Yes
Market 57.1% · BetBugs 60%
BTTS landed in 4 of last 5 H2H meetings and both teams have scored in 4 of their last 5 home/away games.
Ligue 1Full time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Lyon are favorites based on league position and H2H history, but the odds offer no value on a straight win or double chance.
The only marginal edge lies in both teams to score (60% estimate vs. 57.1% implied), though Lyon's recent defensive form tempers confidence. Avoid over 2.5 goals and first-half goals markets due to tight pricing and conflicting trends.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 57.1% · BetBugs 60%
BTTS landed in 4 of last 5 H2H meetings and both teams have scored in 4 of their last 5 home/away games.
Other edges · 4
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 75% · Market 83%
Lyon are unbeaten in 6 of the last 7 H2H meetings and Toulouse have only 5 wins in 16 home games this season.
LyonBetBugs 45% · Market 56%
Lyon's superior league position and recent form make them favorites, but the odds imply a higher win probability than our model suggests.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Toulouse | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 45-45 | 41 |
| 3 | LyonChampions League | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52-34 | 60 |

