Shelbourne22 – 2Ajax2

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Ajax's consistency and Shelbourne's struggle to win even at home make a double chance covering Ajax win or draw highly probable.

• Ajax has lost only 2 of their last 15 matches (both friendlies); Shelbourne has won only 5 of their last 15.
• Shelbourne's home form: 3 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses in last 8 home matches; Ajax's away form: 3 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses in last 4 competitive away matches.
• Ajax's goal difference per game: +0.9; Shelbourne: 0.0.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or AjaxEstimated chance88%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Ajax's superior first-half performance and Shelbourne's slow starts make an Ajax half-time lead probable.

• Ajax led at half-time in 47% of their last 15 matches; Shelbourne trailed in 27%.
• In the H2H, Ajax led 2-0 at half-time.
• Ajax's first-half goal difference: +0.6; Shelbourne: -0.1.
• Shelbourne's last 5 first-half results: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses.

BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonAjaxEstimated chance55%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently, and Ajax's attacking firepower should ensure at least 3 goals.

• Ajax's matches average 2.7 total goals (1.8 scored, 0.9 conceded); Shelbourne's average 2.6 total goals (1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded).
• The only H2H meeting produced 4 goals.
• Ajax's last 5 matches: 3+ goals in 4 of them; Shelbourne's last 5: 3+ goals in 3 of them.
• Ajax averages 18.5 shots per game with 7.4 on target; Shelbourne concedes 1.3 goals per game but faces a much stronger attack here.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Shelbourne has shown they can score against stronger opposition, and Ajax's defense isn't impenetrable, making both teams scoring likely.

• Shelbourne has scored in 11 of their last 15 matches; Ajax has conceded in 8 of their last 15.
• Shelbourne scored 1 goal in the recent H2H despite being dominated.
• Ajax's clean sheet rate is only 33% in their last 15 matches.
• Shelbourne averages 1.3 goals per game at home.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Ajax's tendency to start strong and Shelbourne's vulnerability early in games suggest a high chance of multiple first-half goals.

• Ajax averages 0.9 first-half goals, conceding 0.3; Shelbourne averages 0.6 scored, 0.7 conceded in first halves.
• The H2H had 2 first-half goals (both by Ajax).
• Ajax led at half-time in 47% of matches; Shelbourne trailed in 27%.
• Ajax's last 5 matches: 2+ first-half goals in 3 of them.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Ajax's defense is not consistently solid, and Shelbourne's ability to find the net at home makes an away clean sheet unlikely.

• Ajax has kept a clean sheet in only 5 of their last 15 matches (33%).
• Shelbourne has scored in 11 of their last 15 matches.
• Shelbourne scored 1 goal in the recent H2H.
• Ajax conceded in 3 of their last 5 away matches.

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonShelbourne to scoreEstimated chance65%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Ajax's attacking style generates many corners, and Shelbourne may concede several, pushing the total over 9.5.

• Ajax averages 6.8 corners per game; Shelbourne averages 5.1.
• The H2H had 14 corners (all for Ajax).
• Ajax's matches average 10.2 total corners; Shelbourne's average 9.4.
• Ajax's high possession (59.1%) and shot volume (18.5 per game) correlate with more corners.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Shelbourne's higher foul and card counts, combined with a competitive European tie, could lead to over 3.5 total cards.

• Shelbourne averages 2.5 yellow cards per game; Ajax averages 1.3.
• Shelbourne's last 5 matches: 2+ cards in 4 of them; Ajax's last 5: 1+ cards in 3 of them.
• Shelbourne commits 10.4 fouls per game; Ajax 9.4.
• In the H2H, both teams received 1 yellow card each.