Astorps Ff1Qviding FIF2

HT 0–1Sun 13 Sept 2026, 11:00 Predictions graded

Predictions8–467%

Edges4–267%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 Sep 2026, 05:04 · Europe/Bucharest

Astorps' defensive issues and Qviding's transition threat point to an open game, but the best value is on Over 3.5 goals (1.91) and Over 1.5 first-half goals (1.91), not the heavily juiced Over 2.5.

The Draw or Qviding FIF double chance at 1.80 also offers a small edge, though Astorps' recent home wins add risk.

Context

Åstorp sit 10th in Division 2 - Västra Götaland with 23 points from 20 matches.
Their home record is weak: two wins, three draws, and four losses in nine games, with only seven goals scored and thirteen conceded. This suggests they may find it difficult to control the match against Qviding FIF, who have a better away record with three wins in ten. However, Åstorp's recent home form includes a 2-0 win over Kongahälla on 22 August, so they are capable of better performances.
- Åstorp home record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses in 9 matches, 7 goals for, 13 against.
- Recent home win: 2-0 vs Kongahälla on 2026-08-22.
Åstorp's own report flagged defensive pressure as a concern after their last match.
They conceded early at BK Astrio when the scorer was allowed time to approach the penalty area without adequate pressure, and the club described the first half as probably its poorest of the season. The team planned to work on this in training before hosting Qviding, so defensive organisation is a live issue.
- Åstorp reported that Astrio went ahead inside the opening five minutes after their scorer had time to approach the penalty area without adequate pressure.
- The club described the first half as probably its poorest of the season and said Astrio at times played them out completely.
- Åstorp said the team would work in training during the week before the home match against Qviding.
ConfirmedSources checked 13 Sep 2026, 05:03 · Europe/BucharestÅstorps FF Herrar match report: BK Astrio - Åstorps FF 1-2 (1-2)www.astorpsff.se · 9 Sep 2026
Qviding FIF are 8th with 28 points, but their away form is inconsistent.
They have allowed 22 goals in 10 away games, an average of 2.2 per match, and suffered a 5-0 loss at Böljan on 28 August. This defensive vulnerability could give Åstorp chances, especially since Åstorp have scored in most recent matches. However, Qviding also won 3-0 at Astrio in May, showing they can be solid on the road.
- Qviding away record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses in 10 matches, 16 goals for, 22 against.
- Heavy away defeat: 0-5 at Böljan on 2026-08-28.
Qviding showed a transition route in their last match.
They dominated possession against a compact Jonsered side but struggled to break them down until Jonsered pressed higher after the interval. Qviding then intercepted a midfield pass and created the 79th-minute winner, showing they can exploit space behind an opponent that commits players forward.
- Qviding reported clearly dominant first-half possession but difficulty breaking down a compact Jonsered side.
- Jonsered increased its press after the interval, which Qviding said opened space behind their shape.
- Noa Bernhardtz intercepted a midfield pass before Guillermo Sanz created Jonathan Wadensten’s 79th-minute winner.
ConfirmedSources checked 13 Sep 2026, 05:03 · Europe/BucharestQviding FIF Herr match report: Härlig derbyseger på Valhallawww.qviding.se · 7 Sep 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 7 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Qviding FIF have a slightly better overall record and away form, but the edge is small.
- Qviding FIF are 8th with 28 points, Astorps Ff 10th with 23 points
- Qviding FIF away record: 3W 2D 5L, Astorps Ff home record: 2W 3D 4L
- Qviding FIF have won 2 of last 5 matches, Astorps Ff have won 2 of last 5
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonQviding FIFEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Astorps Ff's poor home form makes a Qviding FIF win or draw the more likely double chance.
- Astorps Ff home record: 2W 3D 4L, only 2 wins in 9 home matches
- Qviding FIF away record: 3W 2D 5L, but have avoided defeat in 5 of 10 away matches
- Last H2H at Astorps Ff ended 3-1 to Astorps Ff, but overall H2H is mixed
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Qviding FIFEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have similar first half records, making a draw at half time plausible.
- Astorps Ff leading at half time in 33% of matches, trailing in 47%
- Qviding FIF leading at half time in 33% of matches, trailing in 27%
- Both teams have similar first half performance
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Qviding FIF's slightly better second half scoring and Astorps Ff's defensive issues give Qviding FIF a small edge.
- Qviding FIF have scored more second half goals on average (0.8 vs 0.6)
- Qviding FIF have a better away second half record in recent matches
- Astorps Ff have conceded more second half goals at home
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonQviding FIFEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half time followed by a Qviding FIF win is a plausible but low probability outcome.
- Astorps Ff have drawn at half time in 20% of matches
- Qviding FIF have won full time in 40% of matches
- Combined probability is low but possible
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/Qviding FIFEstimated chance22%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Qviding FIF winning both halves is unlikely but possible given Astorps Ff's home struggles.
- Qviding FIF have won both halves in 2 of last 15 matches
- Astorps Ff have lost both halves in 3 of last 15 matches
- Qviding FIF have a better away record in second halves
BetBugs · Win Both HalveslostQviding FIFEstimated chance15%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Qviding FIF are less likely to trail at half time, making draw or Qviding FIF the safer first half double chance.
- Astorps Ff leading at half time in 33% of matches
- Qviding FIF trailing at half time in 27% of matches
- Combined probability of draw or Qviding FIF leading is 60%
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or Qviding FIFEstimated chance60%

Goals4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high combined goal averages and recent H2H meetings have been high-scoring, supporting over 2.5 goals.
- Astorps Ff average 1.3 goals for and 1.6 goals against over last 15 matches
- Qviding FIF average 1.7 goals for and 1.9 goals against over last 15 matches
- Last H2H meeting ended 2-2, and 3 of last 5 H2H had over 2.5 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams regularly score and concede, making both teams to score likely.
- Astorps Ff have scored in 11 of last 15 matches
- Qviding FIF have scored in 12 of last 15 matches
- Both teams have conceded in 12 of last 15 matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score or concede in the first half, making over 0.5 first half goals likely.
- Astorps Ff average 0.7 first half goals and 1.0 first half goals conceded
- Qviding FIF average 0.9 first half goals and 0.9 first half goals conceded
- In last 15 matches, Astorps Ff had first half goals in 12 matches, Qviding FIF in 11
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second half goal averages are near the 1.5 line, making over 1.5 a close call.
- Astorps Ff average 0.6 second half goals and 0.6 second half goals conceded
- Qviding FIF average 0.8 second half goals and 1.0 second half goals conceded
- Combined second half goal average is 1.5
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams scoring in the first half is possible but not highly likely based on averages.
- Astorps Ff first half goals: 0.7 for, 1.0 against
- Qviding FIF first half goals: 0.9 for, 0.9 against
- Both teams have scored in first half in 4 of last 15 matches
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalflostYesEstimated chance30%