Berfu Cengiz #279Türkiye22 – 1Teodora Kostovic #150Serbia1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 3.20

The read

Cengiz is in career-best form on home ground and her return numbers on this surface are the strongest in the match.

• Cengiz has won all 4 of her hard-court matches this week in straight sets, taking 68.1% of games (49-23).
• On hard she wins 53.8% of return points and converts 62.5% of break points, both above Kostovic's hard-court figures.
• She is at home in Ankara and reached her first WTA 125 final without dropping a set.
• Kostovic is ranked 159 against Cengiz's 307 and has lost 3 of 9 hard-court matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Even in a loss Cengiz has been competitive enough that a seven-game margin is a stretch.

• Cengiz's four hard-court matches produced game margins of +10, +5, +5 and +6.
• She has taken 68.1% of her hard-court games.
• She needs to avoid defeat by seven games or more.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Cengiz's own game margins on this surface are strong enough that a five-game defeat looks unlikely.

• Cengiz wins 68.1% of her hard-court games and has a +26 game differential this week.
• Her four hard-court margins were +10, +5, +5 and +6.
• This line covers if she wins or loses by four games or fewer.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.40

The read

Cengiz either wins outright or needs only a narrow defeat for this line to cover.

• Cengiz's four hard-court matches had game margins of +10, +5, +5 and +6.
• She wins 68.1% of games on hard (49-23).
• This line covers if she wins or loses by two games or fewer.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.60

The read

Kostovic's matches are long on average, and any three-set outcome comfortably clears this line.

• Kostovic's hard-court matches average 20.7 total games.
• Both players average close to 2.2 sets per hard-court match, and a decider pushes past 25 games.
• Kostovic's average hard-court match lasts 99.6 minutes.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Cengiz has been breaking early, and short opening sets have been the norm for her this week.

• Cengiz's hard-court opening sets average 6.25 games to 3.0.
• Three of her four first sets this week finished 6-1, 6-3 or 6-2.
• Only one tiebreak has appeared in each player's hard-court set evidence.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.60

The read

Cengiz's second sets this week have been her most dominant, losing fewer than three games on average.

• Cengiz is 4-0 in second sets on hard this week.
• Her hard-court second sets average 6.0 games to 2.75.
• Kostovic is 7-2 in second sets on hard.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Recent hard-court sets for both players have usually been decided before 6-6.

• Only 1 of Cengiz's 4 hard-court matches contained a tiebreak.
• Only 1 of Kostovic's 9 hard-court matches contained a tiebreak.
• Both players have been winning sets by multiple breaks.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both players double-fault regularly, and the combined average is comfortably above the line.

• Cengiz averages 3.0 double faults per hard-court match (12 in 4).
• Kostovic averages 3.3 double faults per hard-court match (30 in 9).
• Combined hard-court averages give roughly 6.3 double faults per match.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Kostovic's serve supplies most of the aces, and the combined average sits above the line.

• Kostovic averages 5.4 aces per hard-court match (49 in 9).
• Cengiz averages 1.5 aces per hard-court match (6 in 4).
• Combined hard-court averages give roughly 6.9 aces per match.