EldensevsGranada

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.62

The read

Granada are ahead on table position, away scoring and current form, so covering the draw captures the most likely paths to a positive result.

• Granada are 5th on 20 points from 11; Eldense are 13th on 14
• Granada away in the league: 3W 1D 2L with 9 goals in 6
• Eldense at home: 2W 2D 1L, 9 scored and 6 conceded in 5
• Granada have won their last five matches in all competitions

BetBugs · Double ChanceDraw or GranadaMarket price1.62Estimated chance63%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.85

The read

Both teams' home and away splits point to roughly three goals a game, and the head-to-head history was open.

• Eldense home games average 3.0 goals (1.8 for, 1.2 against)
• Granada away league games average 3.0 goals (1.5 for, 1.5 against)
• Both previous meetings cleared the line: 3-0 and 3-2
• Eldense's last four league games produced 2, 5, 3 and 5 goals

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Eldense's scoring is heavily concentrated after half-time and Granada also do most of their away scoring late.

• Eldense average 1.8 second-half goals at home and have not scored in a first half at home this season
• Granada average about 1.2 second-half goals in away league games
• Eldense scored all four goals against Oviedo and both against Cordoba after the break

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25

The read

Eldense have found the net regularly at home against a Granada side that concedes at a fair rate on the road.

• Eldense have scored 9 goals in 5 home league games
• Granada have conceded 9 in 6 away league games
• Eldense scored in both recent home wins (2-1 and 4-1)

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalEldense over 0.5Market price1.25Estimated chance76%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.20

The read

Eldense almost never score before half-time, so the chance that both teams find the net in the opening 45 minutes is small.

• Eldense have scored 0 first-half goals in 5 home games (2 in 12 overall)
• Granada have scored 2 first-half goals in 6 away league games
• Granada have conceded 7 first-half goals in 6 away league games

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both attacks have enough away and home output to trade goals, with Eldense's home scoring the steadier half of the case.

• Eldense average 1.8 goals scored per home game
• Granada average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away league game
• Granada have kept five clean sheets in 12 league games

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Combined card averages sit near five and Eldense's recent games have consistently gone past this line.

• Eldense average 2.3 yellows with 3.0 for opponents
• Granada average 2.6 yellows with 2.5 for opponents
• Eldense's last six matches produced between 5 and 8 total cards

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Eldense generate plenty of corners at home while Granada's away games are roughly break-even, leaving the total just above the line.

• Eldense average 6.6 corners at home with 5.0 for opponents
• Granada average 3.5 corners away with 3.5 conceded
• Combined expectation is around nine corners