Universidad Catolica Quito22 – 2LDU Quito2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.40

The read

Católica are hard to beat and have home advantage, so the draw side covers a likely tight first leg.

• Universidad Católica are 6W-6D-3L in 15 competitive matches.
• LDU Quito are 2W-2D-2L in six away matches.
• Católica beat LDU 1-0 at home in the most recent Liga Pro meeting in Quito.
• LDU won the latest head-to-head 2-1 at home in September.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonUniversidad Catolica Quito or DrawEstimated chance62%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.30

The read

LDU's recent games have been open and Católica usually find a goal at home, so both scoring is plausible.

• Both teams have scored in 9 of 15 competitive matches.
• LDU have no clean sheet in their last six, with both teams scoring in five.
• Católica have scored in 12 of 15 competitive matches.
• Three of the last five head-to-heads had both teams scoring.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.20

The read

Both teams start games slowly and rarely produce multiple first-half goals.

• Católica average 0.87 first-half goals for and 0.33 against.
• LDU average 0.33 first-half goals for and 0.60 against.
• Five of Católica's last six and five of LDU's last six had under 1.5 first-half goals.
• The September head-to-head had only one first-half goal.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' matches sit around or above the line, with LDU especially generating high corner counts.

• Católica's matches average about 9.9 total corners (3.9 for, 6.0 against).
• LDU's matches average about 10.7 total corners (5.8 for, 4.9 against).
• LDU's last six matches produced 8, 14, 14, 13, 6 and 11 corners.
• Católica's last five recorded corner totals were 11, 18, 9, 13 and 8.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

This is a Quito derby and both teams' season card averages sit around the line.

• Católica's matches average 4.1 yellow cards (1.5 own, 2.6 opponent).
• LDU's matches average 3.8 yellow cards (1.9 own, 1.9 opponent).
• The September league meeting produced five LDU yellow cards and no Católica yellow cards.
• LDU's most recent match against Macara had no cards.