Atletico GO
Market 38.5% · BetBugs 40%
Atletico GO's superior league position, better recent form, and dominant H2H record give them the edge, though Londrina's home advantage and Atletico's inconsistent away form temper the confidence.
Serie BFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Atlético-GO’s H2H dominance and superior league position make them slight favorites, but the only positive value is a marginal edge on the away win at 2.60.
Avoid the first-half over 0.5 goals market (1.36) as it is heavily overpriced relative to both teams’ low first-half scoring rates.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Atletico GOMarket 38.5% · BetBugs 40%
Atletico GO's superior league position, better recent form, and dominant H2H record give them the edge, though Londrina's home advantage and Atletico's inconsistent away form temper the confidence.
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 65% · Market 69%
Given Londrina's poor form and Atletico GO's H2H dominance, the away side is unlikely to lose, making Draw or Atletico GO a solid double chance.
BetBugs 60% · Market 73.5%
Combined first-half goal averages and H2H trends suggest early goals, but the odds imply a higher probability than our estimate.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 37% vs our estimate 35% leaves no value; Londrina's poor form and relegation position make the home win unlikely.
Londrina's over 9.5 corners projections have been fulfilled in 3 of 4 recent matches. The average estimated probability was 56.8%, with an expected 2.3 fulfilled predictions, indicating performance above expectation. The current prediction of 50% is below the historical range of 52-60%, suggesting a more conservative estimate than recent evidence.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | LondrinaRelegation | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 28-34 | 20 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 24-23 | 32 |

