Valentin Vacherot #1822 – 1Stefanos Tsitsipas #53Greece1

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Vacherot has kept his recent hard-court matches within three games in five of six completed matches, so a close score is likely.

• Vacherot's hard-court game margins in recent matches: +2, -3, +1, +4, -8, +5.
• He covered +3.5 in 5 of 6 completed hard-court matches.
• Tsitsipas lost by nine games to Shelton in his last completed hard-court match before Tokyo.
• Vacherot lost only one recent hard-court match by more than three games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

First sets on this surface have regularly reached at least ten games, with both players' averages above 10.

• Vacherot's set1 average is 10.17 games on hard courts.
• Tsitsipas's set1 average is 10.67 games on hard courts.
• Vacherot's opening Tokyo first set was 7-6.
• Tsitsipas's first sets in Tokyo were 4-6, 6-4, and 7-5, all over 9.5.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Second sets on this surface have often reached at least ten games, supported by both players' averages.

• Vacherot's set2 average is 11.17 games on hard courts.
• Tsitsipas's set2 average is 10.89 games on hard courts.
• Vacherot has gone over 9.5 games in 5 of his last 6 second sets on hard courts.
• Tsitsipas's hard-court set2 average is above ten games.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players have recent hard-court matches trending around or above the line, and their Tokyo openers were both long.

• Vacherot's hard-court best-of-three total games average is 24.5.
• Tsitsipas's hard-court best-of-three total games average is 22.67.
• Vacherot's opening Tokyo match had 26 games.
• Tsitsipas's first-round Tokyo match had 29 games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Vacherot's higher double-fault rate makes the over more likely.

• Vacherot averages 5.4 double faults per match on the current surface.
• Tsitsipas averages 3.2 double faults per match.
• Combined average is 8.6.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players have recent tiebreak history, and the quick surface helps servers.

• Vacherot has had a tiebreak in 4 of 6 hard-court best-of-three matches.
• Tsitsipas has had a tiebreak in 4 of 9 hard-court best-of-three matches.
• Vacherot's opening Tokyo match had two tiebreak sets.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both serve well enough to push the combined ace count past 18.5.

• Vacherot averages 10.7 aces per match on the current surface.
• Tsitsipas averages 8.9 aces per match.
• Combined average is 19.6.