Sollentuna FK22 – 1FC Jarfalla1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both teams are in the relegation zone with poor form, and Sollentuna's high draw rate combined with Jarfalla's away draws suggests a stalemate is likely.

• Sollentuna FK have drawn 8 of 16 league matches this season, including 3 of 7 at home.
• FC Jarfalla have drawn 3 of 16 league matches, but 3 of 8 away.
• Last 5 H2H: only one meeting, a 1-0 away win for Sollentuna, but sample too small to be decisive.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

A draw at half-time and full-time is plausible given both teams' tendencies to draw, especially in a relegation six-pointer where neither wants to lose.

• Sollentuna FK have drawn 8 of 16 matches overall, and 3 of 7 at home.
• FC Jarfalla have drawn 3 of 16 matches, but 3 of 8 away.
• The only H2H meeting ended 1-0, but that was away for Sollentuna.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Sollentuna's home matches have been low-scoring (4 goals in 7 games), and Jarfalla's away defense is relatively solid, so under 2.5 goals is probable.

• Sollentuna FK average 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match overall, but at home they score 0.57 and concede 1.71 per match.
• FC Jarfalla average 1.4 goals scored and 2.3 conceded overall, but away they score 1.63 and concede 1.75 per match.
• Combined average total goals in matches involving these teams: Sollentuna 2.7, Jarfalla 3.7, but home/away splits suggest lower scoring.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Sollentuna's home attack is extremely weak, and while Jarfalla usually score away, the home side's inability to find the net makes both teams scoring less likely.

• Sollentuna FK have failed to score in 5 of their last 15 matches, including 3 of 7 home games.
• FC Jarfalla have failed to score in 4 of their last 15 matches, but away they have scored in 7 of 8.
• Sollentuna's home scoring average is 0.57 goals per game, the lowest in the league.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have moderate first-half scoring rates, and with relegation pressure, a cautious start is likely, keeping first-half goals under 1.5.

• Sollentuna FK average 0.5 first-half goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match.
• FC Jarfalla average 0.8 first-half goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match.
• Combined first-half average total goals: 1.6, but both teams tend to be cautious early.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

As the match progresses, both teams may open up, especially if a result is needed, leading to more second-half goals.

• Sollentuna FK average 0.6 second-half goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match.
• FC Jarfalla average 0.6 second-half goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match.
• Combined second-half average total goals: 1.6, but late-game fatigue and desperation could increase scoring.