Bohemians 19051Mlada Boleslav0

HT 1–0Wed 14 Oct 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions10–471%

Edges4–544%

PossPossession 37%–63%ShotsShots 9–12On targetOn target 2–5CornersCorners 1–3

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 14 Oct 2026, 15:34 · Europe/Bucharest

Mladá Boleslav's rearranged game in hand could lift them up the table, but they visit a Bohemians side unbeaten at home in the league.

A tight, low-scoring game that the visitors avoid losing is the likeliest shape. Mladá Boleslav to win or draw at 1.88, under 2.5 goals at 2.3 and both teams to score: no at 2.3 offer something, as does a Mladá Boleslav win at 3.4; over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.22 and over 9.5 corners at 1.53 do not.

Context

The sixth-round fixture was moved from its original slot and becomes Bohemians' second home league game in five days, after the 1-0 win over Baník Ostrava on 10 October. Mladá Boleslav also played on 10 October, losing 3-0 at Plzeň, so both sides prepare on a short turnaround. For the visitors the game is their match in hand, which makes the table picture around third place directly relevant to the result. Tickets from the original date stay valid, so a normal home crowd is expected rather than a reduced one.
- The sixth-round Chance Liga fixture between Bohemians and Mladá Boleslav was postponed and is now set for Wednesday 14 October 2026 at Ďolíček.
- Kick-off is 18:00 local time.
- Tickets issued for the original date remain valid.
ConfirmedSources checked 14 Oct 2026, 15:31 · Europe/BucharestBohemians 1905 official sitebohemians.cz · 1 Sep 2026
Mladá Boleslav sit third after nine Chance Liga rounds even though they have one game fewer than the clubs around them, and the summer window passed without a transfer fee. That places the emphasis on Majer's coaching and on squad continuity rather than new signings. The game in hand is this fixture, so a positive result would consolidate a top-three position. A counterweight is the 3-0 defeat at Plzeň on 10 October, where Boleslav had 62% possession and 12 corners but conceded three, showing the league position has not been matched by recent control of results.
- Mladá Boleslav are third in the Chance Liga after nine rounds, with one game fewer than their rivals.
- The club spent no money on transfers in the summer window.
- Majer has built a side without foreign players.
ReportedSources checked 14 Oct 2026, 15:31 · Europe/Bucharest
Bohemians have avoided defeat in the last five meetings, winning the two before this run of draws. The most recent league meeting produced four goals, but the two before it produced one, so the fixture has been close without always being quiet. That record is a caution against expecting either side to pull clear at Ďolíček.
- Mladá Boleslav 2-2 Bohemians 1905, Czech Liga, 31 January 2026 (matchBrief.h2h[0]).
- Bohemians 1905 0-0 Mladá Boleslav, Cup, 5 November 2025 (matchBrief.h2h[1]).
- Bohemians 1905 1-1 Mladá Boleslav, Czech Liga, 22 October 2025 (matchBrief.h2h[2]).
- Across the five supplied head-to-head matches, from 26 February 2025 to 31 January 2026, Bohemians have two wins and three draws and are unbeaten.
The draw puts the two clubs into the same MOL Cup round-of-16 tie for a third consecutive season, with the fixture set for Lokotrans Aréna on 28 October 2026. That gives this league meeting added context: the sides will meet again within a fortnight, and each will have recent first-hand knowledge of the other. The cup venue favours Mladá Boleslav, reversing the home advantage Bohemians hold in this league game. Separate squads and cup rotation mean the two fixtures should not be read as a single contest, but the repeated pairing is unusual enough to note.
- The MOL Cup round-of-16 draw pairs Mladá Boleslav with Bohemians 1905.
- The tie is set for Wednesday 28 October 2026 at Lokotrans Aréna.
- It is the third consecutive season the clubs have met at this stage, and it repeats last season's round-of-16 pairing.
ConfirmedSources checked 14 Oct 2026, 15:31 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 6

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Bohemians are hard to beat at home and hold a strong recent record against this opponent.
- Bohemians are unbeaten at home in the league (2W 2D) with 1 goal conceded in 4
- Bohemians have avoided defeat in the last 5 meetings with Mlada Boleslav
- Mlada Boleslav's league away record is 1W 2D 2L with 11 goals conceded
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonBohemians 1905Estimated chance36%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.40
The read
Neither side has shown enough first-half control to make an early lead likely.
- Bohemians score 0.82 and concede 0.73 first-half goals per game
- Boleslav score 1.27 and concede 0.55 first-half goals per game
- Neither side has dominated first halves consistently
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance48%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
With limited second-half scoring, the half often finishes level.
- Bohemians average 0.82 second-half goals, Boleslav 0.91
- Bohemians concede 0.45 and Boleslav 0.71 after the break
- Second-half goal totals are usually low
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance39%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Bohemians are hard to beat at home and hold a strong recent record against this opponent. Boleslav are the higher-ranked side with the better attack but have struggled on the road.
- Bohemians are unbeaten at home in the league (2W 2D) with 1 goal conceded in 4
- Bohemians have avoided defeat in the last 5 meetings with Mlada Boleslav
- Mlada Boleslav are 4th with 17 points from 9 games
- They average 2.18 goals per competitive match
BetBugs · Double ChancewonBohemians 1905 or Mlada BoleslavEstimated chance70%

Goals6 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.30
The read
Bohemians' home defence has kept games low-scoring, which supports fewer than three goals.
- Bohemians have conceded only 1 goal in 4 home league games
- Bohemians' 11 competitive matches average 2.82 total goals
- Boleslav failed to score in 2 of 5 away league games
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance53%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.30
The read
Bohemians' home defence has been tight and Boleslav have been shut out away before.
- Bohemians kept 3 clean sheets in 4 home league games
- Bohemians' opponents scored in only 1 home game
- Boleslav were blanked in 2 of 5 away league games
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance53%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Bohemians have rarely scored more than once at home this season.
- Bohemians average 1 goal per home league game
- They have scored 4 goals across 4 home league games
- Mlada Boleslav concede 2.2 goals per away league game
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonBohemians 1905 under 1.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Boleslav's scoring rate makes it likely Bohemians concede at some point.
- Boleslav scored in 5 of 7 away matches tracked
- Boleslav average 2 goals per away game across competitions
- Bohemians conceded once in 4 home league games
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostMlada Boleslav to scoreEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22
The read
Both teams score first-half goals often enough to make a goal likely.
- Bohemians score 0.82 and Boleslav 1.27 first-half goals per game
- Boleslav have scored before half-time in several recent games
- Bohemians' home first halves average 0.75 goals
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25
The read
It is rare for both teams to score before the break in these sides' matches.
- Bohemians' home first halves average 0.75 goals
- Boleslav's away first halves average 1.14 goals scored and 0.86 conceded
- Few recent games saw both score before half-time
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Low second-half scoring rates favour fewer than two goals after the break.
- Bohemians concede 0 second-half goals at home
- Boleslav concede 0.71 and Bohemians 0.45 after the break
- Both sides' second-half scoring is below one goal per game
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonUnder 1.5Estimated chance60%

Match stats1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.53
The read
Both teams' matches have produced enough corners to reach double figures.
- Bohemians home games average 10 corners
- Boleslav away games average 13.2 corners
- Both teams' tracked matches average around 10.6 corners
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Combined shot volumes point to a busy game above the line.
- Bohemians home games average 26 total shots
- Boleslav away games average 30.6 total shots
- Both teams' tracked matches average around 28 shots
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderlostOver 26.5Estimated chance54%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Card counts sit just above the line and a competitive fixture can add more.
- Bohemians home games average 3.67 total cards
- Boleslav away games average 3.4 total cards
- Boleslav's opponents average 2.22 yellow cards per game
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 3.5Estimated chance52%