Ettan - NorraFull time

Predictions graded

Sollentuna FK1AFC Eskilstuna4

HT 1–2Fri 26 Jun 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions10–377%

Edges5–271%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 25 Jun 2026, 00:24 · Europe/Bucharest

Back the draw at 3.60—Sollentuna’s league-high seven draws and winless home record align with AFC’s patchy away form and the absence of key attacker Robin Björkman.

For a secondary angle, AFC over 1.5 team goals at 2.10 offers value given their 2.33 away scoring average, but the hosts’ toothless attack makes the stalemate the standout bet.

Context

AFC's official 15 June 2026 update confirmed two cracked ribs and a punctured lung for Björkman.
- No exact return date was given, with hope only that he can be ready after the summer break.
- Björkman has been a regular in AFC's attack, and his absence reduces their scoring threat.
Sollentuna's home record: 0W-3D-3L, with 0.5 goals scored per game.
- They have kept only one clean sheet at home and conceded 1.33 goals per game.
- The last four home matches have produced two 0-2 losses and two draws.
AFC away matches: 4.5 goals per game on average.
- Both teams scored in 5 of 6 away matches.
- AFC have scored 2.33 goals per away game but conceded 2.17.
Last four H2H at Sollentuna: 3 home wins, 1 draw.
- The most recent meeting at this venue ended 4-3 to Sollentuna.
- AFC's own site referred to a previous away trip to Sollentuna as one they would rather forget.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams are in the lower half with similar points, and Sollentuna's high draw rate (54%) combined with their winless home record makes a stalemate the most likely outcome, especially given AFC's inconsistent away form.
- Sollentuna FK have drawn 7 of 13 league matches this season, including 3 of 6 at home.
- AFC Eskilstuna have drawn 4 of 13 league matches, with 2 draws in 6 away games.
- Last 5 H2H: 2 home wins for Sollentuna, 1 away win for Sollentuna, 1 draw, 1 home win for AFC Eskilstuna (when Sollentuna was away).
- Sollentuna FK home record: 0W-3D-3L, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per home game.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Sollentuna's resilience (only 4 losses in 13) and AFC's mediocre away record (2W-2D-2L) suggest the hosts are unlikely to lose, especially with the historical edge at this venue.
- Sollentuna FK have lost only 4 of 13 league matches, with 3 of those losses at home.
- AFC Eskilstuna have won only 2 of 6 away matches, with 2 draws and 2 losses.
- In the last 4 H2H meetings at Sollentuna, the home side has won 3 and drawn 1.
- Sollentuna FK have avoided defeat in 9 of 13 league matches overall.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostSollentuna FK or DrawEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Sollentuna's tendency to start slowly at home (only 1 halftime lead in 6) and AFC's balanced first-half record suggest a level score at the break is the most probable outcome.
- Sollentuna FK have been drawing at halftime in 3 of 6 home matches.
- AFC Eskilstuna have been drawing at halftime in 2 of 6 away matches.
- Sollentuna FK have led at halftime in only 13% of matches this season, trailing in 40%.
- AFC Eskilstuna have led at halftime in 33% of matches, trailing in 33%.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While a full-time draw is plausible given Sollentuna's draw-heavy profile, the specific HT/FT double of Draw/Draw is less common historically, but the hosts' pattern of low-scoring first halves and eventual stalemates supports a moderate chance.
- Sollentuna FK have drawn 3 of 6 home matches, with 2 of those draws being 0-0 at halftime.
- AFC Eskilstuna have drawn 2 of 6 away matches, with 1 draw at halftime.
- Sollentuna FK have drawn 7 of 13 matches overall, the highest draw rate in the league.
- Last 5 H2H: only 1 match was a draw at both halftime and fulltime.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / DrawEstimated chance25%

Goals10 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Despite Sollentuna's low-scoring home trend, AFC's away games are consistently high-scoring (4.5 goals per game), and H2H history shows a strong pattern of over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
- AFC Eskilstuna away matches average 4.5 total goals (27 goals in 6 games).
- Sollentuna FK home matches average 1.83 total goals, but 4 of 6 home games have seen under 2.5 goals.
- Last 5 H2H meetings: 4-3, 1-2, 2-1, 1-1, 4-3 – all but one had over 2.5 goals.
- AFC Eskilstuna have scored in 5 of 6 away games, conceding in 5 of 6.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
AFC's away matches are almost guaranteed to see goals at both ends (83% BTTS rate), and Sollentuna rarely keep clean sheets at home, making BTTS a strong probability despite the hosts' low scoring output.
- AFC Eskilstuna have both scored and conceded in 5 of 6 away matches this season.
- Sollentuna FK have scored in 4 of 6 home matches, conceding in 5 of 6.
- Last 5 H2H: both teams scored in 4 of 5 meetings.
- AFC Eskilstuna average 2.33 goals scored away, Sollentuna average 0.5 goals scored at home but have scored in 67% of home games.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a high frequency of first-half goals in their respective home/away splits, and H2H history supports early action, making over 0.5 first-half goals very likely.
- Sollentuna FK have seen first-half goals in 5 of 6 home matches (83%).
- AFC Eskilstuna have seen first-half goals in 5 of 6 away matches (83%).
- Last 5 H2H: first-half goals occurred in 4 of 5 meetings.
- Sollentuna average 0.5 first-half goals at home, conceding 0.67; AFC average 0.83 first-half goals away, conceding 1.0.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
AFC's away games tend to open up after the break, and Sollentuna's home matches often see increased second-half activity, making over 1.5 second-half goals a strong bet.
- AFC Eskilstuna away matches average 2.5 second-half goals (15 in 6 games).
- Sollentuna FK home matches average 1.0 second-half goals, but 4 of 6 home games have seen over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Last 5 H2H: second-half goals exceeded 1.5 in 4 of 5 meetings.
- AFC Eskilstuna have scored 67% of their away goals in the second half.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Sollentuna's defensive fragility at home (83% failure to keep a clean sheet) combined with AFC's consistent away scoring makes a home clean sheet highly unlikely.
- Sollentuna FK have kept only 1 clean sheet in 6 home matches (17%).
- AFC Eskilstuna have scored in 5 of 6 away matches (83%).
- Sollentuna FK concede an average of 1.33 goals per home game.
- Last 5 H2H: Sollentuna kept a clean sheet only once against AFC Eskilstuna.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonAFC Eskilstuna to scoreEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
AFC's leaky away defense (conceding in 83% of away games) and Sollentuna's ability to find the net at home suggest the visitors are unlikely to shut out the hosts.
- AFC Eskilstuna have kept only 1 clean sheet in 6 away matches (17%).
- Sollentuna FK have scored in 4 of 6 home matches (67%).
- AFC Eskilstuna concede an average of 2.17 goals per away game.
- Last 5 H2H: AFC Eskilstuna kept a clean sheet only once against Sollentuna.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonSollentuna FK to scoreEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Sollentuna's home scoring record is abysmal (0.5 goals per game), and they have never exceeded 1 goal at home, making under 1.5 home goals a safe prediction despite AFC's defensive woes.
- Sollentuna FK have scored only 3 goals in 6 home matches, averaging 0.5 per game.
- Sollentuna FK have failed to score more than 1 goal in any home league match this season.
- AFC Eskilstuna concede an average of 2.17 goals away, but Sollentuna's attack is the weakest at home in the league.
- Sollentuna FK have scored exactly 1 goal in 3 of 6 home matches, and 0 in the other 3.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonSollentuna FK under 1.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
AFC's away attack is potent (2.33 goals per game), and Sollentuna's defense has shown vulnerability, making it likely the visitors will score at least twice.
- AFC Eskilstuna have scored 14 goals in 6 away matches, averaging 2.33 per game.
- AFC Eskilstuna have scored at least 2 goals in 4 of 6 away matches.
- Sollentuna FK concede an average of 1.33 goals at home, but have conceded 2+ in 3 of 6 home games.
- Last 5 H2H: AFC Eskilstuna scored 2+ goals in 3 of 5 meetings.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonAFC Eskilstuna over 1.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Sollentuna's inability to win at home, combined with their poor defensive record and low scoring output, makes a win to nil virtually impossible.
- Sollentuna FK have not won any home match this season (0W-3D-3L).
- Sollentuna FK have kept only 1 clean sheet at home.
- AFC Eskilstuna have failed to score in only 1 of 6 away matches.
- Sollentuna FK have scored only 3 goals in 6 home games, making a win with a clean sheet extremely unlikely.
BetBugs · Home Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance90%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
AFC's away defensive record is poor, and Sollentuna typically find the net at home, so an away win without conceding is improbable.
- AFC Eskilstuna have kept only 1 clean sheet in 6 away matches.
- Sollentuna FK have scored in 4 of 6 home matches.
- AFC Eskilstuna have won only 2 of 6 away matches, with both wins seeing them concede.
- Last 5 H2H: AFC Eskilstuna have never won to nil against Sollentuna.
BetBugs · Away Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance75%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 5 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

1W · 1D · 2W

L4-3SollentunavAFC EskilstunaAug 25, 2025ETT

W1-2AFC EskilstunavSollentunaMay 3, 2025ETT

L2-1SollentunavAFC EskilstunaAug 24, 2024ETT

D1-1AFC EskilstunavSollentunaMay 19, 2024ETT

3.8 goals/game avg

League Table

Ettan - Norra 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
11	Sollentuna FK	13	2	7	4	11-15	13	LDDDD
9	AFC Eskilstuna	13	4	4	5	19-23	16	DWWWL

3pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Sollentuna FK

L0-2FBK KarlstadJun 18ETT

D3-3StocksundJun 13ETT

D1-1Umeå FCJun 7ETT

W5-0Viggbyholms IKJun 3SVE

D0-0IF KarlstadMay 30ETT

D2-2PiteåMay 24ETT

L0-1EnköpingMay 17ETT

L0-2Hammarby TalangMay 13ETT

D1-1ArlandaMay 9ETT

D1-1Stockholm InternazionaleMay 3ETT

D0-0Assyriska FFApr 25ETT

W2-1Gefle IFApr 18ETT

W1-0JärfällaApr 11ETT

L0-1KarlbergApr 4ETT

D2-2ArlandaMar 28FRI

AFC Eskilstuna

D2-2PiteåJun 21ETT

W1-0Assyriska FFJun 14ETT

W2-0KonyasporJun 9SVE

W3-2KarlbergJun 4ETT

W2-1Hammarby TalangMay 30ETT

L0-3VasalundMay 24ETT

D0-0ArlandaMay 18ETT

W2-0Stockholm InternazionaleMay 13ETT

L1-2EnköpingMay 8ETT

L0-2FBK KarlstadMay 2ETT

L0-2IF KarlstadApr 26ETT

D4-4StocksundApr 20ETT

L3-4Gefle IFApr 11ETT

D1-1JärfällaApr 4ETT

W3-2FrankeMar 21FRI

Squad & Injuries

Sollentuna FK

22 available

Attackers3

Midfielders9

Defenders8

Goalkeeper2

AFC Eskilstuna

24 available

Attackers5

Midfielders10

Defenders6

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Over 1.5

AFC Eskilstuna to score

No

Sollentuna FK or Draw

Yes

Over 0.5

Result0 of 3 landed

Goals10 of 10 landed

Markets to Avoid

Yes

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Sollentuna FK

AFC Eskilstuna

Squad & Injuries

Sollentuna FK

AFC Eskilstuna