La Liga 2Full time

Predictions graded

Eibar3Granada0

HT 2–0Sun 6 Sept 2026, 12:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–650%

Edges3–350%

PossPossession 35%–65%ShotsShots 11–18On targetOn target 8–3CornersCorners 1–5

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 6 Sep 2026, 06:43 · Europe/Bucharest

Eibar vs Granada is expected to be a tight, low-scoring match with both teams missing key players.

However, the betting market has already priced in these expectations, leaving no value on Eibar to win, under 2.5 goals, or first-half under 1.5. Avoid these markets at current odds.

Context

Granada are third in La Liga 2 with seven points from three games, two wins and a draw. Eibar are tenth with six points from three games.
Granada's unbeaten start includes a 3-1 away win at Cordoba on 30 August and a 2-0 home win over Mallorca on 24 August. Eibar have won two of three but lost their last home match 1-3 to Tenerife on 16 August. Granada's away record is solid with four points from two games, while Eibar have only one win in two home matches.
- Granada are 3rd with 7 points (W2 D1 L0), Eibar are 10th with 6 points (W2 D0 L1).
- Granada won 3-1 at Cordoba on 2026-08-30 and beat Mallorca 2-0 at home on 2026-08-24.
- Eibar lost 1-3 at home to Tenerife on 2026-08-16.
Eibar midfielder Jon Magunazelaia is suspended after his red card against Andorra.
His absence forces a change on Eibar's right side, with Pejiño and Adu Ares the reported alternatives. The team loses a current attacking-midfield selection, but the replacement options are already in the squad.
- Granada Hoy reported that Magunazelaia is suspended after his direct red card in the previous round.
- The same report identified Pejiño and Adu Ares as the competing alternatives on Eibar’s right side.
ReportedSources checked 6 Sep 2026, 06:42 · Europe/BucharestGranada Hoy: Granada defend their lead at Eibarwww.granadahoy.com · 5 Sep 2026
Eibar have played two home matches this season, winning one and losing one. Granada have played two away matches, winning one and drawing one.
Eibar's home loss to Tenerife exposed defensive issues, conceding three goals. Granada's away form includes a 3-1 win at Cordoba and a 0-0 draw at Oviedo, showing they can score and defend on the road. This matchup may test Eibar's ability to contain Granada's attack.
- Eibar home record: 1 win, 1 loss, 2 goals for, 3 goals against.
- Granada away record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 goals for, 1 goal against.
- Eibar lost 1-3 to Tenerife at home on 2026-08-16.
Eibar midfielder Sergio Álvarez remains out with a right-quadriceps injury.
His continued absence reduces Eibar's central-midfield options for this match. The team must cover his role from the remaining squad, though no specific replacement is named.
- SD Eibar said Álvarez’s right-quadriceps injury would keep him out for the following weeks.
- Granada Hoy reported that Álvarez would not be ready for the Granada match.
ReportedSources checked 6 Sep 2026, 06:42 · Europe/BucharestSD Eibar: preparation for the Andorra tripwww.sdeibar.com · 26 Aug 2026Granada Hoy: Granada defend their lead at Eibarwww.granadahoy.com · 5 Sep 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Other edges · 6

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Eibar

2.05fair 2.63

BetBugs 38% · Market 48.8%

0.0ppshort

Eibar's home advantage and recent H2H edge give them a slight edge, but Granada's strong away form and defensive solidity make this a close contest.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Eibar or Draw

1.30fair 1.47

BetBugs 68% · Market 76.9%

0.0ppshort

Eibar's home form and H2H history suggest they are unlikely to lose, making Eibar or Draw a solid double chance.

1 St Half ResultlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Draw

2.05fair 2.22

BetBugs 45% · Market 48.8%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have moderate first-half scoring and a history of level scores at the break, making a first-half draw likely.

Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Lean

Under 2.5

1.60fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 62.5%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have moderate scoring and solid defenses, and recent H2H meetings have been low-scoring, supporting under 2.5 goals.

Both Teams To ScorewonUncertainty band: Slight lean

No

1.75fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 57.1%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have shown defensive resilience, and the H2H record includes several clean sheets, making BTTS No a reasonable pick.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Lean

Under 1.5

1.30fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 76.9%

0.0ppshort

Both teams tend to start cautiously, with low first-half scoring averages and a history of tight first halves in H2H.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Eibar's home advantage and recent H2H edge give them a slight edge, but Granada's strong away form and defensive solidity make this a close contest.
- Eibar home record this season: 1W 0D 1L, 2 goals for, 3 against
- Eibar last 5 home matches in all competitions: 3W 1D 1L
- Granada away record this season: 1W 1D 0L, 3 goals for, 1 against
- H2H last 5: Eibar 2W, Granada 1W, 2D
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonEibarEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Eibar's home form and H2H history suggest they are unlikely to lose, making Eibar or Draw a solid double chance.
- Eibar home record this season: 1W 0D 1L
- Granada away record this season: 1W 1D 0L
- H2H last 5: Eibar 2W, Granada 1W, 2D
BetBugs · Double ChancewonEibar or DrawEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate first-half scoring and a history of level scores at the break, making a first-half draw likely.
- Eibar leading at half time in 53% of matches
- Granada leading at half time in 33% of matches
- H2H last 5: 3 matches were level at half time
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Eibar's home support and ability to push late could give them a second-half edge, though Granada's away form makes this uncertain.
- Eibar average second half goals: 0.6
- Granada average second half goals: 0.8
- H2H last 5: Eibar won second half in 2 matches
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonEibarEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half time followed by an Eibar win is a plausible scenario given Eibar's home advantage and second-half potential.
- Eibar home record: 1W 0D 1L
- Granada away record: 1W 1D 0L
- H2H last 5: 1 match ended Draw/Eibar
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonDraw/EibarEstimated chance18%

Goals1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate scoring and solid defenses, and recent H2H meetings have been low-scoring, supporting under 2.5 goals.
- Eibar average goals per match: 1.7, goals conceded: 1.1
- Granada average goals per match: 1.3, goals conceded: 1.0
- H2H last 5: 3 matches had under 2.5 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown defensive resilience, and the H2H record includes several clean sheets, making BTTS No a reasonable pick.
- Eibar failed to score in 1 of last 5 home matches
- Granada kept clean sheets in 2 of last 5 away matches
- H2H last 5: 2 matches ended with both teams not scoring
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start cautiously, with low first-half scoring averages and a history of tight first halves in H2H.
- Eibar average first half goals: 1.1, conceded: 0.4
- Granada average first half goals: 0.5, conceded: 0.5
- H2H last 5: 4 matches had 0 or 1 first half goals
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second halves have seen more goals in recent H2H meetings, and both teams tend to open up after the break.
- Eibar average second half goals: 0.6 (total 1.7 - first half 1.1)
- Granada average second half goals: 0.8 (total 1.3 - first half 0.5)
- H2H last 5: 3 matches had 2+ second half goals
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance52%

Match stats1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams average around 4 corners each, suggesting a total near 8, but variance makes over 8.5 a coin flip.
- Eibar average corners per match: 3.9
- Granada average corners per match: 4.0
- Combined average corners: 7.9
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 8.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate shot accuracy, and the combined average is well below 8.5, supporting under.
- Eibar average shots on target: 3.1
- Granada average shots on target: 3.8
- Combined average shots on target: 6.9
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostUnder 8.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Granada's higher card count pushes the combined average above 4.5, but the margin is thin.
- Eibar average yellow cards: 1.9
- Granada average yellow cards: 2.8
- Combined average yellow cards: 4.7
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 4.5Estimated chance50%