BundesligaFull time

Predictions graded

Altach1TSV Hartberg2

HT 0–1Sat 22 Aug 2026, 15:00 Predictions graded

Predictions1–118%

Edges1–420%

PossPossession 59%–41%ShotsShots 18–11On targetOn target 5–5CornersCorners 11–2

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 19 Aug 2026, 16:33 · Europe/Bucharest

Altach are favored by the market, but the value lies in the goal markets: back under 2.5 goals at 1.85 and both teams to score 'No' at 1.91, as Hartberg's scoring drought and the draw-heavy H2H point to a tight, low-scoring match.

Avoid the home win and double chance markets, which are overpriced relative to our model.

Context

Hartberg lost 0-1 at Red Bull Salzburg on 1 August with 0 goals and 1 shot on target.
- Hartberg have 0 goals in 3 Bundesliga matches this season.
- Hartberg average 0.0 goals away this season.
Official club page confirms 22 August as the season-ticket-holder match.
- Sectors G/H/I and B/C/D are unavailable due to high utilisation.
- Stadion Schnabelholz is the confirmed venue.
Last 5 H2H: 4 draws, 1 Hartberg win.
- 3 of last 5 H2H matches had under 2.5 goals.
- Most recent H2H: 0-0 on 14 February 2026.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Double ChancelostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Altach or Draw

1.22fair 1.39

BetBugs 72% · Market 82%

0.0ppshort

Altach's home strength and Hartberg's away struggles make the double chance highly likely, but the odds are too short to offer value.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Altach's strong home form and Hartberg's poor away record give the hosts a clear edge, supported by the structural home advantage signal.
- Altach home record this season: 1W 0D 0L, 3 goals scored, 1 conceded
- Altach last 5 home matches (all comps): 3W 1D 1L
- Hartberg away record this season: 0W 0D 1L, 0 goals scored, 1 conceded
- Hartberg last 5 away matches (all comps): 1W 0D 4L
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostAltachEstimated chance42%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Altach's home strength combined with Hartberg's away struggles and the draw-heavy H2H makes the double chance highly likely.
- Altach home record this season: 1W 0D 0L
- Hartberg away record this season: 0W 0D 1L
- H2H last 5 meetings: 4 draws, 1 Hartberg win
- Altach unbeaten in last 3 home matches vs Hartberg (1W 2D)
BetBugs · Double ChancelostAltach or DrawEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The teams are evenly matched in first halves, and Hartberg's first-half scoring struggles make a draw the most likely outcome.
- Altach first-half results: 40% leading, 27% trailing
- Hartberg first-half results: 40% leading, 33% trailing
- H2H last 5 meetings: 3 draws at half-time
- Hartberg scored 0 first-half goals in 3 league matches
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance48%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A tight first half followed by Altach's home advantage in the second half is a plausible scenario, though not highly probable.
- Altach home record: 1W 0D 0L
- Hartberg away record: 0W 0D 1L
- H2H last 5 meetings: 4 draws, 1 Hartberg win
- Altach scored 2 of 3 goals in the second half this season
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/AltachEstimated chance22%

Goals1 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Hartberg's goal-scoring drought and the low-scoring H2H trend point to a tight match, supporting the under.
- Altach average total goals per match: 2.8 (1.5 scored + 1.3 conceded)
- Hartberg average total goals per match: 3.1 (1.5 scored + 1.6 conceded)
- H2H last 5 meetings: 3 matches under 2.5 goals
- Hartberg scored 0 goals in their 3 league matches this season
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Hartberg's inability to score away from home makes it likely that at least one team fails to score.
- Hartberg failed to score in all 3 league matches this season
- Altach kept a clean sheet in 1 of 3 league matches
- H2H last 5 meetings: 3 matches ended with at least one team not scoring
- Hartberg average goals scored away: 0.0 this season
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Hartberg's severe scoring problems give Altach a reasonable chance of a clean sheet, though Altach's own defensive record is mixed.
- Altach kept 1 clean sheet in 3 league matches
- Hartberg scored 0 goals in 3 league matches
- Hartberg away goals this season: 0
- H2H last meeting: 0-0 draw
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostTSV Hartberg not to scoreEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, and Hartberg's first-half scoring drought makes a low-scoring first half likely.
- Altach average first-half goals: 0.8 scored, 0.6 conceded
- Hartberg average first-half goals: 0.9 scored, 0.7 conceded
- H2H last 5 meetings: 4 matches had 0 or 1 first-half goal
- Hartberg scored 0 first-half goals in 3 league matches
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams show a tendency to concede more after the break, suggesting the second half could see more goals.
- Altach average second-half goals: 0.7 scored, 0.7 conceded
- Hartberg average second-half goals: 0.6 scored, 0.9 conceded
- Hartberg conceded 4 of 5 goals in the second half this season
- Altach scored 2 of 3 goals in the second half this season
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance52%

Match stats0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate relatively few corners, and the H2H trend supports a low corner count.
- Altach average corners per match: 4.3
- Hartberg average corners per match: 3.6
- Combined average corners: 7.9
- H2H last 5 meetings: 3 matches under 9.5 corners
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostUnder 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams struggle to create high-quality chances, making a low total shots on target likely.
- Altach average shots on target per match: 3.9
- Hartberg average shots on target per match: 3.0
- Combined average shots on target: 6.9
- Hartberg had 1 shot on target in their last league match
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostUnder 8.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The match is likely to be competitive with moderate foul counts, pushing the card total slightly over the line.
- Altach average yellow cards per match: 1.5
- Hartberg average yellow cards per match: 1.5
- Combined average yellow cards: 3.0
- Altach average fouls per match: 10.8, Hartberg: 10.3
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 3.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 56% leaves no cushion vs our 42% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

0W · 4D · 1W

D0-0TSV HartbergvSCR AltachFeb 14, 2026BL

D2-2SCR AltachvTSV HartbergOct 25, 2025BL

L2-0TSV HartbergvSCR AltachMay 4, 2025BL

D1-1SCR AltachvTSV HartbergApr 19, 2025BL

D0-0SCR AltachvTSV HartbergFeb 23, 2025BL

TSV Hartberg unbeaten in 5 meetingsAltach: 2 clean sheetsTSV Hartberg: 3 clean sheets1.6 goals/game avg

League Table

Bundesliga 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
7	Altach Bundesliga (Relegation Group)	3	1	0	2	3-3	3	LWL
12	TSV Hartberg Bundesliga (Relegation Group)	3	0	0	3	0-5	0	LLL

3pt gap between teamsAltach in relegation zoneTSV Hartberg in relegation zone

Recent Form

Altach

L0-1Sturm GrazAug 15BL

W3-1WSG WattensAug 7BL

L0-1Rapid ViennaAug 2BL

W1-0LeobendorfJul 24CUP

W3-1GrasshoppersJul 18FRI

W1-0FC VaduzJul 10FRI

L1-21. FC HeidenheimJul 4FRI

L2-3FC ST. GallenJun 27FRI

W4-0HörbranzJun 20FRI

W2-0RiedMay 16BL

D2-2Grazer AKMay 9BL

L1-4Wolfsberger ACMay 4BL

L0-3FC BW LinzApr 24BL

D0-0WSG WattensApr 21BL

D2-2WSG WattensApr 18BL

TSV Hartberg

L0-2Austria ViennaAug 16BL

L0-2Sturm GrazAug 8BL

L0-1Red Bull SalzburgAug 1BL

W3-1ImstJul 26CUP

L0-2VoitsbergJul 18FRI

W2-0First ViennaJul 18FRI

W3-0PříbramJul 11FRI

W2-0Zbrojovka BrnoJul 8FRI

D1-1UjpestJul 4FRI

L2-3WeizJul 1FRI

W3-1Admira WackerJun 27FRI

W3-1Red Bull SalzburgMay 17BL

L2-4Sturm GrazMay 10BL

L0-1Austria ViennaMay 3BL

L1-5Lask LinzApr 26BL

Squad & Injuries

Altach

30 available

Attackers7

Midfielders9

Defenders10

Goalkeeper4

TSV Hartberg

25 available

Attackers7

Midfielders8

Defenders7

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Under 2.5

No

Altach or Draw

Altach

Under 1.5

Result0 of 4 landed

Goals1 of 5 landed

Match stats0 of 3 landed

Markets to Avoid

Altach

Altach or Draw

Under 1.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Altach

TSV Hartberg

Squad & Injuries

Altach

TSV Hartberg