Daniil Medvedev #5Russia22 – 1Jan-Lennard Struff #59Germany1

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Medvedev has won almost all of their hard-court meetings and his serve-and-return numbers on this surface are clearly stronger than Struff's.

• Medvedev is 11-4 on hard courts over his last 15 matches, winning 55.6% of games
• He has won five of six career meetings with Struff, including 6-4 6-3 in Beijing on 3 October
• Struff is 4-4 on hard courts in his last eight matches and ranked 59

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Medvedev's recent first sets have regularly stretched past nine games, including tie-breaks.

• Medvedev's first sets on hard courts average 11.4 games, with 3 tie-breaks in 10 matches
• Struff's first sets on hard courts average 9.3 games
• Medvedev's first set in Beijing was 6-4

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Second sets in Medvedev's recent hard-court matches have usually gone beyond nine games.

• Medvedev's second sets on hard courts average 10.2 games, with 2 tie-breaks in 10 matches
• Struff's second sets on hard courts average 9.3 games
• Medvedev's second set in Beijing was 6-3

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Struff's recent hard-court results have generally been decided by four games or fewer.

• Struff lost only 8-12 in games in his Shanghai first round win and 7-12 to Medvedev in Beijing
• Medvedev's average game margin on hard courts is +2.8 per match
• Struff is 4-4 on hard courts in his last eight matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.20

The read

Both men hold serve well enough to keep games ticking over on a slow Shanghai court.

• Medvedev's hard-court matches average 23.2 total games
• Struff's hard-court best-of-three matches average 21.3 games
• Medvedev is winning 79.5% of first-serve points and 38.3% of return points on hard courts

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Medvedev's second-set record on hard courts is strong and he closed out the second set comfortably in the last meeting.

• Medvedev is 7-3 in second sets across 10 hard-court best-of-three matches
• Struff is 3-3 in second sets in his six hard-court best-of-three matches
• Medvedev won the second set 6-3 in Beijing

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Most of Medvedev's recent hard-court matches have been settled without a tie-break.

• Medvedev's hard-court set sample had 5 tie-breaks across 10 matches
• Struff has played 1 tie-break in 6 hard-court best-of-three matches
• Medvedev beat Struff 6-4 6-3 in Beijing without a tie-break