Charlotte or Draw
BetBugs 78% · Market 80%
Charlotte are unbeaten in 5 home H2H meetings and 82% unbeaten at home this season, but the odds already reflect that safety.
Major League SoccerFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Charlotte are unbeaten at home against D.C.
United historically, but the market has already priced that in, leaving no value on Charlotte win, Double Chance, Over 2.5 goals, BTTS, or first-half goals. The most likely outcome is a competitive match with a high draw probability, but bettors should avoid the main markets due to negative edges.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Other edges · 4
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 78% · Market 80%
Charlotte are unbeaten in 5 home H2H meetings and 82% unbeaten at home this season, but the odds already reflect that safety.
BetBugs 55% · Market 63.7%
Charlotte home matches average 3.18 total goals and recent H2H meetings have produced goals, but odds imply a higher probability than our estimate.
BetBugs 58% · Market 64.5%
Both teams have shown consistent scoring and conceding in their respective home/away splits, but odds imply a higher probability than our estimate.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 55.6% vs our 45% estimate; the home side is overpriced relative to our model and the draw-heavy away profile of DC United.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | CharlottePromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 32-28 | 28 |
| 9 | DC UnitedPromotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 27-30 | 24 |

