Daegu11 – 2Suwon2

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Daegu's strong home form and H2H dominance give them a slight edge, but Suwon's promotion pressure and Daegu's managerial instability introduce enough uncertainty to keep confidence low.

• Daegu home record: 6W-1D-2L, 19 GF, 12 GA; last 5 home: 4W-0D-1L.
• Suwon away record: 4W-2D-3L, 18 GF, 15 GA; last 5 away: 2W-1D-2L.
• H2H last 5: Daegu unbeaten (3W-2D), including 2 home wins.

BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDaeguEstimated chance42%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Daegu's home resilience and historical edge over Suwon make it unlikely they lose, though Suwon's quality means a draw is a real possibility, supporting a Daegu or Draw double chance.

• Daegu home record: only 2 losses in 9 home matches.
• H2H last 5: Daegu unbeaten (3W-2D).
• Suwon away record: 3 losses in 9 away matches, but 2 of those losses came against top-6 sides.

BetBugs · Double ChancelostDaegu or DrawEstimated chance72%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Despite Suwon's higher first-half lead percentage, the H2H pattern strongly favors a level score at the break, and Daegu's home matches often start evenly.

• Daegu first half record: led at HT in 27% of matches, trailed in 27%, drawn in 46%.
• Suwon first half record: led at HT in 47% of matches, trailed in 40%, drawn in 13%.
• H2H last 5: half-time results: 0-0, 0-0, 1-1, 0-0, 1-0 (4 of 5 were draws at HT).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Daegu's strong first-half home record and H2H history of not trailing Suwon at the break make a Daegu or Draw double chance in the first half a solid proposition.

• Daegu home first half: trailed in only 2 of 9 home matches.
• Suwon away first half: led in 4 of 9 away matches, but trailed in 4 as well.
• H2H last 5: Daegu never trailed at HT (3 draws, 2 leads).

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostDaegu or DrawEstimated chance75%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

H2H psychology strongly favors Daegu suppressing Suwon's attack, and Daegu's home defensive solidity (4 clean sheets in last 5 home games) supports a low-scoring affair where Suwon may fail to score.

• H2H last 5: Suwon scored only 2 goals total, shut out in 3 of those 5 meetings.
• Daegu home record: 6W-1D-2L, 19 GF, 12 GA in 9 home matches; 4 of last 5 home games saw Daegu keep a clean sheet.
• Suwon away record: 4W-2D-3L, 18 GF, 15 GA in 9 away matches; but against top-6 away opponents they scored only 3 goals in 4 matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The H2H pattern of low-scoring tight contests combined with Daegu's home defensive record and Suwon's occasional struggles to score away against top sides points to another Under 2.5 match.

• H2H last 5: all 5 matches had Under 2.5 goals (0-0, 1-0, 1-1, 1-0, 2-1).
• Daegu home matches: 6 of 9 had Under 2.5 goals; last 5 home games: 4 had Under 2.5.
• Suwon away matches: 5 of 9 had Under 2.5 goals; last 5 away: 3 had Under 2.5.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to start cautiously, with low first-half scoring averages, and the H2H history shows a consistent pattern of few goals before the break.

• Daegu first half goals: average 0.6 per game; last 5 home: 3 first-half goals total (0.6 per game).
• Suwon first half goals: average 0.9 per game; last 5 away: 4 first-half goals total (0.8 per game).
• H2H last 5: first half goals: 0, 0, 1, 0, 1 (all Under 1.5).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Daegu's solid first-half defense at home and the historically cagey H2H first halves make it unlikely both teams find the net before the interval.

• Daegu first half goals conceded: 0.5 per game; last 5 home: 2 first-half goals conceded total.
• Suwon first half goals scored: 0.9 per game; last 5 away: 4 first-half goals scored total.
• H2H last 5: both teams scored in the first half in only 1 of 5 matches.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Daegu's recent home defensive form and H2H shutout history suggest a clean sheet is possible, but Suwon's overall scoring record (2.0 goals per game) makes it a risky call.

• Daegu home clean sheets: 4 in last 5 home matches.
• Suwon away failed to score: 2 in last 5 away matches.
• H2H last 5: Daegu kept 3 clean sheets against Suwon.

BetBugs · Team to ScorelostSuwon not to scoreEstimated chance40%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Daegu's consistent home scoring output and Suwon's vulnerability on the road, especially against top sides, point to Daegu netting at least twice.

• Daegu home goals: 19 in 9 matches (2.1 per game); last 5 home: 10 goals (2.0 per game).
• Suwon away goals conceded: 15 in 9 matches (1.67 per game); last 5 away: 8 conceded (1.6 per game).
• H2H last 5: Daegu scored 2+ goals in 3 of 5 meetings.

BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostDaegu over 1.5Estimated chance60%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Suwon's away scoring drops significantly against stronger opponents, and Daegu's home defense has been stingy, making it likely Suwon scores at most once.

• Suwon away goals: 18 in 9 matches (2.0 per game), but only 3 goals in 4 away matches against top-6 teams.
• Daegu home goals conceded: 12 in 9 matches (1.33 per game); last 5 home: 3 conceded (0.6 per game).
• H2H last 5: Suwon scored 0 or 1 goal in all 5 meetings.

BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostSuwon under 1.5Estimated chance65%