Rafael Jodar #13Spain22 – 1Casper Ruud #24Norway1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.73

The read

Jodar is the higher-ranked player with the better hard-court record and has won three matches in a row this week.

• Jodar is No. 13 and 10-4 on hard in the tracked sample; Ruud is No. 24 and 4-2
• Jodar has won his last three Shanghai matches, each in three sets
• Ruud's hard-court sample covers only six matches
• The two have never met on tour

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.50

The read

Ruud has rarely been beaten by four or more games in his tracked hard matches.

• Ruud's hard margins are +3, +6, -4 and +3
• Jodar's margin was +1 against Lehecka
• Jodar lost by eight but his wins are not all blowouts

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.85

The read

Jodar's matches have been long and three-set heavy, and Ruud's hard sets often reach tiebreaks.

• Jodar's thirteen hard matches average 24.1 total games
• Ruud's five hard matches average 20.4
• Jodar's last three Shanghai matches all went three sets
• Four of Ruud's five hard matches featured a tiebreak

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Jodar has finished ahead on games in most of his recent hard matches.

• Jodar's recent hard game margins are +5, +1, +5, -8 and +7
• Jodar finished with a positive game count in four of five listed hard matches
• Jodar is ranked No. 13 against Ruud's No. 24

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players' hard first sets average about ten games, just above the line.

• Jodar's hard first sets average 10.2 games
• Ruud's hard first sets average 10.0 games
• Ruud's hard first sets include two tiebreaks in five matches
• Jodar's hard first sets include three tiebreaks in thirteen matches

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Ruud's second sets have run long, offsetting Jodar's shorter ones.

• Ruud's hard second sets average 10.4 games
• Jodar's hard second sets average 9.46 games
• Ruud's hard second sets include two tiebreaks in five matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.73

The read

Jodar has been much stronger in second sets, winning nine of thirteen on hard.

• Jodar's hard second-set record is 9-4
• Jodar won the second set in all three Shanghai matches
• Ruud's hard second-set record is 3-2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.00

The read

Ruud has been the stronger starter and Jodar has dropped the first set all week.

• Ruud is 3-2 in hard first sets
• Jodar lost the opening set in all three Shanghai matches
• Jodar's hard first-set record is 7-6
• Ruud's hard first sets average six games won