Vikingur Reykjavik2Fram Reykjavik2

HT 1–1Sun 6 Sept 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions8–467%

Edges6–275%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 3 Sep 2026, 00:59 · Europe/Bucharest

Víkingur are strong favourites at home, but the best value is on Fram Reykjavík to score over 1.5 goals at odds of 2.38 (model edge +13 points).

Avoid the heavily overpriced Over 2.5 total goals market at 1.22.

Context

Vikingur Reykjavik lead the Úrvalsdeild with 52 points from 21 matches. Their home record is the best in the league.
Vikingur have not lost at home in the league this season, winning 8 and drawing 2 of 10 matches. They have scored 33 goals and conceded only 8 at home, showing both attacking strength and defensive solidity. Fram's away record is also strong with 7 wins in 10, but they have conceded 16 goals on the road, which could be exploited by Vikingur's attack.
- Vikingur Reykjavik home record: 8 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses in 10 matches.
- Vikingur have scored 33 goals and conceded 8 at home this season.
- Fram Reykjavik away record: 7 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in 10 matches, with 23 goals scored and 16 conceded.
The teams have met five times since September 2025, with Vikingur winning three and drawing two.
Vikingur's 5-0 away win over Fram on 21 June 2026 is the most recent league meeting and shows their dominance in this fixture. Fram have not beaten Vikingur in any of the last five meetings, losing three and drawing two. This pattern suggests Vikingur have a tactical edge, though Fram's current form is strong with three wins in their last five league matches.
- 21 June 2026: Fram Reykjavik 0-5 Vikingur Reykjavik (Úrvalsdeild).
- 4 April 2026: Fram Reykjavik 2-4 Vikingur Reykjavik (Cup).
- 24 January 2026: Vikingur Reykjavik 1-1 Fram Reykjavik (Reykjavik Cup).
Fram Reykjavik are third in the Úrvalsdeild with 44 points from 21 matches.
Fram's away record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in 10 matches is impressive, with 23 goals scored and 16 conceded. They have won their last two away league matches, including a 4-3 win at Breidablik on 24 August 2026. However, their defensive record on the road is weaker than Vikingur's home defense, which could be a key factor.
- Fram Reykjavik away record: 7 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in 10 matches.
- Fram have scored 23 goals and conceded 16 away from home.
- Recent away wins: 4-3 at Breidablik (24 Aug 2026) and 2-1 at IBV Vestmannaeyjar (1 Aug 2026).
Víkingur defender G. Vatnhamar has left the club, joining Vejle on 2 September.
His departure removes a selectable defender from the squad for this match. Víkingur used Sveinn Gísli Þorkelsson in defence against KR, so the back line will continue without Vatnhamar.
- Víkingur announced on 2 September that G. Vatnhamar had been sold to Danish club Vejle.
- Fotbolti.net reported that his Borac Banja Luka appearance was his final match for Víkingur and that Sveinn Gísli Þorkelsson replaced him in defence against KR.
ConfirmedSources checked 3 Sep 2026, 00:57 · Europe/BucharestVíkingur: Gunnar Vatnhamar to Vejlevikingur.is · 2 Sep 2026Fotbolti.net: KR 1–1 Víkingur R.www.fotbolti.net · 1 Sep 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 4 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Vikingur Reykjavik's dominant home record and recent H2H superiority over Fram Reykjavik make them strong favourites.
- Vikingur Reykjavik are unbeaten at home this season: 8 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses in 10 home matches.
- Vikingur Reykjavik have scored 33 goals and conceded only 8 at home, a goal difference of +25.
- Fram Reykjavik have lost their last two away matches against Vikingur Reykjavik by 5-0 and 4-2 scorelines.
- Vikingur Reykjavik lead the league with 52 points, 8 points ahead of third-placed Fram Reykjavik.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostVikingur ReykjavikEstimated chance65%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Vikingur Reykjavik's unbeaten home record makes a home win or draw highly likely.
- Vikingur Reykjavik have not lost at home this season (8W, 2D, 0L).
- Fram Reykjavik have won only 7 of 10 away matches, with 2 draws and 1 loss.
- Vikingur Reykjavik have won 16 of 21 league matches overall.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonVikingur Reykjavik or DrawEstimated chance88%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Fram Reykjavik's superior first-half scoring and half-time lead percentage give them an edge in the first half, though Vikingur's overall quality keeps this low confidence.
- Fram Reykjavik have led at half-time in 53% of their matches, compared to Vikingur's 20%.
- Fram Reykjavik average 1.6 first-half goals scored per match.
- Vikingur Reykjavik average only 0.7 first-half goals scored.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostFram ReykjavikEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Vikingur often start slowly but finish strongly, making a half-time draw followed by a home win a plausible scenario.
- Vikingur Reykjavik have drawn at half-time in 60% of their matches (20% leading, 20% trailing).
- Vikingur Reykjavik have won 16 of 21 league matches, often coming from behind or drawing at half-time.
- Fram Reykjavik have led at half-time in 53% of matches, but Vikingur's second-half strength is notable.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw / Vikingur ReykjavikEstimated chance25%

Goals7 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high-scoring tendencies and recent H2H matches have been goal-filled, supporting over 2.5 goals.
- Vikingur Reykjavik average 1.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match across all competitions.
- Fram Reykjavik average 2.4 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match.
- The last two H2H meetings produced 5 and 6 total goals respectively.
- Fram Reykjavik's away matches average 3.9 total goals (23 scored, 16 conceded in 10 games).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have consistent scoring records, and Vikingur's home defence has been less solid recently, making both teams scoring likely.
- Vikingur Reykjavik have conceded in 6 of their last 10 home matches across all competitions.
- Fram Reykjavik have scored in 9 of their last 10 away matches.
- Fram Reykjavik average 2.4 goals scored per match overall.
- Vikingur Reykjavik have kept only 2 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Fram Reykjavik's strong first-half scoring record could push the first half over 1.5 goals, but Vikingur's lower first-half output adds uncertainty.
- Vikingur Reykjavik average 0.7 first-half goals scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Fram Reykjavik average 1.6 first-half goals scored and 0.9 conceded.
- Fram Reykjavik have led at half-time in 53% of their matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score in the second half, with a combined average above 1.5 goals, supporting over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Vikingur Reykjavik average 1.1 second-half goals scored (1.8 total - 0.7 first half).
- Fram Reykjavik average 0.8 second-half goals scored (2.4 total - 1.6 first half).
- Combined second-half average is 1.9 goals per match.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Fram Reykjavik's consistent away scoring and Vikingur's recent home defensive lapses make a home clean sheet unlikely.
- Vikingur Reykjavik have conceded in 8 of their last 10 home matches across all competitions.
- Fram Reykjavik have scored in 9 of their last 10 away matches.
- Fram Reykjavik average 2.4 goals scored per match overall.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonFram Reykjavik to scoreEstimated chance60%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Vikingur's prolific home scoring and Fram's away defensive vulnerabilities make an away clean sheet very unlikely.
- Vikingur Reykjavik have scored in all 10 home league matches this season.
- Vikingur Reykjavik average 3.3 goals scored per home league match.
- Fram Reykjavik have conceded in 8 of their last 10 away matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonVikingur Reykjavik to scoreEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Vikingur's strong home scoring record suggests they are likely to score multiple goals, making over 2.5 home goals a reasonable bet.
- Vikingur Reykjavik average 3.3 goals scored per home league match.
- Vikingur Reykjavik have scored 3+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches across all competitions.
- Fram Reykjavik have conceded 16 goals in 10 away matches (1.6 per game).
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostVikingur Reykjavik over 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Fram Reykjavik's away scoring average is above 1.5, and Vikingur's defence has shown vulnerability in recent matches, supporting over 1.5 away goals.
- Fram Reykjavik average 2.3 goals scored per away match.
- Fram Reykjavik have scored 2+ goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches.
- Vikingur Reykjavik have conceded 8 goals in 10 home league matches (0.8 per game), but have conceded more in recent non-league home games.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonFram Reykjavik over 1.5Estimated chance55%