Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard #145France00 – 2Arthur Fils #10France2

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Fils has been much stronger across hard-court games and return numbers, and he is the clear higher-ranked player.

• Fils is 11-4 in his last 15 hard matches.
• Fils wins 56.4% of hard-court games; Mpetshi Perricard wins 44.9%.
• Fils has a 38.7% return-points-won rate; Mpetshi Perricard 28.3%.
• Fils has a 58.3% second-serve-points-won rate on hard.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players' second sets have often gone beyond nine games on hard.

• Fils's second sets average 10.0 total games on hard.
• Mpetshi Perricard's second sets average 10.3 total games on hard.
• Both players have three second-set tiebreaks in their hard best-of-three samples.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Fils has been the stronger game-by-game player on hard courts, so a win by three or more games is more likely than not.

• Fils's hard-court game margin is +46 over 15 matches.
• Mpetshi Perricard's hard-court game margin is -22 over eight matches.
• Fils's last six hard matches produced a +5 game margin.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Mpetshi Perricard's serve can push the opening set past nine games.

• Mpetshi Perricard's first sets average 10.3 games on hard.
• Fils's first sets average 9.3 games on hard.
• Mpetshi Perricard has three first-set tiebreaks in seven hard best-of-three matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Fils has started hard-court matches much more strongly than Mpetshi Perricard.

• Fils won 10 of 14 first sets on hard.
• Mpetshi Perricard won 2 of 7 first sets on hard.
• Fils averages 5.4 games won in first sets; Mpetshi Perricard 4.4.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Fils has the stronger second-set record and should remain the favorite as the match progresses.

• Fils won 10 of 14 second sets on hard.
• Mpetshi Perricard won 4 of 7 second sets on hard.
• Fils averages 5.5 games won in second sets; Mpetshi Perricard 5.3.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Fils's straight-set wins and strong set records make a two-set match more likely.

• Fils has seven 2-0 wins in 14 hard best-of-three matches.
• Fils won 10 of 14 first sets and 10 of 14 second sets on hard.
• Mpetshi Perricard has one 2-0 win and two 0-2 losses in seven hard best-of-three matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Mpetshi Perricard's double-fault rate makes the over more likely than the under.

• Mpetshi Perricard averages 4.0 double faults per match on hard.
• Fils averages 2.4 double faults per match on hard.
• Their combined average is 6.4.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Their combined ace average is below the line, and Fils returns well enough to reduce Mpetshi Perricard's free points.

• Mpetshi Perricard averages 16.9 aces per match on hard.
• Fils averages 7.9 aces per match on hard.
• Their combined average is 24.8.
• Fils wins 38.7% of return points, which can limit Mpetshi Perricard's ace count.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Mpetshi Perricard's serve makes tiebreaks a real possibility, and both players have recent tiebreak matches.

• Mpetshi Perricard has three matches with a tiebreak in seven hard best-of-three matches.
• Fils has three matches with a tiebreak in 14 hard best-of-three matches.
• Mpetshi Perricard's most recent win included two tiebreak sets.