne average 0.8 second-half goals per match overall this season (1.5 total - 0.7 first half).
- Servette average 0.7 second-half goals per match overall this season (1.6 total - 0.9 first half).
- Combined second-half average is 1.5 goals per match.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance52%

Match stats1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Servette's high corner count and Lausanne's moderate contribution make over 9.5 corners likely.
- Lausanne average 3.6 corners per match overall, while Servette average 6.9 corners per match overall.
- Combined average corners per match is 10.5.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, corner data is unavailable, but both teams' recent averages suggest a high total.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined average is just below the line, but Servette's attacking volume could push the total over 8.5.
- Lausanne average 2.6 shots on target per match overall.
- Servette average 5.4 shots on target per match overall.
- Combined average shots on target is 8.0 per match.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostOver 8.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams accumulate cards at a rate that suggests over 4.5 total cards is likely.
- Lausanne average 3.1 yellow cards per match overall.
- Servette average 2.4 yellow cards per match overall.
- Combined average yellow cards is 5.5 per match.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance55%