MTK Budapest
BetBugs 45% · Market 51.3%
MTK's home form and H2H record support a home win, but the odds imply a higher probability than our estimate, so no value edge exists.
NB IFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
MTK Budapest are favoured at home but face selection uncertainty due to an illness cluster, while Kisvárda miss suspended midfielder B.
Oláh. The model sees no value in the main markets: home win (45% vs 51.3% implied), double chance (75% vs 76.9%), over 2.5 goals (55% vs 63.7%), and first-half over 0.5 (65% vs 80%). Best approach is to wait for team news before considering any bet, as MTK's illness situation could significantly shift the odds.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Other edges · 5
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
MTK BudapestBetBugs 45% · Market 51.3%
MTK's home form and H2H record support a home win, but the odds imply a higher probability than our estimate, so no value edge exists.
BetBugs 75% · Market 76.9%
MTK's home advantage and Kisvarda's away inconsistency make a home win or draw likely, but the odds are slightly short of our estimate.
BetBugs 55% · Market 63.7%
MTK's home games average 3.67 total goals and both teams concede regularly, but the odds imply a higher probability than our estimate.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 51% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | MTK Budapest | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13-10 | 9 |
| 10 | Kisvarda | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7-8 | 6 |

