New England Revolution or Draw
Market 66.7% · BetBugs 72%
New England are unbeaten in 82% of home matches this season, while NYCFC have failed to win 62% of away games.
Major League SoccerFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
New England's home dominance makes the double chance (New England or Draw) at 1.50 a solid value play with a 5-point edge.
The biggest market inefficiency is over 3.5 cards at 2.63, where our model sees a 22-point edge. Avoid the over 2.5 goals market, as the odds imply a higher probability than our model supports.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 66.7% · BetBugs 72%
New England are unbeaten in 82% of home matches this season, while NYCFC have failed to win 62% of away games.
Market 38% · BetBugs 60%
Combined team averages exceed 3.5 cards per game, with NYCFC averaging 2.4 away cards.
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 70% · Market 77.5%
Both teams consistently score in the first half, with NYCFC especially strong early, making over 0.5 first-half goals highly probable.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | New England RevolutionPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 29-25 | 30 |
| 7 | New York CityPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 33-27 | 26 |

