Over 1.5
Market 60.6% · BetBugs 65%
Both teams tend to concede early, with a combined first-half average above 1.5 goals.
ÚrvalsdeildFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
The market heavily favours Stjarnan, but their poor home form (3W-1D-5L) and Thor's recent away resilience suggest the match is closer than the 1.38 odds imply.
Avoid the home win, double chance, and Over 2.5 goals due to negative value; the only marginal edge is Over 1.5 first-half goals at 1.65.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 60.6% · BetBugs 65%
Both teams tend to concede early, with a combined first-half average above 1.5 goals.
Other edges · 5
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
StjarnanBetBugs 45% · Market 72%
The market heavily favours Stjarnan but their home record and overall inconsistency do not justify such a short price.
BetBugs 70% · Market 88%
The double chance price is extremely short and offers no value relative to Stjarnan's actual home resilience.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 72% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; price already reflects the directional read and ignores Stjarnan's poor home form.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | StjarnanRelegation Playoffs | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 34-46 | 21 |
| 12 | Thor AkureyriRelegation Playoffs | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 18-46 | 15 |

