Thun0Grasshopper Zurich1

HT 0–1Sat 12 Sept 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions3–730%

Edges1–517%

PossPossession 61%–39%ShotsShots 20–17On targetOn target 0–5CornersCorners 10–5

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 8 Sep 2026, 23:44 · Europe/Bucharest

Back Over 3.5 goals at 2.10 and Double Chance Draw or Grasshopper Zurich at 2.05 for clear value.

Avoid Both Teams to Score Yes and Thun as match winner, as the market overprices those outcomes relative to the data.

Context

Thun sit 7th in the Super League with 7 points from 6 matches, placing them in the relegation play-off zone.
Their home record is poor: two matches, one draw and one loss, with no goals scored and six conceded. This suggests they struggle to create chances at home, which could make it difficult for them to break down Grasshopper's defence. However, the sample is small, so this pattern may not continue.
- Thun's home record this season: 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in 2 matches, with 0 goals scored and 6 conceded.
- On 2026-09-02, Thun drew 0-0 at home against Lausanne.
- On 2026-08-01, Thun lost 0-6 at home against BSC Young Boys.
Grasshopper are 11th in the Super League with 5 points from 6 matches, also in the relegation play-off zone.
Their away form is a clear weakness: three losses in three away matches, with four goals scored and eight conceded. This suggests they are vulnerable on the road, which could give Thun an opportunity to secure their first home win. However, Thun's own home struggles may limit that advantage.
- Grasshopper's away record this season: 0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses in 3 matches, with 4 goals scored and 8 conceded.
- On 2026-08-30, Grasshopper lost 2-5 away against FC Vaduz.
- On 2026-08-08, Grasshopper lost 1-2 away against Servette FC.
The two teams have met five times since 2024, with Thun winning twice, Grasshopper winning twice, and one draw.
Thun's 5-1 home win in March shows they can dominate Grasshopper in this fixture. However, that result is from last season, and both teams have changed since then, so it may not directly predict this match.
- On 2026-03-14, Thun beat Grasshopper 5-1 at home in the Super League.
- On 2026-01-18, Grasshopper beat Thun 3-1 at home.
- On 2025-08-30, the teams drew 1-1.
Grasshopper Zurich midfielder T. Meyer is reported to have suffered a thigh muscle tear against Vaduz.
Peter Zeidler said Meyer would be out for four to six weeks, and the club confirmed he was unavailable against St. Gallen. Óscar Clemente started in the same position in two of the four recent fixtures with available lineups when Meyer did not start, so Grasshopper have a direct replacement option for the Thun trip.
- Blick reported that Peter Zeidler said Meyer suffered a thigh muscle tear against Vaduz and would be out for four to six weeks.
- Grasshopper’s official 1 September preview confirmed that Zeidler had to do without Meyer against St. Gallen.
- Óscar Clemente started in the same position in 2 of the 4 recent team fixtures with available lineups when T. Meyer did not start.
ReportedSources checked 8 Sep 2026, 23:43 · Europe/BucharestBlickwww.blick.ch · 1 Sep 2026Grasshopper Club Zürichwww.gcz.ch · 1 Sep 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Grasshopper's slight H2H edge and Thun's home struggles give the away side a marginal advantage.
- Grasshopper won 2 of the last 5 H2H meetings, including a 2-0 away win in the 2024 Schweizer Cup.
- Thun have not won at home this season (0W, 1D, 1L) and have scored 0 goals in 2 home matches.
- Grasshopper's away form is poor (0W, 1D, 2L) but they have scored in 2 of 3 away matches.
- Thun's overall form is LDWLL, while Grasshopper's is DWLLL.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonGrasshopper ZurichEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Thun's poor home record and Grasshopper's H2H dominance make a Thun win unlikely.
- Thun have not won at home this season (0W, 1D, 1L).
- Grasshopper have avoided defeat in 2 of their last 5 away matches (1D, 1W).
- H2H last 5: Thun 1 win, Grasshopper 3 wins, 1 draw.
- Thun's home form in last 15: 1W, 2D, 2L (including friendlies).
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Grasshopper ZurichEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have similar first-half records, making a draw at halftime a reasonable outcome.
- Thun led at halftime in 40% of matches and trailed in 20%.
- Grasshopper led at halftime in 40% of matches and trailed in 27%.
- H2H last 5: halftime results unknown, but overall draws are common.
- Thun's last 5 first-half results: D,D,W,W,L; Grasshopper's: D,W,D,W,D.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at halftime and fulltime is a low-probability but plausible outcome given both teams' inconsistency.
- Thun drew 2 of their last 5 matches overall.
- Grasshopper drew 2 of their last 5 matches overall.
- H2H last 5 includes 1 draw.
- Both teams have shown inconsistency, but a draw is possible given their similar form.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/DrawEstimated chance18%

Goals0 of 4 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high-scoring recent form and leaky defenses, making over 2.5 goals likely.
- Thun's last 15 matches average 2.2 goals for and 2.3 goals against, totaling 4.5 goals per game.
- Grasshopper's last 15 matches average 2.0 goals for and 1.9 goals against, totaling 3.9 goals per game.
- Thun's last 5 matches include 3-2, 0-0, 4-3, 2-2, and 0-7 scorelines, with 4 of 5 exceeding 2.5 goals.
- Grasshopper's last 5 matches include 2-2, 2-0, 2-5, 5-0, and 1-2, with 3 of 5 exceeding 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown consistent scoring and conceding patterns, suggesting both will find the net.
- Thun scored in 4 of their last 5 matches and conceded in 4 of their last 5.
- Grasshopper scored in 4 of their last 5 matches and conceded in 4 of their last 5.
- Thun's home record this season: 0 goals scored and 6 conceded in 2 matches, but overall they average 2.2 goals per game.
- Grasshopper's away record this season: 4 goals scored and 8 conceded in 3 matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score and concede in the first half, pushing the first-half total over 1.5.
- Thun average 1.3 first-half goals scored and 1.1 first-half goals conceded in last 15 matches.
- Grasshopper average 0.9 first-half goals scored and 0.7 first-half goals conceded in last 15 matches.
- Combined first-half goal average is 2.0 per match.
- Thun's last 5 matches: first-half goals totals 2,0,1,3,5 (average 2.2).
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
High-scoring patterns in the second half for both teams make over 1.5 second-half goals likely.
- Thun's last 5 matches had second-half goals totals of 3,0,6,1,2 (average 2.4).
- Grasshopper's last 5 matches had second-half goals totals of 4,1,3,2,1 (average 2.2).
- Both teams average over 1.5 total goals in the second half across recent matches.
- Thun's overall goals per match average is 4.5, with many goals coming after halftime.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance60%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate and concede a high number of corners, pushing the total over 9.5.
- Thun average 5.0 corners per match and concede 5.5 opponent corners per match in recent games.
- Grasshopper average 5.7 corners per match and concede 5.9 opponent corners per match in recent games.
- Combined average corners per match is approximately 10.7.
- Thun's last 5 matches with corner data: 4,6,1,6,3 (average 4.0) and opponent corners 11,2,6,3,5 (average 5.4).
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high foul and card counts, making over 4.5 total cards plausible.
- Thun average 2.1 yellow cards per match and 16 fouls per match.
- Grasshopper average 2.9 yellow cards per match and 14.1 fouls per match.
- Combined average yellow cards per match is 5.0.
- Thun's last 5 matches: yellow cards 2,3,2,2,2 (average 2.2); Grasshopper's last 5: 2,1,1,5,2 (average 2.2).
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance52%