LDU Quito11 – 0SD Aucas0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

LDU Quito's home advantage and recent H2H win give them a slight edge, but derby intensity and Aucas's capable away form keep confidence medium.

• LDU Quito won the most recent H2H 1-0 away on 17 Aug 2026
• LDU Quito home form: 4W 2D 1L in last 7 home matches
• Aucas away form: 3W 1D 3L in last 7 away matches

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonLDU QuitoEstimated chance45%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

LDU Quito's solid home record and Aucas's inconsistent away form support a double chance for the home side.

• LDU Quito unbeaten in 5 of last 7 home matches
• Aucas lost 3 of last 7 away matches
• H2H last 5: LDU Quito 2W, Draw 1, Aucas 2W

BetBugs · Double ChancewonLDU Quito or DrawEstimated chance72%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

The teams are evenly matched in first-half performance, and recent H2H first halves have been tight.

• LDU Quito led at halftime in only 33% of matches
• Aucas led at halftime in 40% of matches
• Last 3 H2H first halves: 0-0, 0-0, 1-0

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

A draw at halftime followed by an LDU Quito win is plausible given their home strength and Aucas's second-half vulnerabilities.

• LDU Quito often draws at halftime but wins at full time at home
• Aucas has lost after drawing at halftime in 2 of last 5 away matches
• H2H pattern shows second-half goals deciding tight games

BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonDraw/LDU QuitoEstimated chance20%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The recent H2H pattern of low-scoring matches and both teams' moderate goal averages support under 2.5 goals.

• Last 3 H2H meetings produced 0, 0, and 1 total goals
• LDU Quito averages 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded overall
• Aucas averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded overall

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

LDU Quito's strong home defense and Aucas's occasional away scoring struggles make a clean sheet for at least one side likely.

• LDU Quito kept clean sheets in 3 of last 5 home matches
• Aucas failed to score in 2 of last 5 away matches
• Last 3 H2H: both teams scored in only 1 match

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

LDU Quito's defensive solidity at home and Aucas's occasional away scoring blanks support a home clean sheet.

• LDU Quito kept clean sheets in 3 of last 5 home matches
• Aucas failed to score in 2 of last 5 away matches
• LDU Quito conceded only 0.6 goals per game on average

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonSD Aucas not to scoreEstimated chance45%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to start cautiously, and recent H2H first halves have been low-scoring.

• LDU Quito averages 0.7 first-half goals scored and 0.3 conceded
• Aucas averages 0.8 first-half goals scored and 0.5 conceded
• Last 3 H2H first halves produced 0, 0, and 1 total goals

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to find the net after halftime, making at least one second-half goal likely.

• LDU Quito scored in the second half in 4 of last 5 home matches
• Aucas conceded in the second half in 3 of last 5 away matches
• Combined second-half goal average exceeds 1.0

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both teams generate a moderate number of corners, but derby intensity could push the total higher.

• LDU Quito averages 6.5 corners per game
• Aucas averages 4.8 corners per game
• Combined average corners: 11.3

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The Quito derby context and both teams' card averages suggest a higher card count.

• LDU Quito averages 2.8 yellow cards per game
• Aucas averages 1.8 yellow cards per game
• Derby matches often feature increased disciplinary actions