Granada2Cadiz0

HT 0–0Sun 18 Oct 2026, 14:15 Predictions graded

Predictions7–750%

Edges1–325%

PossPossession 54%–46%ShotsShots 11–8On targetOn target 2–1CornersCorners 4–6

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 15 Oct 2026, 00:41 · Europe/Bucharest

Granada's two away wins have lifted them to 10th, but they return home with only four points from three league games to face a Cádiz side that has scored in every away match yet has not won one.

Granada's better form and Cádiz's four draws point to a tight game, with Granada the likelier winner. The one price that offers something is both teams to score at 1.85; Granada to win at 1.78 asks more than their home record supports.

Context

Granada have won their last two matches, both away from Los Cármenes, and the sequence has lifted them towards the play-off places after a run of heavy defeats. Pacheta's side has looked more compact out of possession in those games, which gives them a platform to protect at home. Their home form is much weaker, though: they have taken only four points from three home league matches, including a 3-2 loss to Andorra, so the away upturn does not automatically transfer to this fixture.
- Granada beat Real Sociedad II 3-2 on 4 October and Burgos 1-0 on 12 October, both away, for a second consecutive league win.
- Pedro Alemañ scored the only goal at Burgos in the 12 October win.
- Pacheta highlighted his team's defensive firmness at El Plantío.
ConfirmedSources checked 15 Oct 2026, 00:40 · Europe/Bucharest
Albert Celades has steered Cádiz through a difficult start: one win and seven points from nine league matches, the single victory a 4-0 home rout of Leganés on 3 October. His position was questioned in late September before that result, and a 0-1 home defeat to Sporting Gijón on 11 October revived scrutiny. Cádiz have scored in all three away matches but have not won on the road, so the trip to Granada is a chance to convert attacking output into points. The coach has kept changes to a minimum, which suggests continuity rather than a major reset for this game.
- Cádiz have one win and seven points after nine league matches under Albert Celades.
- Their only win was 4-0 at home to Leganés on 3 October; they then lost 0-1 at home to Sporting Gijón on 11 October.
- Celades' position was questioned in late September before the Leganés result.
- Cádiz have scored in each of their three away matches this season without winning any.
ConfirmedSources checked 15 Oct 2026, 00:40 · Europe/Bucharest
Manu Lama and Juan José Flores have started together at centre-back in Granada's last two matches, with Benedikt Gimber dropped to the bench and the pair fielded as two right-footed centre-halves. The change gives Pacheta a younger, quicker partnership as Granada look to protect their box after a spell of heavy defeats. It is only a two-match sample, and Gimber remains an experienced alternative, so the arrangement is not guaranteed to persist.
- Manu Lama and Juan José Flores started together at centre-back in Granada's wins over Real Sociedad II and Burgos.
- Benedikt Gimber was benched, leaving two right-footed centre-halves as starters for the first time.
ReportedSources checked 15 Oct 2026, 00:40 · Europe/Bucharest
Alberto Flores kept a clean sheet in his second Granada appearance at Burgos, ending a run of six consecutive league matches in which Granada conceded. The goalkeeper change has given Pacheta a settled last line ahead of a home fixture Granada will look to control. One clean sheet is a thin basis for a firm read, and the Burgos game was one in which Granada spent long spells defending, so the improvement owes much to the goalkeeper's own work.
- Alberto Flores kept a clean sheet in Granada's 1-0 win at Burgos in his second match for the club.
- Granada had conceded in each of the previous six league matches before that game.
ConfirmedSources checked 15 Oct 2026, 00:40 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 2

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

1st Half GoalslostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

1.35fair 1.41

BetBugs 71% · Market 74.1%

−3.1ppshort

First-half goals have arrived in most of both sides' games, with Granada especially generous early.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 1.78
The read
Granada sit higher with better form while Cadiz have not won away in three attempts this season.
- Granada: 4W-2D-3L in 9 league games, 14 points, 10th
- Cadiz: 1W-4D-4L, 7 points, 20th, no away win this season
- Granada home split: 1W-1D-1L, 5 scored, 4 conceded in 3
- Granada won the most recent competitive meeting, 1-2 at Cadiz
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonGranadaEstimated chance46%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams score and concede little in the first half, making a level interval most likely.
- Granada first-half: 0.33 scored, 1.0 conceded
- Cadiz first-half: 0.33 scored, 0.78 conceded
- Neither side averages more than a goal before half-time
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance54%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Granada sit higher with better form while Cadiz have not won away in three attempts this season. Cadiz have drawn nearly half their games and their low-scoring away profile makes a share of the points plausible.
- Granada: 4W-2D-3L in 9 league games, 14 points, 10th
- Cadiz: 1W-4D-4L, 7 points, 20th, no away win this season
- Cadiz have drawn 4 of 9 league games and 2 of 3 away
- Both sides score and concede at similar rates (Granada 1.56/1.44, Cadiz 1.22/1.22)
BetBugs · Double ChancewonGranada or DrawEstimated chance74%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Granada's first-half scoring is low, though Cadiz have conceded early goals on the road. Both teams score and concede little in the first half, making a level interval most likely.
- Granada first-half: 0.33 scored, 1.0 conceded per game
- Cadiz first-half conceded 1.33 per away game
- Granada first-half: 0.33 scored, 1.0 conceded
- Cadiz first-half: 0.33 scored, 0.78 conceded
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonGranada or DrawEstimated chance78%

Goals2 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.95
The read
Both teams combine for close to three goals a game and have recently featured in high-scoring matches.
- Granada games average 3.0 total goals; Cadiz 2.44
- Granada home 3.0 total goals per game; Cadiz away 3.67
- Cadiz's last six matches produced 16 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.85
The read
Both teams have scored in the majority of their games and Cadiz netted in every away fixture.
- Granada BTTS in 5 of 9; Cadiz BTTS in 5 of 9
- Cadiz scored and conceded in all three away matches
- Granada BTTS in 2 of 3 home games
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance57%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Granada need at least two goals for this line and their per-game scoring sits only just above one and a half.
- Granada average 1.56 goals per game and 1.67 at home
- Granada failed to score in 2 of 9 league matches
- Cadiz have kept 2 clean sheets in 9
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostGranada under 1.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Cadiz's goal output is modest and they have managed more than one goal in only two recent games.
- Cadiz average 1.22 goals per game
- Cadiz scored once or fewer in 4 of their last 6 matches
- Granada kept 3 clean sheets in 9
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonCadiz under 1.5Estimated chance66%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Cadiz have scored in every away game and Granada have conceded in most matches.
- Cadiz scored in all three away matches and in 6 of 9 overall
- Granada conceded in 6 of 9 league games
- Granada home split: 4 conceded in 3
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostCadiz to scoreEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Granada have scored in every home game while Cadiz are without an away clean sheet.
- Granada scored in all 3 home games
- Cadiz have no away clean sheet in 3 attempts
- Granada scored in 7 of 9 league matches
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonGranada to scoreEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.35
The read
First-half goals have arrived in most of both sides' games, with Granada especially generous early.
- Granada first-half total 1.33 goals per game
- Cadiz first-half total 1.11 goals per game
- Granada conceded a first-half goal in four of their last six
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance71%

Match stats1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides' overall corner totals sit below ten and Cadiz generate few on the road.
- Granada: 5.11 corners for, 3.44 against
- Cadiz: 4.56 corners for, 4.67 against
- Cadiz away games produced 6.67 corners on average
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostUnder 9.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' matches average around nine shots on target, comfortably above the line.
- Granada shots on target: 4.33 for, 5.56 against
- Cadiz shots on target: 3.56 for, 4.56 against
- Combined average is roughly nine shots on target per game
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostOver 7.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams average around five cards per game and neither has seen a league red card.
- Granada average 2.11 yellow cards; Cadiz 3.22
- Opponent yellows: 3.11 against Granada, 2.33 against Cadiz
- No red cards for either side in the league this season
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonUnder 5.5Estimated chance52%