Arthur Fils #10France22 – 0Alex Michelsen #37United States0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.44

The read

Fils has the stronger serve and better hard-court best-of-three results, making him the more likely winner.

• Fils is 11-3 in 14 completed hard-court best-of-three matches; Michelsen is 5-5 in 10.
• Fils wins 56.8% of games and 53.5% of total points over 15 hard-court matches; Michelsen is at 54.8% and 51.9%.
• Fils wins 58.7% of second-serve points to Michelsen's 51.1% and averages 2.3 double faults to Michelsen's 4.3.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.80

The read

Fils's strong straight-set record makes a win by three or more games more likely than not.

• Fils has seven 2-0 wins in 14 completed hard-court best-of-three matches.
• Fils wins 56.8% of games; Michelsen wins 54.8%.
• Fils has 11 wins in 14 completed hard-court best-of-three matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Michelsen's longer second sets push the total slightly above the line.

• Fils's second sets average 9.29 total games; Michelsen's average 9.90.
• Michelsen is 7-3 in second sets with one tiebreak in 10.
• Fils is 9-5 in second sets with one tiebreak in 14.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.50

The read

Fils starts sets better and has the stronger overall serve, making him the clearer first-set favourite.

• Fils is 10-4 in first sets across 14 completed hard-court best-of-three matches; Michelsen is 5-5.
• Fils averages 5.64 first-set games won and 4.07 lost; Michelsen averages 4.80 won and 4.30 lost.
• Fils wins 73.5% of first-serve points; Michelsen wins 73.9%.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.50

The read

Fils's overall level and match position make him the more likely second-set winner, though the set-two records are close.

• Fils is 9-5 in second sets across 14 completed hard-court best-of-three matches; Michelsen is 7-3.
• Fils wins 56.8% of games overall; Michelsen wins 54.8%.
• Fils's hard-court best-of-three matches average 2.36 sets; Michelsen's average 2.40.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.55

The read

Straight-set matches make up the majority of both players' recent hard-court best-of-three samples.

• Fils has nine straight-set matches in 14 completed hard-court best-of-three matches; Michelsen has six in 10.
• Fils averages 2.36 sets per match; Michelsen averages 2.40.
• Fils has seven 2-0 wins in 14; Michelsen has four 2-0 wins in 10.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.20

The read

Fils's straight-set record and first-set strength make a 2-0 win his most likely exact score.

• Fils has seven 2-0 wins in 14 completed hard-court best-of-three matches.
• Michelsen has two 0-2 losses in 10 completed hard-court best-of-three matches.
• Fils is 10-4 in first sets and 9-5 in second sets on hard courts.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Michelsen's high double-fault rate makes the over slightly more likely.

• Michelsen averages 4.3 double faults per match; Fils averages 2.3, a combined 6.6.
• Michelsen wins 51.1% of second-serve points; Fils wins 58.7%.
• Michelsen's hard-court sample covers 15 matches; Fils's covers 15.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The combined ace average is just below the line, making the under slightly more likely.

• Fils averages 7.3 aces per match; Michelsen averages 6.0, a combined 13.3.
• Both players win more than 73% of first-serve points.
• Fils's hard-court sample covers 15 matches; Michelsen's covers 15.