Primera DivisiónFull time

Predictions graded

CS Herediano0Sporting San Jose3

HT 0–0Sun 23 Aug 2026, 02:00 Predictions graded

Predictions4–640%

Edges3–350%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 19 Aug 2026, 17:05 · Europe/Bucharest

Herediano's dominant H2H record and Sporting's scoring drought make the home side likely to win, but the odds offer no value.

The best bets are the first-half draw (edge +6.2 points) and Under 2.5 goals (edge +3.3 points), while the home win and Under 1.5 first-half goals are traps. Watch for Herediano rotation ahead of their continental fixture, which could open the door for Sporting.

Context

Herediano's official schedule lists the Antigua GFC match on 26 August.
- No rotation plan has been disclosed by the club.
- Herediano's recent league form is poor (LLDD), so they may prioritize the continental fixture.
Last five H2H results: 0-0, 0-2, 0-1, 0-0, 1-3 (Sporting scored only once).
- Herediano kept clean sheets in three of those five matches.
- Sporting's away record this season is 0W-1D-1L with only 2 goals scored.
Home league matches: 0-3 loss to LD Alajuelense, 1-1 draw with Puntarenas FC.
- Herediano's overall goals conceded average is 0.6 per game, but home average is 2.0.
- Sporting have scored 2 goals in 2 away matches this season.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Herediano's dominant H2H record and Sporting's scoring struggles in this matchup give the home side the edge, despite their poor current league form.
- Herediano have won 16 of 23 H2H meetings, with Sporting winning only 3.
- Sporting failed to score in four of the last five H2H meetings.
- Herediano's recent form is poor (LLDD in league), but they have a strong H2H edge.
- Sporting's away record this season: 0W-1D-1L, with 2 goals scored and 3 conceded.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostCS HeredianoEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Given Herediano's historical dominance and Sporting's poor away record, the home side avoiding defeat is highly likely.
- Herediano have not lost to Sporting in the last five meetings (3W, 2D).
- Sporting have won only 3 of 23 H2H meetings.
- Herediano are at home, where they have drawn 1 and lost 1 this season.
- Sporting's away form is weak (0W-1D-1L).
BetBugs · Double ChancelostCS Herediano or DrawEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The high frequency of halftime draws in both teams' recent matches and H2H history makes a level first half the most probable outcome.
- Herediano led at halftime in only 20% of matches, trailed in 13%, and drew in 67%.
- Sporting led at halftime in 20% of matches, trailed in 13%, and drew in 67%.
- In the last five H2H meetings, the halftime result was draw in four matches.
- Both teams average 0.4 first-half goals, indicating low scoring and likely parity.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at both halftime and fulltime is a plausible outcome given the teams' tendencies to draw and low-scoring patterns.
- Herediano have drawn 2 of 4 league matches this season.
- Sporting have drawn 2 of 4 league matches this season.
- Last H2H meeting ended 0-0.
- Both teams have low scoring rates, increasing the chance of a stalemate.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/DrawEstimated chance25%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Herediano's poor first-half record makes it unlikely they will lead at the break, favoring Sporting or a draw.
- Herediano have led at halftime in only 20% of matches.
- Sporting have trailed at halftime in only 13% of matches.
- In H2H meetings, Herediano rarely lead at halftime (only once in last five).
- Sporting's first-half performance is relatively solid, with 67% draws and 20% leads.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or Sporting San JoseEstimated chance60%

Goals2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Sporting's H2H scoring drought and Herediano's solid defensive record in this fixture suggest at least one team will fail to score.
- Sporting failed to score in four of the last five H2H meetings.
- Herediano kept clean sheets in three of those five meetings.
- Sporting average 0.8 goals per game overall, but only 1.0 away from home.
- Herediano concede 0.6 goals per game on average.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The low-scoring trend in H2H meetings and both teams' modest attacking output point to a match with fewer than three goals.
- Last five H2H meetings produced 0, 2, 1, 0, and 4 goals (average 1.4).
- Herediano's league matches average 2.0 goals per game (8 goals in 4 games).
- Sporting's league matches average 2.25 goals per game (9 goals in 4 games).
- Both teams have low scoring averages: Herediano 0.7 goals for, Sporting 0.8 goals for.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Sporting's H2H scoring struggles make a Herediano clean sheet plausible, but Herediano's leaky home defense this season lowers confidence.
- Herediano kept clean sheets in three of the last five H2H meetings.
- Sporting failed to score in four of the last five H2H meetings.
- Herediano's home defensive record this season: 4 goals conceded in 2 games (2.0 per game).
- Sporting's away scoring record: 2 goals in 2 games (1.0 per game).
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostSporting San Jose not to scoreEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The low first-half scoring averages and the pattern of goalless first halves in H2H meetings support a low-scoring opening period.
- Herediano average 0.4 first-half goals per game.
- Sporting average 0.4 first-half goals per game.
- In the last five H2H meetings, first-half goals were scarce (0,0,0,0,1).
- Both teams tend to start slowly, with many draws at halftime.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' low second-half scoring rates suggest the second half will also see limited goals.
- Herediano average 0.3 second-half goals per game (total 0.7 - 0.4 first half).
- Sporting average 0.4 second-half goals per game (total 0.8 - 0.4 first half).
- Combined second-half average is 0.7 goals per game.
- H2H meetings have been low-scoring overall, with most goals coming in the second half but still few.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostUnder 1.5Estimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Given the expected low-scoring, defensive nature of the match, corner counts are likely to be modest, though data is limited.
- Corner data is unavailable for both teams in recent matches.
- Both teams have low possession and shot numbers (averages are 0 in provided data, indicating missing stats).
- Low-scoring matches often correlate with fewer corners.
- No evidence of high corner counts in H2H meetings.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableUnder 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Without evidence of aggressive play, a low card count is expected, though confidence is low due to missing data.
- Card data is unavailable for both teams in recent matches.
- No indication of high disciplinary issues in H2H meetings.
- The match is not a derby or high-stakes rivalry, reducing card likelihood.
- Both teams have average foul counts (data missing, but no red flags).
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableUnder 4.5Estimated chance60%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 29.4% vs our estimate of 25% leaves no value; the away side's poor H2H record and away form make this a trap.

Head-to-Head

3W · 2D · 0W

D0-0CS HeredianovSporting San JoseApr 26, 2026PRI

W0-2Sporting San JosevCS HeredianoJan 15, 2026PRI

W0-1Sporting San JosevCS HeredianoNov 1, 2025PRI

D0-0CS HeredianovSporting San JoseSep 13, 2025PRI

W1-3Sporting San JosevCS HeredianoMar 17, 2025PRI

CS Herediano unbeaten in 5 meetingsCS Herediano: 4 clean sheetsSporting San Jose: 2 clean sheets1.4 goals/game avg

League Table

Primera División 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
10	CS Herediano	4	0	2	2	2-6	2	LLDD
5	Sporting San Jose	4	1	2	1	5-4	5	WLDD

3pt gap between teams

Recent Form

CS Herediano

W2-0Real EstelíAug 19CON

L0-1San CarlosAug 15PRI

L0-3LD AlajuelenseAug 10PRI

L0-1AlianzaAug 6CON

D1-1Inter San CarlosAug 3PRI

D0-0CD MarathonJul 31CON

D1-1Puntarenas FCJul 24PRI

W1-0Deportivo SaprissaJul 18REC

W1-0LD AlajuelenseJul 12SUP

W2-0Deportivo SaprissaMay 17PRI

L1-2Deportivo SaprissaMay 14PRI

D0-0CS CartaginesMay 10PRI

W1-0CS CartaginesMay 3PRI

D0-0Sporting San JoseApr 26PRI

W1-0Perez ZeledonApr 23PRI

Sporting San Jose

W2-0Escorpiones BelénAug 18PRI

L0-2BoiseAug 13FRI

L1-2CS CartaginesAug 8PRI

D1-1Puntarenas FCAug 1PRI

D1-1LD AlajuelenseJul 26PRI

L0-4Atletico San LuisJul 7FRI

D0-0CS HeredianoApr 26PRI

L0-1Municipal LiberiaApr 22PRI

W2-1Puntarenas FCApr 19PRI

L1-3Deportivo SaprissaApr 16COP

L0-2LD AlajuelenseApr 12PRI

L2-3CS CartaginesApr 3PRI

D1-1Puntarenas FCMar 25COP

D0-0Guadalupe FCMar 21PRI

W1-0San CarlosMar 15PRI

Squad & Injuries

CS Herediano

34 available

Attackers9

Midfielders11

Defenders11

Goalkeeper3

Sporting San Jose

35 available

Attackers12

Midfielders9

Defenders11

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

No

Under 2.5

CS Herediano

CS Herediano or Draw

Under 1.5

Result2 of 5 landed

Goals2 of 5 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

@ 3.40

Under 1.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

CS Herediano

Sporting San Jose

Squad & Injuries

CS Herediano

Sporting San Jose