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Predictions graded

Fram Reykjavik0FH Hafnarfjordur0

HT 0–0Sun 26 Jul 2026, 19:15 Predictions graded

Predictions0–80%

Edges0–50%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 23 Jul 2026, 08:19 · Europe/Bucharest

Fram Reykjavik are strong favorites to beat struggling FH Hafnarfjordur in a high-scoring affair, but the best betting value is on Over 3.5 goals at 1.65, where our model sees a 14.4-point edge.

Avoid the short-priced Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams to Score markets, as they offer no value despite the likely goal-heavy outcome.

Context

Fram have scored 24 goals in 7 home league matches (3.4 per game).
- FH have conceded 20 goals in 7 away league matches (2.9 per game).
- Fram scored 4 goals in their last away meeting with FH in May 2026.
Fram sit 3rd with 33 points, only 4 points above the split line for the upper section.
- FH are 11th with 12 points, 5 points from safety in the lower section.
- KSÍ competition rules confirm the league splits after 22 rounds, making every remaining match critical.
Transfermarkt data shows Rúnar Kristinsson with a 9-0 record against Joey Gudjónsson in their coaching careers.
- Fram have won the last two away matches at FH 4-3 under this coaching matchup.
- FH have not beaten Fram since Gudjónsson took charge in January 2026.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 2 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Fram's superior league position, dominant H2H record, and strong home form make them clear favorites, while FH's poor season and defensive struggles (31 conceded) reinforce a home win.
- Fram are 3rd with 33 pts from 15 games; FH are 11th with 12 pts.
- Fram have won 10 of 15 league matches this season; FH have won only 2.
- Fram are unbeaten in last 5 H2Hs (W4 D1), including two 4-3 away wins at FH.
- Fram's home record: W5 D1 L1, scoring 24 goals in 7 home games.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostFram ReykjavikEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Fram's superior first-half performance metrics and H2H dominance in early stages give them a clear edge to lead at the break.
- Fram led at half-time in 47% of matches (7 of 15); FH led in only 33% (5 of 15).
- Fram's first-half goal difference: +0.4 per game; FH's: -0.3 per game.
- In the last 5 H2Hs, Fram led at half-time in 3 matches, FH in 1, and 1 was drawn.
- Fram scored first-half goals in 12 of 15 matches; FH conceded first-half goals in 11 of 15.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostFram ReykjavikEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Fram's tendency to start strong and convert half-time leads into wins, especially at home, makes the HT/FT double a plausible outcome.
- Fram led at half-time and won the match in 6 of their 15 games (40%).
- FH trailed at half-time and lost the match in 4 of their 15 games (27%).
- In the last 5 H2Hs, Fram led at half-time and won the match twice.
- Fram's home record: W5 D1 L1, with 4 wins after leading at half-time.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableFram Reykjavik / Fram ReykjavikEstimated chance50%

Goals0 of 6 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent matches and H2H history consistently produce high-scoring games, with Fram's attacking output (2.7 goals/game) and FH's leaky defense (2.3 conceded/game) strongly pointing to over 2.5 goals.
- 13 of last 17 H2Hs finished over 2.5 goals.
- Fram's last 15 matches average 4.6 total goals (2.7 scored, 1.9 conceded).
- FH's last 15 matches average 3.6 total goals (1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded).
- Last two H2Hs at FH ended 4-3.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Fram's consistent scoring and FH's ability to find the net in most games, combined with both teams' defensive vulnerabilities, make both teams scoring likely.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 H2Hs.
- Fram have scored in 14 of their last 15 matches; FH have scored in 11 of their last 15.
- FH have conceded in 13 of their last 15 matches.
- Fram have kept only 3 clean sheets in their last 15 matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Fram's strong first-half scoring and FH's tendency to concede early, along with recent H2H first-half goal averages, support over 1.5 first-half goals.
- Fram average 1.3 first-half goals scored; FH average 0.9 first-half goals scored.
- Fram concede 0.9 first-half goals on average; FH concede 1.2.
- In the last 5 H2Hs, first-half goals totals: 4, 3, 2, 0, 0 (average 1.8).
- Fram led at half-time in 47% of matches; FH trailed at half-time in 33%.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' second-half scoring and conceding patterns, along with high-scoring H2H second halves, support over 1.5 goals after the break.
- Fram's matches average 2.3 second-half goals (1.4 scored, 0.9 conceded).
- FH's matches average 1.8 second-half goals (0.4 scored, 1.4 conceded).
- In the last 5 H2Hs, second-half goals totals: 3, 3, 2, 2, 1 (average 2.2).
- Fram scored in the second half in 12 of 15 matches; FH conceded in the second half in 12 of 15.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Fram's prolific home scoring and FH's poor away defensive record make it highly likely the home side scores at least twice.
- Fram average 2.7 goals per game overall, and 3.4 goals per home game (24 in 7).
- Fram have scored at least 2 goals in 12 of their last 15 matches.
- FH concede 2.3 goals per game overall, and 2.9 goals per away game (20 in 7).
- In the last 5 H2Hs, Fram scored 2+ goals in 4 matches.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostFram Reykjavik over 1.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
FH's consistent scoring record and Fram's defensive lapses suggest the away side is likely to get on the scoresheet.
- FH have scored in 11 of their last 15 matches.
- FH average 1.3 goals per game overall, and 1.4 goals per away game.
- Fram have conceded in 12 of their last 15 matches, including 1.9 goals per game.
- FH scored in 3 of the last 5 H2Hs.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostFH Hafnarfjordur over 0.5Estimated chance65%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
In the absence of direct corner stats, the expected open, attacking nature of the game and Fram's dominance imply a higher corner count, but confidence is low due to missing data.
- Corner data is unavailable for both teams in recent matches.
- High-scoring matches often correlate with increased corner counts.
- Fram's attacking style (2.7 goals/game) suggests sustained pressure and potential for corners.
- FH's defensive struggles may lead to more corners conceded.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 5 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

4W · 1D · 0W

W3-4FH hafnarfjordurvFram ReykjavikMay 3, 2026ÚRV

W3-4FH hafnarfjordurvFram ReykjavikOct 25, 2025ÚRV

D2-2FH hafnarfjordurvFram ReykjavikSep 14, 2025ÚRV

W2-0Fram ReykjavikvFH hafnarfjordurJun 15, 2025ÚRV

W1-0Fram ReykjavikvFH hafnarfjordurApr 19, 2025CUP

Fram Reykjavik unbeaten in 5 meetingsFram Reykjavik: 2 clean sheets4.2 goals/game avg

League Table

Úrvalsdeild 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
3	Fram Reykjavik	15	10	3	2	41-28	33	WWDWL
11	FH Hafnarfjordur	15	2	6	7	20-31	12	DWDDD

21pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Fram Reykjavik

W3-2Valur ReykjavikJul 18ÚRV

W6-1Thor AkureyriJul 12ÚRV

D1-1KeflavikJul 6ÚRV

W2-0IA AkranesJun 29ÚRV

L0-5Vikingur ReykjavikJun 21ÚRV

W4-3KA AkureyriJun 15ÚRV

W4-3BreidablikMay 29ÚRV

W1-0StjarnanMay 22ÚRV

D2-2KR ReykjavikMay 17ÚRV

W3-2Valur ReykjavikMay 8ÚRV

W4-3FH hafnarfjordurMay 3ÚRV

W5-1IBV VestmannaeyjarApr 27ÚRV

L0-1Thor AkureyriApr 23ÚRV

W3-1KeflavikApr 17ÚRV

D3-3IA AkranesApr 12ÚRV

FH Hafnarfjordur

D0-0BreidablikJul 20ÚRV

W2-0Valur ReykjavikJul 12ÚRV

D2-2StjarnanJul 3ÚRV

D1-1IBV VestmannaeyjarJun 28ÚRV

D1-1Thor AkureyriJun 21ÚRV

W2-1KeflavikJun 14ÚRV

L0-1IA AkranesMay 29ÚRV

L0-5Vikingur ReykjavikMay 22ÚRV

L1-2KA AkureyriMay 17ÚRV

L0-5FylkirMay 14CUP

D3-3BreidablikMay 8ÚRV

L3-4Fram ReykjavikMay 3ÚRV

L2-4KR ReykjavikApr 27ÚRV

L0-3Valur ReykjavikApr 23ÚRV

L2-3StjarnanApr 17ÚRV

Squad & Injuries

Fram Reykjavik

24 available

Attackers7

Midfielders7

Defenders8

Goalkeeper2

FH Hafnarfjordur

26 available

Attackers9

Midfielders6

Defenders8

Goalkeeper3

Fram Reykjavik0FH Hafnarfjordur0

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Fram Reykjavik at half-time / Fram Reykjavik at full-time

Over 3.5

Over 1.5

Fram Reykjavik

Over 1.5

Yes

BetBugs probabilities

Result0 of 2 landed

Goals0 of 6 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Fram Reykjavik or Draw

Over 2.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Fram Reykjavik

FH Hafnarfjordur

Squad & Injuries

Fram Reykjavik

FH Hafnarfjordur