New England Revolution
Market 28.6% · BetBugs 38%
New England have won the last two H2H meetings, both 2-1, including an away win at Columbus in August 2025, while Columbus have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
Major League SoccerFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
New England Revolution offer value on the moneyline (3.50, +9.4% edge) and double chance (1.80, +6.4% edge) against a Columbus side struggling with early concessions and poor form.
Avoid Over 2.5 goals and BTTS markets, as the odds imply higher probabilities than the model supports.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
New England RevolutionMarket 28.6% · BetBugs 38%
New England have won the last two H2H meetings, both 2-1, including an away win at Columbus in August 2025, while Columbus have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
Market 55.6% · BetBugs 62%
New England have avoided defeat in 4 of their last 5 matches, while Columbus have failed to win in 4 of their last 5 home matches.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 55% · Market 62.5%
Both teams average 1.5 goals scored and concede around 1.5 per game, and the last two H2H meetings ended 2-1, supporting Over 2.5.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 52.4% leaves no cushion vs our 38% estimate for the away side; the home price is inflated by venue but ignores recent H2H and form.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Columbus Crew | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 30-36 | 20 |
| 4 | New England RevolutionPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 33-26 | 34 |

