Over 1.5
Market 54.1% · BetBugs 55%
Second halves tend to produce more goals, but the edge is too small to recommend strongly.
ÚrvalsdeildFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
IA Akranes are a moderate home favourite, but the odds offer no value (45% model vs 51% implied).
Goals are likely but overpriced in the market; the only marginal edge is Over 1.5 second-half goals at 1.85 (+1pt). Avoid the heavily juiced Over 2.5, BTTS Yes, and first-half goal markets.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 54.1% · BetBugs 55%
Second halves tend to produce more goals, but the edge is too small to recommend strongly.
Other edges · 5
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
IA AkranesBetBugs 45% · Market 51.3%
IA Akranes' home record and FH's poor away form suggest a home edge, but the odds imply a higher probability than our estimate, leaving no value.
BetBugs 70% · Market 74.1%
IA Akranes are unlikely to lose at home, but the odds are too short relative to our 70% estimate, offering no value.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 51% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | IA AkranesPlay-offs | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 33-37 | 25 |
| 10 | FH HafnarfjordurRelegation Playoffs | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 24-36 | 17 |

