Draw
Market 32.3% · BetBugs 35%
Both teams are struggling and the recent H2H at this venue shows draws, making a stalemate the most likely outcome.
Primera DivisiónFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Herediano's coaching and player departures create uncertainty, but recent H2H at San Carlos and both teams' poor form point to a low-scoring draw.
The best value is on the first-half draw at ~2.05 (55% model vs 49% implied), while the double chance 'Draw or Herediano' at 1.25 is overpriced and should be avoided.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 32.3% · BetBugs 35%
Both teams are struggling and the recent H2H at this venue shows draws, making a stalemate the most likely outcome.
Market 48.8% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams are slow starters, making a level first half the most probable outcome.
Other edges · 4
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 65% · Market 80%
Herediano's historical dominance and San Carlos's poor form make the away side or draw the safer double chance.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 80% leaves no cushion vs our 65% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | AD San Carlos | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1-7 | 0 |
| 9 | CS Herediano | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 2 |

