Jennifer Ruggeri #235Italy11 – 2Elizara Yaneva #1492

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.55

The read

Yaneva has served better, returned better and won far more of her recent clay matches than Ruggeri.

• Yaneva is 12-3 on clay in her last 15; Ruggeri is 6-8 over her 14-match clay window
• On clay Yaneva wins 53.1% of total points against Ruggeri's 49.6%, and 66.2% of first-serve points against 60.9%
• Yaneva is ranked No. 149, Ruggeri No. 235
• Yaneva converts 53.2% of break points on clay against Ruggeri's 46.5%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Ruggeri is competitive on games even in losses, and her long matches tend to keep margins small.

• Ruggeri's clay defeats this window came by margins of four, three and six games
• Ruggeri is 49.4% on games won and 49.6% on points won on clay
• Ruggeri has gone to a decider in 12 of 14 clay matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.20

The read

Both players' matches run long, and a likely deciding set pushes the total past 22.5 games.

• Ruggeri's clay matches average 27.5 games
• Yaneva's clay matches average 23.9 games
• Ruggeri has played 12 of 14 clay matches with a deciding set

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

First sets between these two average just under ten games, leaving the under side slightly favoured.

• Ruggeri's first sets average 9.71 games, Yaneva's 9.07
• One tiebreak in 14 first sets for Ruggeri and one in 15 for Yaneva
• Yaneva concedes only 3.80 games in first sets

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 2.30

The read

Ruggeri's matches nearly always go the distance and Yaneva has also played plenty of three-setters.

• Ruggeri's clay matches: 12 of 14 needed a third set
• Yaneva's clay matches: 9 of 15 needed a third set
• Average sets played: 2.86 for Ruggeri, 2.60 for Yaneva

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.60

The read

Yaneva's second-set record is the strongest split in either player's clay data.

• Yaneva won the second set in 10 of her 15 clay matches
• Yaneva concedes 3.80 games per second set on clay
• Ruggeri's second-set record on clay is 7-7

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Combined ace production sits near two per match, below the 2.5 line.

• Ruggeri has 14 aces in 14 clay matches
• Yaneva has 15 aces in 15 clay matches
• Both players' aces-per-match figure on clay is 1.0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Ruggeri's heavy double-fault rate combines with Yaneva's moderate one to put the total right at the line.

• Ruggeri averages 8.6 double faults per clay match from 120 in 14 matches
• Yaneva averages 5.3 double faults per clay match
• The combined average sits just under 14 per match