Toulouse00 – 1Lille1

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Lille's stronger first-half record gives them a slight edge, but the probability remains below 50%.

• Lille led at half-time in 43% of recent matches, Toulouse in 33%.
• Lille have scored first-half goals in 4 of their last 5 Ligue 1 matches.
• Toulouse trailed at half-time in 40% of recent matches.

BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostLilleEstimated chance40%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

A Lille lead at half-time and full-time is plausible given their form, but the probability is modest.

• Lille led at half-time in 43% of recent matches and won 60% of those.
• Toulouse have not won a home league match this season.
• Lille have won 3 of the last 5 H2H meetings.

BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostLille/LilleEstimated chance30%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have been involved in relatively high-scoring games recently, and the H2H trend supports goals.

• Toulouse's last 5 Ligue 1 matches averaged 3.4 total goals.
• Lille's last 5 Ligue 1 matches averaged 2.6 total goals.
• The last H2H meeting produced 4 goals.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Toulouse's attacking output at home and Lille's occasional defensive lapses suggest both teams can find the net.

• Toulouse have scored in 4 of their last 5 Ligue 1 matches.
• Lille have conceded in 3 of their last 5 Ligue 1 matches.
• Both teams scored in 2 of the last 5 H2H meetings.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to score in the first half, making at least one first-half goal likely.

• Toulouse's last 5 Ligue 1 matches averaged 1.2 first-half goals.
• Lille's last 5 Ligue 1 matches averaged 1.0 first-half goals.
• Toulouse have led at half-time in 33% of recent matches, Lille in 43%.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Second-half scoring has been common in recent matches for both teams, though confidence is limited by sample size.

• Toulouse's last 5 Ligue 1 matches averaged 2.2 second-half goals.
• Lille's last 5 Ligue 1 matches averaged 1.6 second-half goals.
• The last H2H meeting had 3 second-half goals.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The combined corner averages suggest a moderately high total, though variance is significant.

• Toulouse's recent Ligue 1 matches averaged 8.8 total corners.
• Lille's recent Ligue 1 matches averaged 9.2 total corners.
• Both teams tend to concede corners, with Toulouse averaging 6.2 opponent corners and Lille 5.4.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' card averages suggest a total above 3.5 is slightly more likely than not.

• Toulouse average 2.4 yellow cards per match, Lille 2.4.
• Toulouse's recent matches averaged 4.8 total cards, Lille's 4.8.
• Toulouse commit 14.6 fouls per match, Lille 9.8.