Toulouse vs Lyon: result, stats and head-to-head

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Lyon's superior attacking output and recent away scalp at PSG outweigh Toulouse's home edge, though the new coach bounce adds uncertainty.
- Lyon averaged 2.1 goals scored per match over last 15, Toulouse conceded 1.9 per match.
- Lyon won 3 of last 5 Ligue 1 matches, Toulouse won 2 of last 5.
- Lyon's away form includes a 2-1 win at PSG in last 15.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonLyonEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Lyon's stronger recent form and Toulouse's home struggles make the away side or draw the safest result market.
- Lyon unbeaten in 4 of last 5 Ligue 1 matches.
- Toulouse lost 3 of last 5 home matches in all competitions.
- H2H last 5: Lyon won 2, drew 1, lost 2.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or LyonEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Lyon's stronger first-half record and Toulouse's tendency to trail early give the away side a slight edge at the break.
- Lyon led at halftime in 40% of matches, Toulouse led in only 33%.
- Toulouse trailed at halftime in 53% of matches.
- Lyon's first-half goal difference is +0.2, Toulouse's is -0.3.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostLyonEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Lyon leading at half and full time is plausible but not highly probable given Toulouse's home resilience.
- Lyon won both halves in 2 of last 15 matches.
- Toulouse lost both halves in 3 of last 15 matches.
- Lyon's overall win probability is 45%.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostLyon/LyonEstimated chance25%

Goals1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both attacks have been consistent scorers and both defenses concede regularly, making BTTS a strong value.
- Toulouse scored in 12 of last 15 matches, Lyon scored in 12 of last 15.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Toulouse's last 15 and 9 of Lyon's last 15.
- Last two H2H meetings ended 2-1 with both teams scoring.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent matches trend high-scoring, and the H2H pattern supports at least three goals.
- Toulouse matches averaged 3.2 total goals over last 15, Lyon matches averaged 3.8.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Toulouse's last 15 and 10 of Lyon's last 15.
- Last two H2H meetings produced 3 goals each.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
First-half scoring rates are moderate, but the combined average suggests a slight lean to over 1.5 first-half goals.
- Toulouse averaged 0.8 first-half goals for and 1.1 against; Lyon averaged 0.9 for and 0.7 against.
- Combined first-half goal average across both teams is 1.75.
- Lyon led at halftime in 40% of matches, Toulouse trailed at halftime in 53%.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second halves have been more productive for both sides, supporting over 1.5 goals after the break.
- Toulouse's last 15 matches averaged 1.4 second-half goals, Lyon's averaged 1.9.
- Second-half goals occurred in 12 of Toulouse's last 15 and 13 of Lyon's last 15.
- Both teams tend to concede more in second halves.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance52%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Lyon's high corner count and the recent H2H corner total support a high corner line.
- Lyon averaged 8.1 corners per match, Toulouse averaged 3.6.
- Lyon's matches averaged 11.7 total corners, Toulouse's averaged 7.2.
- In last H2H, corners were 7-8 (total 15).
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Toulouse's disciplinary record and the heated H2H suggest a moderate chance of over 3.5 cards.
- Toulouse averaged 2.5 yellow cards per match, Lyon averaged 1.1.
- Combined average yellow cards per match is 3.6.
- Last H2H had 8 yellow cards total.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 3.5Estimated chance45%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
17	Toulouse Relegation	0	0	0	0	0-0	0
10	Lyon	0	0	0	0	0-0	0

Toulouse0Lyon2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw or Lyon

Over 1.5

Yes

Over 2.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result2 of 4 landed

Goals1 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Lyon -1

Over 9.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Toulouse

Lyon

Squad & Injuries

Toulouse

Lyon