Draw
Market 30.3% · BetBugs 34%
Both teams are struggling for wins and have poor home/away splits, making a draw the most likely outcome.
Primera DivisiónFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
The best value is the draw at 3.30 (34% model vs 30.3% implied).
Avoid the double chance and first-half goals over 0.5, which are overpriced. Over 2.5 goals and BTTS are marginal leans, but the draw is the standout play.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
Market 30.3% · BetBugs 34%
Both teams are struggling for wins and have poor home/away splits, making a draw the most likely outcome.
Market 52.4% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams concede heavily (1.8 and 1.9 per game) and recent H2H produced 3-3, supporting an open game.
Market 57.1% · BetBugs 58%
Both teams regularly score and concede, and BTTS landed in 3 of last 5 H2H meetings.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 80% leaves no cushion vs our 62% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Puntarenas | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 2 |
| 6 | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2-6 | 4 |

