Fram Reykjavik
Market 54% · BetBugs 55%
Fram's superior league position and home advantage, combined with their recent H2H win, make them favourites.
ÚrvalsdeildFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Back Fram Reykjavik or Draw (double chance) at 1.33 for a solid +5 point edge, as Fram's strong home form and Stjarnan's away struggles make a home defeat unlikely.
Avoid Over 2.5 goals at 1.22—the implied 82% is far above our 60% estimate, offering no value despite both teams' high-scoring trends.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Fram ReykjavikMarket 54% · BetBugs 55%
Fram's superior league position and home advantage, combined with their recent H2H win, make them favourites.
Market 75.2% · BetBugs 80%
Fram Reykjavik's strong home form and Stjarnan's inconsistent away record make a home win or draw highly likely.
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 60% · Market 63.7%
Fram average 2.6 goals scored and 1.9 conceded at home, while Stjarnan concede 2.1 away; combined expected goals support Over 3.5.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 33% for -1 handicap is fair given Fram's average winning margin at home is only 0.7 goals; no cushion.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Fram ReykjavikPlay-offs | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 45-34 | 37 |
| 8 | StjarnanRelegation Playoffs | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 33-43 | 21 |

