Poblense00 – 0Ceuta0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.00

The read

The fourth-tier hosts are in strong home form against a second-tier side with almost no away wins this season.

• Poblense's home split reads 5 wins, 0 draws, 1 defeat in 6 matches.
• Ceuta's away split in the league reads 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats.
• Ceuta have 1 win, 2 draws and 8 defeats across 11 competitive matches.
• Poblense have 5 wins and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonPoblense or DrawEstimated chance55%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Poblense tend to start home games on the front foot while Ceuta rarely lead at the break.

• Poblense average 0.83 first-half goals scored in home matches.
• Ceuta average only 0.40 first-half goals scored away from home.
• Ceuta concede 0.73 first-half goals per match on average.
• Poblense concede 0.50 first-half goals per match in home games.

BetBugs · Double Chance First Halfnot gradablePoblense or DrawEstimated chance65%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Ceuta fade badly in second halves away from home while Poblense finish home games strongly.

• Poblense average 0.83 second-half goals scored and 0.33 conceded in home matches.
• Ceuta's away split shows 2.2 second-half goals conceded per game.
• Ceuta have conceded 1.55 goals per game after the break overall.
• Poblense scored 5 of their 9 league goals in second halves.

BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradablePoblenseEstimated chance36%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.55

The read

Both teams do most of their scoring after the break, with first-half goal rates for and against both low.

• Ceuta average 0.27 first-half goals scored and 0.73 conceded per match.
• Poblense average 0.50 first-half goals scored and 0.79 conceded per match.
• Poblense's home split shows 0.83 first-half goals for and 0.50 against.
• Ceuta's away split shows just 0.40 first-half goals for per game.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Ceuta's away scoring is limited and Poblense's home defence has been reasonably tight.

• Ceuta average 0.8 goals per game across 5 away league matches, scoring 4 in total.
• Poblense concede just 0.83 goals per game in their 6 home matches.
• Poblense kept 2 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
• Ceuta average 4.1 shots on target per match.

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonCeuta under 1.5Estimated chance68%