Primera DivisiónFull time

Predictions graded

CS Herediano2Municipal Perez Zeledon3

HT 1–1Sat 5 Sept 2026, 23:00 Predictions graded

Predictions4–833%

Edges1–614%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 3 Sep 2026, 05:23 · Europe/Bucharest

Herediano are desperate for points but their poor league form makes the 1.45 home win price poor value.

The best betting edge is the first-half draw at 2.38, with Under 2.5 goals also offering a slight edge.

Context

CS Herediano are 10th in the Apertura table with 2 points from 6 matches.
Their recent league form is poor: they lost 0-1 to CS Cartagines on 30 August, 0-3 to Sporting San Jose on 23 August, and 0-1 to San Carlos on 15 August. They have scored only 2 goals in 6 league games and conceded 10. At home they have 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1 goal scored and 7 conceded. This match is an opportunity to get their first win, but their attack has been ineffective.
- CS Herediano are 10th with 2 points from 6 matches (0 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses).
- They lost 0-1 to CS Cartagines on 30 August, 0-3 to Sporting San Jose on 23 August, and 0-1 to San Carlos on 15 August.
- They have scored 2 goals and conceded 10 in the league this season.
- At home they have 0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, with 1 goal scored and 7 conceded.
Perez Zeledon are 8th with 5 points from 6 matches.
Their away record is 0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, with 1 goal scored and 6 conceded. They lost 0-1 to Puntarenas FC on 22 August and 0-1 to Inter San Carlos on 16 August. Their only away point came in a 0-0 draw with Escorpiones Belén on 9 August. This suggests they are vulnerable on the road, but Herediano's own home form is also weak.
- Perez Zeledon have 0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses away, with 1 goal scored and 6 conceded.
- They lost 0-1 to Puntarenas FC on 22 August and 0-1 to Inter San Carlos on 16 August.
- They drew 0-0 with Escorpiones Belén on 9 August.
Herediano sit last after six rounds and seven points behind the semifinal places in the Apertura.
This home match carries immediate qualification pressure, so Herediano have a clear incentive to prioritize a domestic result. The gap is confirmed but does not by itself change how the team will play.
- The Apertura's top four qualify for the semifinals.
- On 1 September, Herediano were seven points behind fourth place after six rounds.
ConfirmedSources checked 3 Sep 2026, 05:21 · Europe/BucharestTeleticawww.teletica.com · 9 Jun 2026Teleticawww.teletica.com · 1 Sep 2026
The teams have met five times in the last year.
In the most recent meeting on 23 April 2026, Herediano won 1-0 away. Before that, on 1 March 2026, they won 3-0 at home. However, Perez Zeledon won 3-1 at home in December 2025, so the head-to-head is mixed. Herediano's recent wins may give them confidence, but current form is poor.
- Herediano won 1-0 away on 23 April 2026.
- Herediano won 3-0 at home on 1 March 2026.
- Perez Zeledon won 3-1 at home on 7 December 2025.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Herediano's strong H2H record and home advantage outweigh their poor league form, while Perez Zeledon's away struggles make a home win the most likely single outcome.
- Herediano have won 3 of the last 5 H2H meetings, including a 3-0 home win in March 2026.
- Herediano are winless in their last 5 league matches (0W 2D 3L), but have won 2 of their last 3 home games across all competitions.
- Perez Zeledon have lost 3 of their last 5 away matches, conceding 6 goals in 3 away games this season.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostCS HeredianoEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Given Herediano's home resilience and Perez Zeledon's poor away record, the double chance of a home win or draw is strongly supported.
- Herediano have avoided defeat in 4 of the last 5 H2H meetings.
- Perez Zeledon have won only 1 of their last 6 away matches across all competitions.
- Herediano have drawn 2 of their last 3 home matches in all competitions.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostCS Herediano or DrawEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams frequently go into the break level, making a first-half draw the most likely outcome.
- Herediano have drawn at half-time in 4 of their last 5 matches.
- Perez Zeledon have drawn at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 3 matches were level at half-time.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A pattern of first-half draws followed by a Herediano home win is plausible given their second-half strength and Perez Zeledon's away fragility.
- Herediano have drawn at half-time in 4 of their last 5 matches.
- Herediano have won 2 of their last 3 home matches across all competitions.
- Perez Zeledon have lost 3 of their last 5 away matches.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw / CS HeredianoEstimated chance25%

Goals3 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low scoring outputs, especially Herediano, making a low-scoring match likely.
- Herediano's last 5 matches have averaged 1.4 total goals, with 4 of 5 going under 2.5.
- Perez Zeledon's last 5 matches have averaged 2.2 total goals, with 3 of 5 going under 2.5.
- Herediano have scored only 2 goals in 6 league matches this season.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams struggle to score, and H2H history shows a tendency for at least one side to be shut out.
- Herediano have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 league matches.
- Perez Zeledon have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 away matches.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, both teams scored in only 2 matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, with low first-half scoring across recent matches and H2H encounters.
- Herediano's last 5 matches have averaged 0.6 first-half goals.
- Perez Zeledon's last 5 matches have averaged 0.8 first-half goals.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, only 2 matches had more than 1 first-half goal.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second halves have been more productive for both teams, suggesting a moderate chance of over 1.5 goals after the break.
- Herediano's last 5 matches have averaged 1.0 second-half goals.
- Perez Zeledon's last 5 matches have averaged 1.4 second-half goals.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 3 matches had over 1.5 second-half goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Perez Zeledon's away scoring struggles give Herediano a reasonable chance of a clean sheet.
- Herediano kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5 home matches across all competitions.
- Perez Zeledon have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 away matches.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, Herediano kept a clean sheet twice.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostMunicipal Perez Zeledon not to scoreEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Perez Zeledon's defensive record away from home makes a clean sheet unlikely.
- Perez Zeledon have kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 away matches.
- Herediano have scored in 3 of their last 5 home matches across all competitions.
- Perez Zeledon have conceded in 5 of their last 6 away matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonCS Herediano to scoreEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Herediano have shown occasional home scoring bursts, but their overall league form tempers confidence.
- Herediano have scored 2+ goals in 2 of their last 5 home matches across all competitions.
- Perez Zeledon have conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches.
- Herediano scored 3 goals in their last home H2H meeting.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonCS Herediano over 1.5Estimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Perez Zeledon's away scoring is consistently low, making under 1.5 away goals likely.
- Perez Zeledon have scored 1 goal or fewer in 4 of their last 5 away matches.
- Perez Zeledon have scored only 1 goal in 3 away league matches this season.
- Herediano have conceded 1 goal or fewer in 3 of their last 5 home matches across all competitions.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostMunicipal Perez Zeledon under 1.5Estimated chance60%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 69% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; the price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

5W · 0D · 0W

W0-1Perez ZeledonvCS HeredianoApr 23, 2026PRI

W3-0CS HeredianovPerez ZeledonMar 1, 2026PRI

W1-3Perez ZeledonvCS HeredianoDec 7, 2025PRI

W2-1CS HeredianovPerez ZeledonAug 17, 2025PRI

W3-0CS HeredianovPerez ZeledonMar 27, 2025PRI

CS Herediano unbeaten in 5 meetingsCS Herediano: 3 clean sheets2.8 goals/game avg

League Table

Primera División 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
10	CS Herediano	6	0	2	4	2-10	2	LLLLD
8	Municipal Perez Zeledon	6	1	2	3	3-8	5	DLLDW

3pt gap between teams

Recent Form

CS Herediano

L0-1CS CartaginesAug 30PRI

W2-1Antigua GFCAug 27CON

L0-3Sporting San JoseAug 23PRI

W2-0Real EstelíAug 19CON

L0-1San CarlosAug 15PRI

L0-3LD AlajuelenseAug 10PRI

L0-1AlianzaAug 6CON

D1-1Inter San CarlosAug 3PRI

D0-0CD MarathonJul 31CON

D1-1Puntarenas FCJul 24PRI

W1-0Deportivo SaprissaJul 18REC

W1-0LD AlajuelenseJul 12SUP

W2-0Deportivo SaprissaMay 17PRI

L1-2Deportivo SaprissaMay 14PRI

D0-0CS CartaginesMay 10PRI

Municipal Perez Zeledon

D1-1LD AlajuelenseAug 30PRI

L0-1Puntarenas FCAug 22PRI

L0-1Inter San CarlosAug 16PRI

D0-0Escorpiones BelénAug 9PRI

W1-0CS CartaginesAug 4PRI

L1-5Deportivo SaprissaJul 25PRI

D1-1San CarlosApr 25PRI

L0-1CS HeredianoApr 23PRI

L0-1Guadalupe FCApr 18PRI

D3-3Puntarenas FCApr 12PRI

L0-4Deportivo SaprissaApr 5PRI

W3-1CS CartaginesMar 22PRI

L0-3LD AlajuelenseMar 14PRI

L2-3Sporting San JoseMar 10PRI

D1-1Municipal LiberiaMar 4PRI

Squad & Injuries

CS Herediano

35 available

Attackers9

Midfielders11

Defenders11

Goalkeeper4

Municipal Perez Zeledon

37 available

Attackers7

Midfielders15

Defenders11

Goalkeeper4

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Under 2.5

No

CS Herediano

CS Herediano or Draw

Under 1.5

Under 1.5

Result1 of 4 landed

Goals3 of 8 landed

Markets to Avoid

CS Herediano

CS Herediano or Draw

Under 1.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

CS Herediano

Municipal Perez Zeledon

Squad & Injuries

CS Herediano

Municipal Perez Zeledon