Czech LigaFull time

Predictions graded

Bohemians 19050Hradec Kralove0

HT 0–0Sun 2 Aug 2026, 15:30 Predictions graded

Predictions7–370%

Edges4–0100%

PossPossession 48%–52%ShotsShots 15–9On targetOn target 4–3CornersCorners 9–6

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 29 Jul 2026, 18:04 · Europe/Bucharest

Hradec Kralove's 70.5-hour turnaround from a Europa League tie makes second-half fatigue a key factor, while Bohemians seek a home response.

The strongest betting edge is under 2.5 goals (+7.6 points), supported by H2H trends and both teams' low-scoring patterns. First-half under 1.5 goals (+3.6 points) and a first-half draw (+5 points) also offer value in a likely cautious match.

Context

Hradec's Europa League match kicks off at 19:00 on July 30, only 70.5 hours before this league fixture.
- Player Tomáš Wiesner admitted the previous Thursday-Sunday sequence, travel, artificial turf, and heat caused them to fade late.
- Rotation and second-half fatigue are material risks for Hradec.
Bohemians lost 3-1 at Teplice on July 25, conceding a third goal shortly after pulling one back.
- Almási said the team improved by delivering more crosses and wants to respond at home.
- This is Bohemians' first home league match of the season, adding extra incentive.
Hradec won 2-0 (April 2026), 2-1 (November 2025), and 2-0 (May 2025) – all at home or neutral venues.
- Bohemians won the last H2H at Ďolíček 1-0 in May 2025.
- Hradec have not won away at Bohemians since 2022.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Hradec's H2H dominance is offset by a tight turnaround from a high-stakes European match, while Bohemians have a home response narrative; a draw is the most balanced outcome given these conflicting signals.
- Hradec Kralove have won the last 3 H2H meetings, but all were at home or neutral; Bohemians won the last meeting at Ďolíček 1-0 in May 2025.
- Bohemians 1905 home form last season: 5W-5D-5L, with 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home game.
- Hradec Kralove away form last season: 4W-5D-6L, with 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per away game.
- Hradec face a Europa League match only 70.5 hours before kickoff, with acknowledged fatigue issues in similar Thursday-Sunday cycles.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Bohemians' home advantage and Hradec's congested schedule make a home win or draw the most probable double chance, supported by Hradec's poor away form and historical struggles at Ďolíček.
- Hradec Kralove have not won away at Bohemians since 2022; the last 3 away H2H matches: 1-0 Bohemians win, 2-2 draw, 1-0 Bohemians win.
- Bohemians lost their opener but created 15 shots and 3 on target, showing attacking intent.
- Hradec's away record last season: only 4 wins in 15 away games, with a -0.2 goal difference per away match.
- Hradec's Europa League fixture 70.5 hours prior increases the likelihood of rotation and second-half fatigue.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonBohemians 1905 or DrawEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Hradec's strong first-half record is tempered by travel fatigue, while Bohemians rarely lead at the break; a stalemate at half-time is the most balanced outcome.
- Bohemians led at half-time in only 13% of last 15 matches; Hradec led in 53%.
- Hradec's away first-half record last season: led in 27% of matches, drew in 53%.
- Last 5 H2H first-half results: 0-0, 0-1, 0-1, 0-0, 1-1 — 3 draws, 2 away leads.
- Hradec's fatigue may blunt their usual first-half aggression.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Hradec's expected second-half fatigue from a short turnaround gives Bohemians a conditional edge to win the second half, though the low confidence reflects Hradec's overall quality.
- Hradec acknowledged fading late in their previous Thursday-Sunday cycle due to travel and heat.
- Bohemians scored 2 second-half goals in their opener after trailing 0-1 at half-time.
- Hradec's away second-half goal difference last season: -0.2 per match.
- Bohemians' home second-half record last season: +0.1 goal difference per match.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostBohemians 1905Estimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at both half-time and full-time aligns with the expected cautious tempo and Hradec's fatigue, though the specific double result carries inherent uncertainty.
- Bohemians drew 20% of home matches last season; Hradec drew 33% of away matches.
- Hradec's away matches last season: 33% were draws, with 0-0 and 1-1 the most common scorelines.
- The last H2H at Ďolíček ended 1-0, but prior meetings include a 2-2 draw.
- Fatigue and response narratives suggest a cautious, low-event match.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonDraw / DrawEstimated chance25%

Goals3 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Historical H2H trends and both teams' league-wide under tendencies, combined with Hradec's potential fatigue, point to a low-scoring affair.
- Last 5 H2H meetings: 2-0, 2-1, 2-0, 1-0, 2-2 — only one match exceeded 2.5 goals.
- Bohemians averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over last 15 matches; Hradec averaged 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Bohemians' home matches last season: 60% under 2.5 goals; Hradec's away matches: 67% under 2.5 goals.
- Hradec's Europa League fatigue may reduce their attacking output, while Bohemians' response narrative focuses on crosses but not necessarily high scoring.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Hradec's defensive solidity in H2H and Bohemians' recent scoring struggles, coupled with Hradec's potential fatigue limiting their attack, make a clean sheet for at least one side likely.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, both teams scored only once (2-2 draw).
- Hradec kept clean sheets in 2 of the last 3 H2H matches.
- Bohemians failed to score in 3 of their last 5 competitive matches (including friendlies).
- Hradec's away matches last season: both teams scored in only 40% of games.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low first-half scoring rates, and Hradec's tight schedule encourages a conservative opening, making under 1.5 first-half goals highly probable.
- Bohemians averaged 0.4 first-half goals scored and 0.7 conceded over last 15 matches.
- Hradec averaged 0.9 first-half goals scored and 0.4 conceded over last 15 matches.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, first-half goals: 0, 1, 1, 0, 1 — all under 1.5.
- Hradec's Europa League match 70.5 hours prior may lead to a cautious start to conserve energy.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance75%

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Hradec's extremely low corner count and historical H2H trends suggest a low total corner count, despite Bohemians' moderate corner numbers.
- Bohemians averaged 5.7 corners per match over last 15; Hradec averaged only 2.7.
- Hradec's away matches last season: averaged 3.1 corners for and 5.8 against, total 8.9.
- Last 5 H2H meetings: total corners were 4, 6, 4, 10, 8 — only one exceeded 9.5.
- Bohemians' home matches last season averaged 9.8 total corners, but Hradec's low corner rate drags the total down.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostUnder 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate disciplinary records, and H2H history shows low card counts, making under 4.5 cards a reasonable expectation.
- Bohemians averaged 1.7 yellow cards and 0.7 red cards over last 15 matches; Hradec averaged 1.4 yellows and 0 reds.
- Last 5 H2H meetings: total cards (yellows+reds) were 3, 4, 2, 5, 4 — only one exceeded 4.5.
- Hradec's away matches last season averaged 3.8 total cards; Bohemians' home matches averaged 4.1.
- No major rivalry or disciplinary issues flagged in intelligence.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostUnder 4.5Estimated chance60%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 29% vs our 35% estimate; edge is only +6pts but confidence is MEDIUM, and the market is efficient on 1X2 outcomes.

Head-to-Head

1W · 1D · 3W

L2-0Hradec KrálovévBohemians 1905Apr 5, 2026CZE

L1-2Bohemians 1905vHradec KrálovéNov 2, 2025CZE

L2-0Hradec KrálovévBohemians 1905May 25, 2025CZE

W1-0Bohemians 1905vHradec KrálovéMay 18, 2025CZE

D2-2Hradec KrálovévBohemians 1905Feb 16, 2025CZE

Hradec Kralove: 2 clean sheets2.4 goals/game avg

League Table

Czech Liga 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
14	Bohemians 1905 Relegation Play-offs	1	0	0	1	1-3	0	L
7	Hradec Kralove Play Offs	1	1	0	0	2-1	3	W

3pt gap between teamsHradec Kralove leads the leagueBohemians 1905 in relegation zone

Recent Form

Bohemians 1905

L1-3TepliceJul 25CZE

W2-0Zaglebie LubinJul 17FRI

L0-2Wisla PlockJul 14FRI

L0-4Lech PoznanJul 11FRI

W4-2TáborskoJul 4FRI

L1-3Sigma OlomoucMay 2CZE

W2-0Sparta PrahaApr 25CZE

W2-0Baník OstravaApr 18CZE

W2-1ZlinApr 11CZE

L0-2Hradec KrálovéApr 5CZE

D1-1FK JablonecMar 27FRI

L0-2PlzenMar 15CZE

D0-0Slovan LiberecMar 7CZE

L0-1Sigma OlomoucMar 1CZE

W1-0Dukla PrahaFeb 22CZE

Hradec Kralove

W2-1PardubiceJul 26CZE

W1-0TromsoJul 23UEF

D3-3Metalist 1925 KharkivJul 16FRI

D1-1Wolfsberger ACJul 13FRI

W3-0FC NordsjaellandJul 10FRI

W2-1Sparta Praha IIJul 4FRI

L1-2Sparta PrahaMay 24CZE

W3-1Slavia PrahaMay 17CZE

W1-0Slovan LiberecMay 13CZE

D1-1FK JablonecMay 10CZE

L1-3PlzenMay 3CZE

W1-0TepliceApr 25CZE

W2-1Slavia PrahaApr 19CZE

W3-1SlováckoApr 11CZE

W2-0Bohemians 1905Apr 5CZE

Squad & Injuries

Bohemians 1905

25 available

Attackers6

Midfielders5

Defenders11

Goalkeeper3

Hradec Kralove

27 available

Attackers6

Midfielders11

Defenders7

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Under 1.5

Under 2.5

Bohemians 1905 or Draw

Result4 of 5 landed

Goals3 of 3 landed

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Under 9.5

Under 4.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Bohemians 1905

Hradec Kralove

Squad & Injuries

Bohemians 1905

Hradec Kralove