Vastra Frolunda IF0Torslanda IK1

HT 0–0Sun 11 Oct 2026, 11:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–940%

Edges1–233%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 9 Oct 2026, 16:50 · Europe/Bucharest

Frölunda's home strength — seven wins, four draws and one defeat in 12 league home games — meets a Torslanda side with two away wins all season, though June's meeting finished 1-1.

Frölunda to win looks the likely outcome, and the price at 1.95 is worth backing; 4.2 for a goalless first half also offers something, while over 2.5 goals at 1.33 asks more than the record supports.

Context

That 1-1 draw is the most recent meeting, and Torslanda held Frölunda there even though the four earlier meetings in the series all went Frölunda's way. The goalless first half also gives precedent for a cautious opening in this fixture. Frölunda's stronger home record still makes them the favourite, but the result is unlikely to be settled early.
- Head-to-head, 18 June 2026: Torslanda 1-1 Västra Frölunda in Division 2 - Västra Götaland
- Half-time score in that match: 0-0
That is the main reason the home side is favoured: only one visiting team has won a league game at Frölunda this season. The contrast with Torslanda's away returns is sharp, since Torslanda have won twice in 12 league games on the road. The draw column is the counterpoint — four home draws for Frölunda and five away draws for Torslanda.
- Standings fetched 9 October 2026: Västra Frölunda 6th on 37 points after 24 league games (10W-7D-7L, 45 scored, 39 conceded)
- 2026 league home record: 12 games, 7W-4D-1L, 30 goals scored, 15 conceded
The scoreline comes from a cup tie in 2022 and says little about these current squads, but it shows how lopsided the series has been. The most recent meeting in June 2026 was a 1-1 draw, and the 2022 league games finished 4-2 and 2-1. Treat the 6-0 as history rather than a guide to how Sunday will go.
- Svenska Cupen, 2 July 2022: Västra Frölunda 6-0 Torslanda
- It is the widest margin among the five head-to-head meetings supplied, which run from 2021 to June 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 1

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 2.5

1.33fair 1.52

BetBugs 66% · Market 75.2%

−9.2ppshort

Both teams' matches have produced goals at a high combined rate, with Torslanda's away games especially open at both ends.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 5 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.95
The read
Frölunda have been strong at home all season while Torslanda have won only twice on the road, so the home side carries the clear advantage.
- Västra Frölunda league home record: 7W-4D-1L, 30 goals scored, 15 conceded in 12
- Torslanda league away record: 2W-5D-5L, 20 scored, 22 conceded in 12
- Västra Frölunda sit 6th on 37 points; Torslanda 10th on 28
- Head-to-head: Frölunda won four of the last five meetings, including 6-0 and 4-2
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostVastra Frolunda IFEstimated chance54%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
First halves in this division are often tight, and neither side's first-half scoring rate is high enough to separate them easily.
- Västra Frölunda first-half goals against average 0.75 at home
- Torslanda first-half goals for average 0.857 away
- Frölunda's 1-1 draw at Astrio was level at half-time and full-time
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance39%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Frölunda's second halves at home have been their strongest phase, scoring heavily while conceding little.
- Västra Frölunda average 1.375 second-half goals at home and concede 0.625
- Torslanda average 1.0 second-half goals away and concede 0.857
- Frölunda beat Onsala 2-0 after half-time in a recent home win
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostVastra Frolunda IFEstimated chance43%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Frölunda have been strong at home all season while Torslanda have won only twice on the road, so the home side carries the clear advantage. Both sides' records carry a large share of stalemates and the June meeting finished level, making a draw a realistic outcome.
- Västra Frölunda league home record: 7W-4D-1L, 30 goals scored, 15 conceded in 12
- Torslanda league away record: 2W-5D-5L, 20 scored, 22 conceded in 12
- Head-to-head on 18 June 2026 finished 1-1 at Torslanda
- Torslanda have drawn 5 of 12 league away matches; Frölunda have drawn 4 of 12 at home
BetBugs · Double ChancelostVastra Frolunda IF or DrawEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Frölunda's home first halves have been solid at both ends while Torslanda concede more than they score before the break. First halves in this division are often tight, and neither side's first-half scoring rate is high enough to separate them easily.
- Västra Frölunda average 1.0 first-half goal at home and concede 0.75
- Torslanda average 0.857 first-half goals away and concede 1.286
- Västra Frölunda first-half goals against average 0.75 at home
- Torslanda first-half goals for average 0.857 away
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonVastra Frolunda IF or DrawEstimated chance77%

Goals4 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.33
The read
Both teams' matches have produced goals at a high combined rate, with Torslanda's away games especially open at both ends.
- Västra Frölunda tracked matches average 1.6 scored and 1.867 conceded (3.47 combined)
- Torslanda tracked matches average 1.733 scored and 1.867 conceded (3.6 combined)
- Torslanda away matches average 1.857 scored and 2.143 conceded
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance66%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Torslanda find the net regularly on their travels and Frölunda have conceded in most home games, so both scoring is likely.
- Torslanda saw both teams score in 6 of 7 tracked away matches
- Torslanda both teams scored in 12 of 15 tracked matches overall
- Västra Frölunda both teams scored in 9 of 15 tracked matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance63%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Frölunda score heavily at home and Torslanda concede regularly on the road, so two or more home goals is the favoured side.
- Västra Frölunda average 2.375 goals in 8 tracked home matches
- Västra Frölunda scored 30 goals in 12 league home games
- Torslanda concede 2.143 goals per tracked away match
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostVastra Frolunda IF over 1.5Estimated chance61%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Torslanda have often been limited to a single goal, so being held under two is the slightly more likely side.
- Torslanda scored 1 goal or fewer in 4 of their 6 most recent matches
- Västra Frölunda kept 3 clean sheets in 8 tracked home matches
- Torslanda away average is 1.857 goals per match
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonTorslanda IK under 1.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Torslanda have found the net in nearly every away match, so Frölunda are unlikely to keep a clean sheet.
- Torslanda scored in 6 of 7 tracked away matches
- Torslanda both teams scored in 12 of 15 tracked matches
- Västra Frölunda conceded in 5 of 8 tracked home matches
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonTorslanda IK to scoreEstimated chance77%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Frölunda score consistently at home and Torslanda rarely shut opponents out on the road.
- Västra Frölunda scored 30 goals in 12 league home games
- Västra Frölunda failed to score in only 3 of 15 tracked matches
- Torslanda kept 1 clean sheet in 7 tracked away matches
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostVastra Frolunda IF to scoreEstimated chance83%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Torslanda almost always score away from home, so a Frölunda win without conceding is unlikely.
- Torslanda scored in 6 of 7 tracked away matches
- Västra Frölunda conceded in 5 of 8 tracked home matches
- Torslanda average 1.857 goals per tracked away match
BetBugs · Home Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' first halves usually produce at least one goal given the combined rates before the break.
- Västra Frölunda home first halves combine for 1.75 goals on average
- Torslanda away first halves combine for 2.14 goals on average
- Torslanda's most recent match had two first-half goals
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
With both teams averaging under one first-half goal, at least one side is likely to be kept quiet before the break.
- Västra Frölunda first-half goals against average 0.75 at home
- Torslanda first-half goals for average 0.857 away
- Neither side averaged above one first-half goal per match
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance79%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams produce goals after the break at a rate that makes two or more second-half goals the favoured side.
- Västra Frölunda home second halves combine for 2.0 goals on average
- Torslanda away second halves combine for 1.857 goals on average
- Torslanda's most recent match had no second-half goals
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance60%