BundesligaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Altach’s unbeaten H2H run and WSG Tirol’s poor away form point to a low-scoring draw, with under 2.5 goals offering a slim edge at 1.73.
The double chance (Altach or Draw) is safe but overpriced, while the draw at 3.40 is slightly undervalued but lacks a strong betting edge.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 49% · BetBugs 50%
Both recent H2H meetings at Altach were draws at half-time, and Altach's home first-half record shows 2 draws in last 5, while WSG Tirol's away first halves have been tight.
Market 57.8% · BetBugs 58%
H2H trend of low-scoring draws, combined with both teams' moderate attacking output and Altach's home defensive solidity, points to a match with fewer than 3 goals.
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 72% · Market 80%
Altach are unbeaten in 5 H2H meetings and have lost only once in their last 5 home league games, while WSG Tirol have 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 5 away league matches.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied probability of 29% is close to our 38% estimate, but the edge is only 9 points and the market is efficient; the draw is already priced attractively at 3.40, leaving limited value.
