Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Felix Gill: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.29
The read
Felix Gill's stronger overall career stats, higher-quality recent grass wins, and superior return game give him a clear edge over Filip Jeff Planinsek in this Bo3 grass-court match.
- Gill holds a 63.6% career win rate vs Planinsek's 57.4%.
- Gill has a 3-6 grass record in 2026, but all losses came against top-140 opponents; Planinsek is 1-0 on grass this year but only faced lower-ranked players.
- Gill's recent form includes a win over world No. 118 Hugo Gaston on grass, while Planinsek's best recent win is over No. 328 Igor Ribeiro Marcondes.
- Gill's return points won (42%) and break point conversion (44%) are superior to Planinsek's (40% and 39%).
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonFelix GillEstimated chance65%

Games0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
While Gill is favored, Planinsek's ability to stay competitive in matches suggests he can cover a +3.5 game handicap.
- Planinsek's recent losses have been by margins of 4, 8, and 5 games, but his wins have been dominant.
- Gill's wins have often been tight (e.g., 18-15 games vs Jansen), and his losses have been by 8, 5, and 4 games.
- Planinsek's serve and return stats are slightly worse, but he has kept matches close against similar opposition.
BetBugs · Game HandicaplostFilip Jeff Planinsek +3.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Recent first-set trends for both players show a pattern of competitive, extended opening sets, making over 9.5 games likely.
- Planinsek's last five first sets averaged 9.8 games, with three going over 9.5.
- Gill's last five first sets averaged 10.2 games, with four going over 9.5.
- Both players have been involved in tight opening sets recently, including tiebreaks.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Recent match lengths for both players trend toward higher total games, and their comparable break point save rates could lead to a competitive, longer match.
- Planinsek's last three matches averaged 21.3 games, with two going over 21.5.
- Gill's last five matches averaged 23.6 games, with four exceeding 21.5.
- Both players have similar break point save rates (~60%), indicating potential for extended games.
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 21.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second-set trends indicate a likelihood of another tight set, as both players have frequently played sets with 10+ games.
- Planinsek's last five second sets averaged 9.4 games, with three going over 9.5.
- Gill's last five second sets averaged 10.0 games, with four going over 9.5.
- Both players have shown the ability to push second sets deep, even after losing the first.
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

Sets1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.29
The read
Gill's high first-set win conversion rate and Planinsek's recent first-set struggles suggest Gill is likely to take the opening set.
- Gill has won 89% of matches when taking the first set in his career.
- Planinsek's first-set win conversion is 86%, but his recent first-set performances have been inconsistent (lost first set in 3 of last 5 matches).
- Gill's return stats (42% return points won) should pressure Planinsek's 57.9% first-serve percentage.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonFelix GillEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While not a dominant trend, both players have shown a moderate tendency to play three-set matches, giving a near-even chance of going over 2.5 sets.
- Planinsek has gone to three sets in 3 of his last 10 matches.
- Gill has gone to three sets in 5 of his last 10 matches.
- Both players have deciding set win rates around 56-59%, suggesting they can extend matches.
BetBugs · Total SetslostOver 2.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have low ace rates, and their recent match data indicates a combined ace count well below 8.5 in a typical Bo3 contest.
- Planinsek's ace rate is 8%, but his recent matches on grass have not shown high ace counts (e.g., 4 aces vs Marcondes).
- Gill's ace rate is only 3.6%, and he averages fewer than 3 aces per match in recent outings.
- Combined, their ace rates suggest a total under 8.5 is likely in a Bo3 match.
BetBugs · Total AcesUnder 8.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have moderate double fault rates, and in a competitive match, the total could edge over 5.5.
- Planinsek's double fault rate is 4%, and he has averaged around 2-3 double faults per match recently.
- Gill's double fault rate is 3.4%, but he has had matches with 4+ double faults in the past.
- Combined, their rates suggest a total around 5-6 double faults, with a slight lean toward over 5.5.
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsOver 5.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Recent match histories show a high frequency of tiebreaks for both players, making it more likely than not that at least one set goes to a tiebreak.
- Planinsek has played a tiebreak in 4 of his last 10 matches.
- Gill has played a tiebreak in 6 of his last 10 matches.
- Both players have tiebreak win rates around 42-60%, indicating frequent tiebreak appearances.
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchlostYesEstimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Filip Jeff Planinsek #5650Felix Gill #220United Kingdom2

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Filip Jeff Planinsek

Felix Gill

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Felix Gill

Felix Gill

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Result1 of 1 landed

Games0 of 4 landed

Sets1 of 2 landed

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Filip Jeff Planinsek

Felix Gill