Onsala BK0Dalstorps IF2

HT 0–1Sat 29 Aug 2026, 11:00 Predictions graded

Predictions2–625%

Edges1–233%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 27 Aug 2026, 16:17 · Europe/Bucharest

Dalstorps IF or Draw is the standout value at 1.83 (implied 54.6% vs our 72% estimate), a 17.4-point edge.

Avoid the straight Dalstorps win (only 4.5-point edge) and over 2.5 goals (negative edge). Both teams to score offers a marginal 2.2-point edge but carries clean-sheet risk.

Context

Dalstorps IF are second in Division 2 - Västra Götaland with 33 points from 18 matches, while Onsala BK are 10th with 21 points.
In their most recent head-to-head, Dalstorps won 3-1 at home on 7 June 2026. That result shows Dalstorps can score against Onsala, but it was played at Dalstorps' ground and Onsala have changed form since then. The 12-point gap in the standings also suggests Dalstorps are the stronger side overall.
- Dalstorps beat Onsala 3-1 at home on 7 June 2026.
- Dalstorps are 2nd with 33 points; Onsala are 10th with 21 points.
Dalstorps IF played a Svenska Cupen match on Wednesday, losing 0-2 to Norrby IF, and now travel to Onsala BK on Saturday.
The three-day turnaround limits recovery time and tactical preparation compared to Onsala, who have had a full week. This could affect Dalstorps' freshness and force rotation, though the exact impact depends on how many regular starters featured in the cup tie.
- Norrby IF's official A-team calendar records Dalstorps IF 0-2 Norrby IF on Wednesday 26 August.
- Onsala BK's men's fixture list schedules Onsala BK v Dalstorps IF for Saturday 29 August at 13:00 at Rydets IP A konstgräs.
ConfirmedSources checked 29 Aug 2026, 09:32 · Europe/BucharestNorrby IF A-laget calendarwww.norrbyif.se · 26 Aug 2026Onsala BK Herrlag fixtureswww.onsalabk.se · 29 Aug 2026
Onsala BK are 10th in the table with 21 points and have a home record of two wins, four draws, and three losses.
Onsala's recent form is poor: they lost 4-1 to Lindome and 2-1 to Jonsered in their last two league games. Those results show defensive problems, as they conceded six goals across the two matches. However, both opponents are above Onsala in the standings, so the losses may partly reflect the quality of the opposition.
- Onsala lost 4-1 at home to Lindome on 23 August 2026.
- Onsala lost 2-1 away to Jonsered on 15 August 2026.
Dalstorps IF are second in the league with 33 points and have scored 12 goals in eight away matches.
Dalstorps' away form is solid, with only two losses in eight away games. They have also scored 12 goals on the road, showing they can create chances away from home. Onsala's home record is weaker, with just two wins in nine home matches, so Dalstorps may feel confident about getting a result.
- Dalstorps' away record: 3 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses in 8 matches.
- Onsala's home record: 2 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses in 9 matches.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 1

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.55fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 64.5%

0.0ppshort

Both teams average over 1.7 goals scored per match and Onsala's home games average 3.4 total goals, but the odds already price in a high-scoring game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Dalstorps IF's superior league position and away form, combined with their recent H2H win, give them a moderate edge over Onsala BK's inconsistent home performances.
- Dalstorps IF rank 2nd with 33 points vs Onsala BK 10th with 21 points.
- Dalstorps IF away record: 3W-3D-2L, 12 goals scored, 10 conceded in 8 away matches.
- Onsala BK home record: 2W-4D-3L, 16 goals scored, 15 conceded in 9 home matches.
- Dalstorps IF won the most recent H2H 3-1 on 7 June 2026.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonDalstorps IFEstimated chance48%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Dalstorps IF's strong overall form and Onsala BK's poor home win rate make a Dalstorps win or draw highly likely.
- Dalstorps IF have lost only 3 of 18 league matches this season.
- Onsala BK have won only 2 of 9 home matches.
- Dalstorps IF away record: 3W-3D-2L, losing only 2 of 8 away games.
- Onsala BK home record: 2W-4D-3L, failing to win 7 of 9 home games.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDalstorps IF or DrawEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a high frequency of drawing at half-time, but Dalstorps' tendency to lead slightly reduces the probability of a draw.
- Onsala BK drew at half-time in 40% of matches (6 of 15).
- Dalstorps IF drew at half-time in 40% of matches (6 of 15).
- Onsala BK led at half-time in 33% of matches, trailed in 27%.
- Dalstorps IF led at half-time in 47% of matches, trailed in 13%.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half-time followed by a Dalstorps win is plausible given both teams' half-time draw tendencies and Dalstorps' overall strength.
- Dalstorps IF have won 9 of 18 matches this season.
- Onsala BK have drawn 6 of 18 matches.
- Dalstorps IF drew at half-time in 40% of matches.
- Onsala BK drew at half-time in 40% of matches.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/Dalstorps IFEstimated chance20%

Goals0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high scoring averages, and Onsala's home games tend to be high-scoring, supporting over 2.5 goals.
- Onsala BK average 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match.
- Dalstorps IF average 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.
- Combined average goals per match: 3.4.
- Onsala BK home matches average 3.4 total goals (16 scored, 15 conceded in 9 games).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have consistent scoring records and defensive vulnerabilities, making both teams scoring likely.
- Onsala BK have scored in 8 of their last 10 matches.
- Dalstorps IF have scored in 8 of their last 10 matches.
- Onsala BK have conceded in 8 of their last 10 matches.
- Dalstorps IF have conceded in 6 of their last 10 matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams average nearly a goal each in the first half, but Dalstorps' strong first-half defense lowers confidence in over 1.5 first-half goals.
- Onsala BK average 0.9 first-half goals scored and 0.8 conceded.
- Dalstorps IF average 0.9 first-half goals scored and 0.3 conceded.
- Combined first-half average: 1.8 goals.
- Onsala BK led at half-time in 33% of matches, trailed in 27%.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score and concede more in the second half, supporting over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Onsala BK average 0.8 second-half goals scored (1.7 total - 0.9 first half).
- Dalstorps IF average 1.0 second-half goals scored (1.9 total - 0.9 first half).
- Onsala BK average 0.9 second-half goals conceded (1.7 total - 0.8 first half).
- Dalstorps IF average 1.0 second-half goals conceded (1.3 total - 0.3 first half).
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Without concrete corner data, this prediction is based on league averages and general attacking tendencies, resulting in low confidence.
- Corner data is unavailable for both teams in the provided dataset.
- Average corners in Division 2 Västra Götaland are typically around 9-10 per match.
- Both teams have attacking styles that could generate corners.
- No specific corner stats available to support a strong prediction.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 9.5Estimated chance50%

Prediction history

Onsala BK has been moderately reliable for Over 2.5 goals

Onsala BK has fulfilled 3 of 5 recent Over 2.5 goals predictions. The average estimated probability was 59%, matching the expected 3 fulfilled predictions. Notably, all 3 fulfilled predictions occurred away from home, while the only home match missed.

Recent evidence for Onsala BK5 matches

Date / competitionMatch resultPredictedActualResult

31 Jul·Division 2 - Västra Götaland