Francesco Passaro #219Italy22 – 0Felix Gill #218United Kingdom0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91

The read

Both players have solid first-serve numbers, and their recent first sets average near or above 10 games, supporting an over on the set total.

• Passaro's last-15 first-set average is 9.8 games.
• Gill's last-15 first-set average is 10.3 games.
• Both players have first-serve points won around 68-70%, making breaks less frequent.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Gill's low double-fault rate helps keep the combined total under 4.5, though Passaro's higher rate adds some risk.

• Gill averages only 1.3 double faults per match in his last 15.
• Passaro averages 2.9 double faults per match in his last 15.
• Combined average is 4.2 double faults per match, just under the 4.5 line.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Gill's ace rate is solid, and hard courts favor serving, but Passaro's low ace count and limited hard-court data make this a low-confidence over.

• Gill averages 4.9 aces per match in his last 15, with 5.8 on grass and 2.7 on hard.
• Passaro averages 2.8 aces per match in his last 15, all on clay.
• Hard courts typically produce more aces than clay, so Gill's hard-court ace rate may be higher than his overall average.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The competitive nature of the match and both players' tiebreak experience make a tiebreak likely, though not a certainty.

• Gill has a 59% career tiebreak win rate, indicating frequent tiebreaks.
• Passaro has a 51% career tiebreak win rate.
• Both players have similar first-serve points won percentages, suggesting close sets.