Second LeagueFull time

Predictions graded

Rilski Sportist Samokov2Yantra Gabrovo0

HT 0–0Sun 13 Sept 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions5–550%

Edges4–267%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 Sep 2026, 00:41 · Europe/Bucharest

Yantra Gabrovo are the stronger side, but the best value is in the double chance market: Draw or Yantra at 1.57 (70% estimated vs 63.7% implied, +6.3 points edge).

Avoid the first-half under 1.5 goals at 1.30, which is heavily overpriced.

Context

Yantra Gabrovo are second in the Second League with 16 points from 8 matches, two points behind leaders Vihren.
Their recent run includes a 3-0 home win over Marek on 6 September and a 2-0 home win over Pirin Blagoevgrad on 2 September. This shows they are scoring and keeping clean sheets at home, but their away form is less convincing with only one win in three away games. Against a Rilski Sportist side that has been inconsistent, Yantra's overall quality gives them an edge, though their away record suggests this match may be closer than their league position implies.
- Yantra Gabrovo beat Marek 3-0 at home on 2026-09-06.
- Yantra Gabrovo beat Pirin Blagoevgrad 2-0 at home on 2026-09-02.
- Yantra Gabrovo have won 5 of their 8 league matches this season.
Rilski Sportist Samokov are 14th in the Second League with 9 points from 8 matches, while the relegation line is at 13th place with 10 points.
Their recent form is mixed: they lost 1-2 away to Nesebar on 6 September, but won 2-1 at home against Sportist Svoge on 2 September. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, which is decent but not dominant. Facing a strong Yantra side, Rilski will likely need to be solid defensively and take their chances to get a result.
- Rilski Sportist Samokov are 14th with 9 points, one point above the relegation line.
- Rilski Sportist Samokov lost 1-2 away to Nesebar on 2026-09-06.
- Rilski Sportist Samokov won 2-1 at home against Sportist Svoge on 2026-09-02.
Yantra Gabrovo's away record is 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss in 3 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 3. Rilski Sportist's home record is 2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in 4 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 5.
Both teams have similar points per game at home and away respectively, so neither has a clear venue advantage. Yantra's away form includes a 1-1 draw at Nesebar and a 1-0 win at Dobrudzha, while Rilski's home form includes a 2-1 win over Sportist Svoge and a 2-2 draw with Spartak Pleven. This suggests the match could be competitive, with both teams capable of scoring.
- Yantra Gabrovo have 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss in 3 away league matches.
- Rilski Sportist Samokov have 2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in 4 home league matches.
- Yantra Gabrovo drew 1-1 away at Nesebar on 2026-08-29.
Yantra Gabrovo have scored 12 goals in 8 league matches, while Rilski Sportist have scored 8 goals in 8 matches.
Yantra's higher scoring rate is supported by their recent results, such as the 3-0 win over Marek. Rilski have struggled to score consistently, with only 8 goals in 8 games. This difference in attacking output could be decisive, especially if Yantra can convert their chances early.
- Yantra Gabrovo average 1.4 goals per game in the league.
- Rilski Sportist Samokov average 0.8 goals per game in the league.
- Yantra Gabrovo scored 3 goals against Marek on 2026-09-06.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Yantra Gabrovo

2.20fair 2.22

BetBugs 45% · Market 45.5%

0.0ppshort

Yantra's superior league position and recent form give them the edge, though Rilski's home resilience keeps the probability moderate.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Yantra's superior league position and recent form give them the edge, though Rilski's home resilience keeps the probability moderate.
- Yantra are 2nd with 16 points, Rilski 14th with 9 points.
- Yantra away record: 1W-1D-1L, Rilski home record: 2W-1D-1L.
- Yantra last 5 league form: WWDWW; Rilski last 5 league form: LWDWD.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostYantra GabrovoEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Combining Yantra's strong overall form with Rilski's inconsistent home results makes the away side or draw the safer outcome.
- Yantra have lost only 2 of 8 league matches.
- Rilski have won only 2 of 8 league matches.
- Yantra away losses: 1 in 3; Rilski home losses: 1 in 4.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or Yantra GabrovoEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The first-half scoring patterns suggest a high chance of the teams being level at the break.
- Rilski led at halftime in 13% of matches, trailed in 40%.
- Yantra led at halftime in 40% of matches, trailed in 13%.
- Both teams have a high percentage of level scores at halftime.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at halftime followed by a Yantra win is a plausible scenario given Yantra's second-half strength.
- Yantra have won 5 of 8 matches, often after a level first half.
- Rilski have drawn 3 of 8 matches.
- Yantra's away matches have been tight, with 1 draw and 1 loss.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/Yantra GabrovoEstimated chance25%

Goals4 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' scoring and conceding averages suggest a low-scoring encounter, supporting the under.
- Rilski average 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.
- Yantra average 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match.
- Combined average goals per match: 2.3.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Yantra's defensive solidity and Rilski's scoring struggles make it likely at least one team fails to score.
- Rilski failed to score in 3 of their last 5 league matches.
- Yantra kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 5 league matches.
- Yantra conceded in only 2 of their last 5 league matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start cautiously, with low first-half scoring averages.
- Rilski average 0.3 first-half goals scored and 0.5 conceded.
- Yantra average 0.6 first-half goals scored and 0.3 conceded.
- Combined first-half average: 0.85 goals.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Teams often open up after halftime, and the combined second-half average is close to the line.
- Rilski's second-half goals: 0.5 per match (0.8 total - 0.3 first half).
- Yantra's second-half goals: 0.8 per match (1.4 total - 0.6 first half).
- Combined second-half average: 1.3 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Yantra's defensive form and Rilski's attacking struggles give a moderate chance of an away clean sheet.
- Yantra kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 5 league matches.
- Rilski failed to score in 3 of their last 5 league matches.
- Yantra's away clean sheet rate: 1 in 3 matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostRilski Sportist Samokov not to scoreEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Rilski's defensive record and Yantra's consistent scoring make a home clean sheet unlikely.
- Rilski conceded in 7 of their last 8 league matches.
- Yantra scored in 7 of their last 8 league matches.
- Rilski's home clean sheet rate: 0 in 4 matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonYantra Gabrovo to scoreEstimated chance70%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 33% vs our estimate 30%; no value and home side's inconsistency makes this a trap.

League Table

Second League 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
14	Rilski Sportist Samokov Relegation	8	2	3	3	8-9	9	LWDWD
2	Yantra Gabrovo Promotion - efbet League (Promotion)	8	5	1	2	12-7	16	WWDWW

7pt gap between teamsRilski Sportist Samokov in relegation zone

Recent Form

Rilski Sportist Samokov

L1-2NesebarSep 6SEC

W2-1Sportist SvogeSep 2SEC

D0-0DobrudzhaAug 29SEC

W2-1MontanaAug 22SEC

D1-1Etar Veliko TarnovoAug 15SEC

D2-2Spartak PlevenAug 9SEC

L0-1FratriaAug 1SEC

L0-1Ludogorets IIJul 28SEC

L0-2CSKA Sofia IIJul 11FRI

L0-2Lokomotiv PlovdivJul 8FRI

W1-0VihrenJul 4FRI

L0-2Arda KardzhaliJul 1FRI

W2-1Pirin Gotse DelchevMay 27THI

L1-2Botev IhtimanMay 23THI

L0-1CSKA Sofia IIIMay 16THI

Yantra Gabrovo

W3-0MarekSep 6SEC

W2-0Pirin BlagoevgradSep 2SEC

D1-1NesebarAug 29SEC

W1-0Sportist SvogeAug 23SEC

W1-0DobrudzhaAug 16SEC

W3-2MontanaAug 11SEC

L1-2Etar Veliko TarnovoAug 3SEC

L0-2Spartak PlevenJul 25SEC

D1-1FratriaJul 10FRI

L0-2Spartak PlevenJul 7FRI

W3-2Ludogorets IIJul 4FRI

L0-1Cherno More VarnaJun 24FRI

L1-2Septemvri SofiaMay 28FIR

W3-1BelasitsaMay 23SEC

W1-0Dunav RuseMay 15SEC

Squad & Injuries

Rilski Sportist Samokov

26 available

Attackers6

Midfielders10

Defenders8

Goalkeeper2

Yantra Gabrovo

23 available

Attackers4

Midfielders6

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw or Yantra Gabrovo

Draw

Yantra Gabrovo

Under 2.5

No

Under 1.5

Result1 of 4 landed

Goals4 of 6 landed

Markets to Avoid

Under 1.5

League Table

Recent Form

Rilski Sportist Samokov

Yantra Gabrovo

Squad & Injuries

Rilski Sportist Samokov

Yantra Gabrovo