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Predictions graded

Grasshopper Zurich2Zurich2

HT 0–0Sat 5 Sept 2026, 18:30 Predictions graded

Predictions8–562%

Edges4–180%

PossPossession 43%–57%ShotsShots 20–11On targetOn target 7–6CornersCorners 8–4

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 31 Aug 2026, 19:31 · Europe/Bucharest

Back Zurich to win at 2.63 (7-point edge) and Over 1.5 second-half goals at 2.15 (9-point edge).

Avoid Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams to Score, which are priced below model estimates. Card markets are unavailable for validation.

Context

Grasshopper Zurich are bottom of the Super League with one point from four matches, having lost three and drawn one. They have conceded 12 goals and scored five.
Their only point came from a 1-1 draw at Lausanne on 25 July, and they have since lost to Lugano, Servette, and Vaduz. A home derby against Zurich offers a chance to close a five-point gap to the relegation line, but their recent defensive record suggests they will need a much stronger performance to take it.
- Grasshopper Zurich are 12th with 1 point from 4 matches (0W, 1D, 3L).
- They have conceded 12 goals, the joint-most in the league.
- Their last league result was a 5-2 defeat at FC Vaduz on 30 August.
Zurich are seventh in the Super League with six points from five matches, two wins and three losses. They are level on points with the relegation play-off place.
Their away form is poor: one win and two losses, with nine goals conceded in three away games. A derby win at Grasshopper Zurich would move them clear of immediate danger, but another away defeat would leave them vulnerable to the teams below them.
- Zurich are 7th with 6 points from 5 matches (2W, 0D, 3L).
- They have the same points as 8th-placed Lausanne, who occupy the relegation play-off spot.
- Zurich have lost two of three away league matches, conceding nine goals.
The last five Super League meetings between these teams have all been won by the home side.
Zurich won the most recent derby 2-1 at home on 9 May 2026, while Grasshopper Zurich won 3-0 at home in October 2025. That pattern suggests the home team has a clear edge in this rivalry, but Grasshopper Zurich's current poor form may weaken that advantage.
- Zurich beat Grasshopper Zurich 2-1 at home on 9 May 2026.
- Grasshopper Zurich won 3-0 at home on 4 October 2025.
- All five most recent derbies were won by the home team.
Grasshopper Zurich midfielder T. Meyer left the last league match after 15 minutes following a collision, with Óscar Clemente replacing him.
His derby availability remains unresolved because the club has not provided a diagnosis. If Meyer is unavailable, Grasshoppers lose a midfield option and may need to adjust their starting selection, but no concrete replacement plan is established.
- Grasshoppers reported that Meyer came off injured after a collision in the 15th minute against Vaduz, with Óscar Clemente replacing him.
To watchSources checked 31 Aug 2026, 19:30 · Europe/BucharestGrasshopper Club Zürich match reportwww.gcz.ch · 30 Aug 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Zurich's better league position and recent H2H win give them a slight edge, though Grasshopper's home derby motivation keeps it close.
- Zurich won the most recent H2H meeting 2-1 at home on 2026-05-09.
- Grasshopper Zurich have lost 3 of their last 4 league matches and sit bottom with 1 point.
- Zurich have 6 points from 5 matches, 5 points clear of Grasshopper Zurich.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostZurichEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Grasshopper's poor form makes a home win unlikely, so backing Zurich or draw covers the most probable outcomes.
- Grasshopper Zurich have not won any of their last 4 league matches (0W 1D 3L).
- Zurich have won 2 of their last 5 league matches.
- H2H last 5: Zurich won 2, Grasshopper won 3, no draws.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or ZurichEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams often go into the break level, making a first-half draw a reasonable outcome.
- Grasshopper Zurich led at half-time in 40% of recent matches, trailed in 33%.
- Zurich led at half-time in 33% of recent matches, trailed in 47%.
- H2H last meeting was level at half-time.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Zurich's stronger second-half scoring and Grasshopper's defensive lapses suggest Zurich could edge the second period.
- Zurich have scored more second-half goals than Grasshopper in recent matches.
- Grasshopper have conceded 1.3 second-half goals per match on average.
- Zurich's away form shows they can score late, with 4 goals in 3 away matches.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostZurichEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half-time followed by a Zurich win is a plausible sequence given recent patterns.
- Grasshopper have drawn at half-time in 40% of recent matches.
- Zurich have won 2 of their last 5 matches overall.
- H2H last meeting was level at half-time with Zurich winning full-time.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/ZurichEstimated chance25%

Goals3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have leaky defenses and decent scoring rates, making over 2.5 goals likely.
- Grasshopper Zurich average 1.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match in recent form.
- Zurich average 1.7 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match in recent form.
- Combined average total goals in their matches is 3.8.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides consistently find the net while also conceding, supporting both teams to score.
- Grasshopper Zurich have scored in 4 of their last 5 league matches.
- Zurich have scored in 4 of their last 5 league matches.
- Both teams conceded in 4 of their last 5 respective matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
First-half scoring rates are moderate, but derby intensity could push the total over 1.5.
- Grasshopper Zurich average 0.9 first-half goals scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Zurich average 0.6 first-half goals scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Combined first-half goal average is 1.5.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams concede more in the second half, increasing the likelihood of over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Grasshopper Zurich average 0.9 second-half goals scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Zurich average 1.1 second-half goals scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Combined second-half goal average is 2.4.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate and concede a high number of corners, making over 9.5 corners a coin-flip.
- Grasshopper Zurich average 4.7 corners per match and concede 5.3 opponent corners.
- Zurich average 4.6 corners per match and concede 5.4 opponent corners.
- Combined average corners in their matches is 10.0.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high card counts, and derby matches typically produce more bookings.
- Grasshopper Zurich average 2.9 yellow cards per match.
- Zurich average 2.5 yellow cards per match.
- Combined average yellow cards is 5.4, with derby intensity likely to increase cards.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 4.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Grasshopper's high card average and derby aggression make over 2.5 home cards plausible.
- Grasshopper Zurich average 2.9 yellow cards per match.
- Grasshopper received 5 yellow cards in their last home league match.
- Derby matches often see higher card counts for the home side.
BetBugs · Home Cards Over/UnderlostGrasshopper Zurich over 2.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Zurich's card average is near the line, and derby intensity could push them over 2.5 cards.
- Zurich average 2.5 yellow cards per match.
- Zurich received 3 yellow cards in their last away match.
- Away teams in derbies often accumulate cards due to defensive pressure.
BetBugs · Away Cards Over/UnderwonZurich over 2.5Estimated chance48%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 44% leaves no cushion vs our estimate of 35%; price already reflects the home side's poor form.

Head-to-Head

1W · 0D · 4W

L2-1FC ZurichvGrasshoppersMay 9, 2026SUP

W1-2GrasshoppersvFC ZurichFeb 21, 2026SUP

L1-0FC ZurichvGrasshoppersNov 29, 2025SUP

L3-0GrasshoppersvFC ZurichOct 4, 2025SUP

L3-0FC ZurichvGrasshoppersMay 10, 2025SUP

Zurich: 3 clean sheets2.6 goals/game avg

League Table

Super League 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
12	Grasshopper Zurich Relegation Play-offs	4	0	1	3	5-12	1	LLLD
7	Zurich Relegation Play-offs	5	2	0	3	7-12	6	WLLWL

5pt gap between teamsGrasshopper Zurich in relegation zoneZurich in relegation zone

Recent Form