NB IFull time

Predictions graded

Vasas SC3Nyiregyhaza2

HT 2–1Fri 4 Sept 2026, 16:30 Predictions graded

Predictions9–190%

Edges5–0100%

PossPossession 48%–52%ShotsShots 14–16On targetOn target 5–7CornersCorners 7–7

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 1 Sep 2026, 01:19 · Europe/Bucharest

Vasas are likely to avoid defeat at home against a Nyiregyhaza side winless on the road and missing their head coach.

The best value is Vasas or Draw at 1.38, with a 75% model probability versus 72% implied. Avoid goals markets, especially Over 0.5 first-half goals and Both Teams to Score, which are significantly overpriced.

Context

Nyiregyhaza sits 8th in NB I with 7 points, but all their points have come at home.
Their away record is 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with only 1 goal scored and 7 conceded. This suggests they struggle away from home, and Vasas, who have a decent home record, could exploit that. However, the sample is small, so it is not a guarantee.
- Nyiregyhaza away record: 0W 0D 3L, 1 goal for, 7 against.
- Losses away to MTK Budapest (1-2), Debreceni VSC (0-1), and Gyori ETO FC (0-4).
Vasas SC's home league match against Nyíregyháza is not the fixture affected by the Hungarian FA's closed-doors sanction.
The hosts will have their usual home support at Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, avoiding the reduced atmosphere of a behind-closed-doors match. This preserves the home environment that supports Vasas's strong home scoring record.
- The Hungarian FA disciplinary committee ordered Vasas to play one home league match behind closed doors.
- Vasas stated that the sanction does not apply to its next home NB I match against Nyíregyháza.
ConfirmedSources checked 1 Sep 2026, 01:18 · Europe/BucharestNemzeti Sport: Vasas closed-doors sanctionwww.nemzetisport.hu · 27 Aug 2026
Vasas is 5th in NB I with 8 points and a positive goal difference.
At home, they beat Zalaegerszegi TE 5-0, drew with Gyori ETO FC 2-2, and lost to Puskas Academy 0-1. Their scoring is strong, but they can be shut out. Against a Nyiregyhaza side that concedes away, Vasas may find chances.
- Vasas home record: 1W 1D 1L, 7 goals for, 3 against.
- Home results: 5-0 win vs Zalaegerszegi TE, 2-2 draw vs Gyori ETO FC, 0-1 loss vs Puskas Academy.
Nyíregyháza head coach Tamás Bódog is serving a four-match ban that includes this fixture, with fitness coach Áron Vellai having taken touchline duties against Paks.
Bódog's absence means Nyíregyháza will again be directed from the bench by Vellai, continuing the delegation used in their most recent match. This removes the head coach's in-match management for the away side.
- The Hungarian FA imposed a four-match ban on Nyíregyháza head coach Tamás Bódog after the 9 August match at DVSC.
- The published fixture sequence after the decision included Kisvárda, MTK, Paks and Vasas.
- Bódog was still unable to sit on the bench against Paks on 29 August, with Áron Vellai directing Nyíregyháza.
ConfirmedSources checked 1 Sep 2026, 01:18 · Europe/BucharestM4 Sport: four-match ban for Bódogm4sport.hu · 13 Aug 2026Nemzeti Sport: Nyíregyháza vs Paks live reportwww.nemzetisport.hu · 29 Aug 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Vasas SC

2.13fair 2.22

BetBugs 45% · Market 47%

0.0ppshort

Vasas's strong home scoring and Nyiregyhaza's poor away defensive record give the hosts a clear edge, but the odds are close to fair.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.62fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 61.7%

0.0ppshort

Both teams' recent matches trend toward high-scoring affairs, especially with Vasas's attacking output at home and Nyiregyhaza's leaky away defense.

Both Teams To ScorewonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Yes

1.55fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 64.5%

0.0ppshort

Both teams show consistent scoring and conceding patterns, making it likely that each side finds the net, driven by their balanced attacking and defensive vulnerabilities.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5

1.25fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 80%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have a tendency to score or concede in the first half, with combined first-half goal averages exceeding 1.0, making Over 0.5 likely.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Vasas's strong home scoring and Nyiregyhaza's poor away defensive record give the hosts a clear edge, supported by the structural home/away split.
- Vasas home record: 1W-1D-1L, 7 goals scored, 3 conceded in 3 home matches
- Nyiregyhaza away record: 0W-0D-3L, 1 goal scored, 7 conceded in 3 away matches
- Vasas overall form last 5: LLWWD (8 points from 6 games)
- Nyiregyhaza overall form last 5: DLWLL (7 points from 6 games)
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonVasas SCEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Nyiregyhaza's away form is extremely poor, making a Vasas win or draw highly likely, reinforced by the home/away structural edge.
- Vasas home record: 1W-1D-1L, 7 goals scored, 3 conceded
- Nyiregyhaza away record: 0W-0D-3L, 1 goal scored, 7 conceded
- Vasas unbeaten in 2 of last 3 home matches
- Nyiregyhaza have lost all 3 away matches this season
BetBugs · Double ChancewonVasas SC or DrawEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Vasas's superior first-half goal differential and higher half-time lead percentage give them a slight edge, though the margin is narrow.
- Vasas led at half-time in 40% of matches, trailed in 13%
- Nyiregyhaza led at half-time in 27% of matches, trailed in 33%
- Vasas average 0.7 first-half goals scored vs 0.2 conceded
- Nyiregyhaza average 0.5 first-half goals scored vs 0.7 conceded
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonVasas SCEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A Vasas lead at half-time and full-time is plausible given their home advantage and Nyiregyhaza's away struggles, but the probability remains modest.
- Vasas led at half-time in 40% of matches and won 33% overall
- Nyiregyhaza trailed at half-time in 33% of matches and lost 50% overall
- Vasas home record: 1W-1D-1L
- Nyiregyhaza away record: 0W-0D-3L
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostVasas SC/Vasas SCEstimated chance30%

Goals4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent matches trend toward high-scoring affairs, especially with Vasas's attacking output at home and Nyiregyhaza's leaky away defense.
- Vasas home matches average 3.33 total goals (7 scored, 3 conceded in 3 games)
- Nyiregyhaza away matches average 2.67 total goals (1 scored, 7 conceded in 3 games)
- Vasas overall average 3.4 total goals per match (2.1 scored, 1.3 conceded)
- Nyiregyhaza overall average 3.2 total goals per match (1.3 scored, 1.9 conceded)
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams show consistent scoring and conceding patterns, making it likely that each side finds the net, driven by their balanced attacking and defensive vulnerabilities.
- Vasas have scored in 5 of 6 league matches this season
- Nyiregyhaza have conceded in 5 of 6 league matches this season
- Vasas have conceded in 4 of 6 league matches
- Nyiregyhaza have scored in 4 of 6 league matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a tendency to score or concede in the first half, with combined first-half goal averages exceeding 1.0, making Over 0.5 likely.
- Vasas average 0.7 first-half goals scored and 0.2 conceded
- Nyiregyhaza average 0.5 first-half goals scored and 0.7 conceded
- Vasas led at half-time in 40% of matches, trailed in 13%
- Nyiregyhaza led at half-time in 27% of matches, trailed in 33%
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring is expected to be higher as both teams push for results, though the estimate is less certain due to limited half-specific data.
- Vasas average 1.4 second-half goals (2.1 total - 0.7 first-half)
- Nyiregyhaza average 0.8 second-half goals (1.3 total - 0.5 first-half)
- Vasas concede 1.1 second-half goals (1.3 total - 0.2 first-half)
- Nyiregyhaza concede 1.2 second-half goals (1.9 total - 0.7 first-half)
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Nyiregyhaza's high corner count in their only recent match with data suggests potential for a higher total, but the sample is too small for confidence.
- Vasas average 1.5 corners per match (limited data)
- Nyiregyhaza average 6.0 corners per match (limited data)
- Nyiregyhaza's last match had 11 total corners (6 for, 5 against)
- Vasas's last match with corner data had 4 total corners (1 for, 3 against)
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Combined shots on target averages suggest a total around 6.5, making Over 8.5 less likely, but the limited data introduces uncertainty.
- Vasas average 2.5 shots on target per match
- Nyiregyhaza average 4.0 shots on target per match
- Vasas's last match with shot data: 3 shots on target
- Nyiregyhaza's last match with shot data: 4 shots on target
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance40%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 36% vs our estimate 30% leaves no value; the away side's poor away record makes this a trap.

Head-to-Head

2W · 1D · 2W

D1-1VasasvNyiregyhazaSep 14, 2024MAG

L3-1NyiregyhazavVasasApr 20, 2024NB

L3-0VasasvNyiregyhazaOct 22, 2023NB

W1-2NyiregyhazavVasasOct 18, 2022MAG

W0-1NyiregyhazavVasasMar 20, 2022NB

2.6 goals/game avg

League Table

NB I 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
5	Vasas SC	6	2	2	2	10-7	8	LLWWD
8	Nyiregyhaza	6	2	1	3	6-10	7	DLWLL

1pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Vasas SC

L1-3UjpestAug 29NB

L0-1Puskas AcademyAug 22NB

W2-1Budapest HonvedAug 14NB

W5-0Zalaegerszegi TEAug 8NB

D0-0Ferencvarosi TCAug 2NB

D2-2Gyori ETO FCJul 26NB

W1-0Fehérvár FCJul 18FRI

W2-1SoroksarJul 18FRI

W5-1Kecskeméti TEJul 11FRI

W3-1Kisvarda FCJul 8FRI

W3-1KomárnoJul 4FRI

L1-3MTK BudapestJul 1FRI

W2-1AjkaMay 17NB

L1-3Budapest HonvedMay 10NB

W3-2Budafoki LCMay 4NB

Nyiregyhaza

D1-1PaksAug 29NB

L1-2MTK BudapestAug 22NB

W2-1Kisvarda FCAug 15NB

L0-1Debreceni VSCAug 9NB

L0-4Gyori ETO FCAug 2NB

W2-1UjpestJul 24NB

D2-2BukovynaJul 18FRI

W2-0Mezokovesd-zsoryJul 11FRI

W3-0Universitatea ClujJul 3FRI

L0-3Zbrojovka BrnoJun 30FRI

L0-2Wolfsberger ACJun 27FRI

D2-2KazincbarcikaiMay 15NB

D1-1MTK BudapestMay 2NB

W2-1Zalaegerszegi TEApr 25NB

L2-7UjpestApr 17NB

Squad & Injuries

Vasas SC

32 available

Attackers11

Midfielders10

Defenders8

Goalkeeper3

Nyiregyhaza

27 available

Attackers8

Midfielders9

Defenders7

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Vasas SC or Draw

Vasas SC

Over 2.5

Yes

Over 0.5

Result3 of 4 landed

Goals4 of 4 landed

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Nyiregyhaza

Over 3.5

Over 1.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Vasas SC

Nyiregyhaza

Squad & Injuries

Vasas SC

Nyiregyhaza